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Less than a month ago, the Trafalgar Group released a poll showing that Republican Kari Lake was leading Democrat Katie Hobbs in the Arizona gubernatorial race. This lead was very slight, of just 0.7 percent, but it was telling nonetheless. The polling group has since released another round out of Arizona, as it has done in other key battleground states, and Lake is now leading by a much more significant margin. Lake now enjoys support from a majority of like voters, at 50 percent. Hobbs' lead has gone down ever so slightly, by 0.2 percent from August, to 45.6 percent.

All these Media polls out there suggesting a Biden win are discouraging. That is their purpose. Most, however, over sample Democrats by 8% or more. Ridiculous. The two parties achieved relative parity years ago. But, the Atlanta-based Trafalgar Group was the most accurate state pollster four years ago. In fact, they were the only pollster to predict candidate Trump’s 2016 wins in both Pennsylvania and Michigan. Think about that. Quite a feat! So, Don’t let yourself get discouraged. Be of good cheer! A few of their most recent polls are below.

I try to give Trafalgar every benefit of the doubt after its stunning success in 2016 and 2018 but I’m a leeeetle skeptical of this one. Especially since they also have Republican John James leading incumbent Gary Peters for Peters’s Senate seat. That’s the first time James has led in any poll all year. Until today, the closest he’d been was three points behind a few weeks ago. Another reason to be skeptical: This poll was conducted between August 14 and 23, a period encompassing the entire Democratic convention and before the Republican convention had begun. Is it impossible that...

"Our new Trafalgar Group 2020 election poll of Georgia conducted July 15-18 shows Trump with a solid lead: 49.8% to 43.3% for Joe Biden....

Is this the real life … or is this just fantasy? One thing’s for sure — we’re not caught in a landslide either way in Florida. The final release from GOP pollster Trafalgar in the Sunshine State shows Gov. Rick Scott edging out to a lead of almost two points against incumbent Democrat Sen. Bill Nelson. The poll also puts Ron DeSantis back on top over Andrew Gillum in the gubernatorial race by an even wider margin: Breaking: Our FINAL @trafalgar_group Florida #Midterm #poll conducted 11/4-5 shows: Governor@RonDeSantisFL 50%@AndrewGillum 46.6% Other 1.4% Und. 2.1% US Senate@FLGovScott 49%@NelsonForSenate 47.3% Und. 3.7%#FLsen...

PA Presidential Election Survey Conducted 11/3-5/16 1300+ Respondents Likely General Election Voters Margin of Error: +/- 2.68 Response Rate: 3.44% Confidence: 95% Response Distribution: 50%

Which candidate do you think most of your neighbors are voting for? Trump +18 Southeast Florida seems to be the only problem. Trump leads in every other region

No article, just the link.

No article, just the link

No Article, just Link

A change of pace for you from all the polling doom and gloom lately. Most readers know the name “Trafalgar” at this point, but for the few who don’t: They’re the firm that called Trump’s wins in Michigan and Pennsylvania four years ago when nearly every other pollster was predicting Clinton victories, some by blowout margins. (Trafalgar was the only outfit to find Trump ahead in Michigan in any survey taken that year.) Two years later, with the rest of the field polling field expecting an Andrew Gillum victory in Florida, Trafalgar’s final poll found Ron DeSantis ahead. Again,...

Pollster from Trafalgar: I predict Trump will win with...

Michigan Senate race tied, per Trafalgar Poll, Dems scrambling to save Peters ‘Nervous’ Schumer spending big in Michigan Senate race to help Gary Peters Chuck Schumer PAC Spending Millions to Save Gary Peters in Michigan EXCLUSIVE: John James, the Michigan Senate GOP candidate, raised $14 million in the third quarter and is within “striking distance” of upsetting incumbent Sen. Gary Peters, D-Mich., according to a Tuesday campaign memo obtained by Fox News. In a sign of the competitive race, the super PAC aligned with Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer is pumping $5.4 million into ad spending in Michigan this week...