Free Republic

There’s a POLL on the site which must be freeped! Navarro is getting killed so far.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/todaysdebate/2020/07/14/anthony-fauci-wrong-with-me-peter-navarro-editorials-debates/5439374002/

Video posted March 31.

I don’t know of any site that shows the historical stuff one day at a time—perhaps someone else can help?

One long blog post with regular updates since January 23--(start of the Wuhan quarantines.) https://thefurai.com/2020/01/23/the-truth-about-wuhan-coronavirus/

"I like Wuhanic Plague - rhymes with Bubonic Plague."

Nice. I like Wu Flu.

"Where were you pearl clutchers back in 2009-2010?

Remember this:

https://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/estimates_2009_h1n1.htm

Nope, in your hysterical minds 4,900 deaths from COVID-19 is much more serious!

You people are drinking the Fake News koolaid and asking for more!"

Math. The math of WU FLU is much scarier. You are comparing apples to hand grenades. The Spanish Flu is a hand grenade--similar math to WU FLU.

https://thefurai.com/2020/01/23/the-truth-about-wuhan-coronavirus/

"Because of their policy of testing asymptomatic people, South Korea seems to be showing us that the virus is FAR more widespread than previously thought, and when those mild cases are taken into account, it is much less deadly. SK has only 52 "serious cases" out of over 6,500, while Italy has almost 9X that number with significantly fewer confirmed cases. If Italy were to test as SK is doing, they would likely find 5X-10X more cases. I'm sure the epidemiologists have some equation that makes the difference even greater, because serious cases are always found, while mild cases are only discovered if the person is tested.

So, the upside is that mortality is lower, but the down side is that a lot more people are actually infected and have a mild or asymptomatic case. This might indicate the R0 is higher than 2.3. CDC's stated strategy from early on has been to slow down the virus, not stop it. Despite having the highest number of infections per capita of any country, SK seems to be winning that battle, or at least they are not completely overwhelmed. The question is, can WE win that battle? Because even 0.6% sucks if the virus is unchecked. Like SK, we need to aggressively attack every outbreak. That and a little progress on the treatment side would help."

Possibly. Possibly South Korea is ahead of the curve--catching large numbers of people before they get really sick and or die.

We'll know the truth once it is over--not before.

If we could follow the current 7000 cases in South Korea for a month or two, then we'd know for sure.

For example: Focus on the known 7000 SK cases this week. In a week, assume 5% (350) should go into the hospital and .5% die (35). In another week, perhaps another 10%. (700.) and .5% die (35). Maybe week 3, another 5%. (350) and .5% die (35). Then maybe add a few random trickles for the next several weeks.

By the end of the month, we'd have a pretty good idea the correct SK ratios of these 7000: 80% mild; 20% hospitalized; 2% dead.

The problem is with an RO of 2.5, new cases are being discovered every day--further skewing the numbers. By this time next week, there will be 17,500 cases discovered in SK, of those 10,000 will be less than a week old.

It's important to understand Death Rate can only be calculated by those with access to all the data--at least until the WU FLU ends--it can't be calculated by taking the (number of deaths/number of cases) primarily because in a pandemic there's a substantial lag time between time of discovery and moment of death.

"baggage handlers

https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/breaking-british-airways-staff-test-21645579 "

Poop carries WU FLU. Poop is everywhere. Wear gloves at work.

https://thefurai.com/2020/01/23/the-truth-about-wuhan-coronavirus/

Testing a million people may help the USA to move from a Category 3 nation—Iran—to a spot with the Category 1 nations: South Korea, Singapore ETC.

Until the test results are made public, exercise extreme caution—it’s more dangerous here than you realize.

https://thefurai.com/2020/01/23/the-truth-about-wuhan-coronavirus/

"traffic cam in WuHan."

LMAO

ALL fake news— OLD stories.

"< theory type=Conspiracy > Could this whole thing be a hoax engineered by the CIA in concert with the ChiComs to engineer a Trump defeat? Have the ChiComs weaponized what is essentially the common cold? Has anyone outside of China who was not otherwise healthy died? Why all the ChiCom secrecy? Maybe there is no there, there? < theory >

Please tell me I am crazy. I am NOT normally a conspiracy nut."

