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Keyword: electionpredictor

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  • Interactive election model and predictor - see how adjusting demographics will change the results.

    09/27/2020 6:54:09 AM PDT · by byecomey · 25 replies
    For the extreme numbers nerds! Click through to the interactive predictor. (Probably not mobile friendly though) The election predictor was made using available CNN exit poll data. Adjusting the values therein will "trickle" down to individual states proportionally by that state's exit poll data. For example, if you predict that men will vote Trump by 5% more, the ratio will adjust proportionally according to how that particular state voted for Trump. The high third party prevalence made it tricky, so I provided three options to split third-party (3P) data. I don't recommend mixing crosstabs too much - the poll data...