As American voters head into Election Day 2024, a chorus of polling experts agreed that the presidential race between Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris is neck-and-neck with no clear favorite. Shortly after midnight on Tuesday, statistician Nate Silver unveiled his Silver Bulletin’s final forecast model, showing each major party candidate essentially has a 50% shot of becoming the nation’s 47th president. “We ran 80,000 simulations tonight,” Silver wrote on X (formerly Twitter). “Harris won in 40,012.” Harrris “did not win in 39,988 simulations (49.985%),” Silver and co-author Eli McKown-Dawson explained in their final Silver...