Not a bad hypothesis. BUT, there are 4000 cases outside of China growing at the same RO as the Spanish flu of 1918. With the same death rate as the Spanish Flu.

I wish I could support your theory, sadly I can't.

https://thefurai.com/2020/01/23/the-truth-about-wuhan-coronavirus/

"If you KNOW a hurricane is coming, it’s huge and devastating and have little children, how do you act?"

Great rant. Awesome.

https://www.kron4.com/health/coronavirus/new-coronavirus-case-with-unknown-origin-confirmed-in-northern-california-report-says/

That’s a big deal.

https://thefurai.com/2020/01/23/the-truth-about-wuhan-coronavirus/

Great idea.

"U.S. GDP is $21.7 Trillion. Imports and Exports combined (foreign trade) are $2.1 Trillion, or 9.7% of GDP.

Any country whose foreign trade is less than 15% of GDP is essentially a closed economy. In addition to being a closed economy, the U.S. is 27% of world GDP.

China’s GDP is $14.1 Trillion, and $4.62 Trillion (33% of GDP) is foreign trade. They are the world’s largest trading partner. China’s GDP is second only to the U.S., and represents 18% of the world’s GDP.

No matter how severe the impacts to foreign trade caused by the coronavirus, it will be an inconvenience to the U.S, and devastating to the Chinese.

For all of the items currently single sourced from China, an alternative source can be developed or found somewhere else, albeit at a higher cost. Those who go to the trouble of developing alternative sources will develop more than one so that competition will eventually reduce the cost.

Once that development/sourcing leaves China, it is highly unlikely it will go back."



It all sounds pretty convincing. And I'm right there wanting to be with you. America is powerful. China could disappear and it wouldn't be a blip. I want this to be true, but sadly it ain't. At least with short notice.

The truth is, we just don't know. When Caterpillar makes a tractor, how many of its components are sourced directly from China? How many parts which Caterpillar purchases in Mexico, or Brazil, or Vietnam, or India--are assembled from precursors made in China?

What is GDP? Why is our GDP higher than theirs? Because, in general, we sell the finished products, they sell the commodity product. They sell the raw components, which allow our great corporations to make huge profits for their iconic brands.

IF a paint color, or a silicone sealer, or morphine, or penicillin, or Ford Escape, or iPhone, or Nike basketball shoe, requires a Chinese component to create an American finished product--

THEN the fact that we make more money than China does for our labor means very little.

If China shuts down, what great American Assembly lines shut down? I don't know the answer to this, and this is the only question that matters. The answer to this question can't be computed by calculation of GDP and general statements about size of our national phallus.

To answer this question will require going to each company and asking them directly, "how exposed are you?"

So far Apple and Proctor and Gamble have answered. "It's gonna hurt." Still waiting to hear from all the other great American companies.

"Procter & Gamble accesses 387 suppliers in China that ship more than 9,000 different materials to the company globally, affecting about 17,600 different finished product items. Each of these suppliers faces their own challenges in resuming operations, he said."

https://www.thestreet.com/investing/procter-gamble-material-impact-coronavirus

And here's what is really scary--our companies don't know either--not without substantial research. For example: when a component is purchased from India, who knows if the India assembly line shuts down without China.

See no evil.

https://thefurai.com/2020/01/23/the-truth-about-wuhan-coronavirus/

Learn to swim.

https://thefurai.com/2020/01/23/the-truth-about-wuhan-coronavirus/

Source?

That movie was a RIOT.

So, I was listening to an interview on Fox News–(9:30 AM with Ed Henry)–with an American couple trapped on that Japanese cruise ship. On the day before the quarantine, the entire ship was tested via a single EAR-insertion thermometer– without a disposable tip. Talk about the mother of all f*** ups. Inserting a coronavirus-contaminated item into an exposed orifice of 4000 healthy people!

SOURCES: https://www.foxnews.com/media/japan-coronavirus-cruise-ship-passengers-plead-for-help-from-president-trump

https://thefurai.com/2020/01/23/the-truth-about-wuhan-coronavirus/