Those northern small counties are where Ds outregister Rs but they are conservative Ds and voted overwhelmingly for Trump in 2016. No worries about them. It just appears bad because of party registration.
Duval 50% R. Was 41.5% R in ‘16 on ED. 42.5% R in ‘18 on ED
Pinellas 50% R. Was 39% R in ‘16 on ED. 39.5% R in ‘18 on ED
Hillsborough 45% R. Was 36% R in ‘16 on ED. 36.5% R in ‘18 on ED
Hillsborough 48.5%
St Lucie 56.5%
Bay 70.3% (!)
Lake 62.4%
Pasco 62.2%
Sumter 70% (How many more will vote; they killed it in EV)
Pinellas 52.7%
Volusia 57.1%
Reps ranged from 39.5% to 42.5% (did not include PB or M-D)
Dems ranged from 33.5% to 34.5%
NPA ranged from 24% to 26%
Now we have no idea how the Dem emphasis on VBM will affect ED. According to the polls, it should add more Rep and so we are hoping/looking for greater than 42.5% share tomorrow.
11/02/2020 6:02:01 AM PST
· 14 of 308 southpaw1
to SpeedyInTexas; byecomey
Byecomey...do you have election day stats for 2016?
I have actual election day Trump vote from 2016 and some stats for 2018 election day for about 30 total counties such as R/D/NPA breakdown of raw vote and percentages.
M/D and Palm Beach did not update during the day so don’t have figures for them.
LMK if you need them.