Free Republic

My final predictions, and beyond Nov. 5 for the losers (guess who that is). https://open.substack.com/pub/larrys/p/predictions-before-and-after-nov?r=dx45b&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

Hi all. Dreading listening to people like Brett Baier or the harpies at MSNBC on election night? I gotcha covered. In 2020, Rich Baris, Tracy Beanz and I---on 2 weeks notice and no funding---did a six hour live election night coverage that saw 800,000 viewers come in. Many said in comments they dropped out of Faux and CNN. This year Seth Keshel and I will be hosing the broadcast. Seth is an expert stats guy who has run the numbers in detail on every single state. We have direct access to Decision Desk for the most accurate info. We have...

Republicans now have a voter registration lead in the state of 242,000 over Ds. Pima Co. Ds have LOST ground since 2020; Rs have added 132,000 since 2020 . . . and have consistently added every month. Maricopa Co. is now over R+3, when it was about even in 2020. Pima Co. Ds have lost a full point.

1) Via my court source, "Zen Master," (who has never, ever been wrong about major decisions and/or timing: a leftist attorney argues that the Bragg NY case against Trump WILL encounter a delay of approximately a year, saying that like his tax case it is "going down the same road." 2) Trump's Truth Social is merging with another company in a deal worth $4 billion, much of that to President Trump, virtually nullifying the entire judgment by lunatic "Itchy" Erdogan---EVEN IF IT HELD UP on appeal. God works in mysterious ways. Oh, and Baris released his national poll yesterday with...

Trump 55% (+2 and a high in this poll) Haley 36 (unchanged) DeSantis 6% (-1) Note in crosstabls: 92% of Trump voters say they are voting FOR him. over 50% of Nick Knack's voters say they are voting against him, not for her. https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/new-hampshire/2024/1_21_2024_new_hampshire_marginals_day_5.pdf?la=en&hash=BB0227A8A409210E2C35C94A4B8FB9CE79CED0C3

Hi everyone, A little post Christmas cheer for these days of Biden (the Rutabaga) and the dead economy: E-mail me at Larry@wildworldofhistory.com and I will send you your pick of any of these four ebooks: 1) American Entrepreneur, my history of American business and entrepreneurs 2) A Patriot's History of the Modern World, vol. 1, 1898-1945 3) A Patriot's History of the Modern World, vol. 2, 1946-present 4) The Rhythm of History: my autobiography.

Just some observations on general polling: *In 2020, with perhaps a very rare outlier, President Trump did not lead in a single national poll. Today he leads in almost all. For ex., Emerson, Trump +4, but if RFK, Jr. in the race, +6. In CNN, NBC, NYTimes, Trump is up from 2-4. He leads in the RCP average, which Faux News always manages to bring down with an anti-Trump poll. Right now RCP has Trump +2.2, or outside what many of us think is the "margin of fraud" based on 2020. (Remember, they had FIVE MONTHS of "mules" in 2020....

Hi everybody, I don't get a chance to post here as much any more because my M-F "Today's News" column at www.uncoverdc.com takes a LOT of time. It's free. I usually take the top 20-40 stories in politics, culture, economics, and entertainment, but rely on FR for some really outside stories that the mainstream Hoax News media misses---and of course I add my own nick names and spin. (My two favorites are Nick Knack Paddywhack Give a Uke a Bomb for Haley and White Lizzo for Christy). At any rates, just thought I'd drop in with a few thoughts. *The...

Below is the 14th Amendment brief that lawyer Robert Barnes wrote, which I think you'll all find very informative. It was sent only to subscribers, but I don't think he'd mind me reposting just this portion of his much longer newsletter. If he does, he knows my email. Let’s dispatch with the 14th Amendment argument more and more frivolous litigants file suit in to try to bar Trump from the ballot. Let’s start with the text itself. Of note, section 5 clarifies who can enforce this provision: “The Congress shall have power to enforce, by appropriate legislation, the provisions of...

A few updates: I will appear on Faux News's "The Korean War" special with Brett Baier, Sunday night, May 28, 10:00. I know may of you are boycotting FAUX, and I respect that. Did this for an old filmmaking friend. Also, I have begun a MWF youtube show "Patriot's History," where I just read through "A Patriot's History of the United States" at 12 noon EST on the Wild World of History channel. Just started the Revolutionary War. We are 24 episodes in, all in the video archives. We are working to make "Patriot's History" in to a "John Adams/Sons...

Hi all, Haven't posted much here because of my substack but some events in the last few days shouted out "FreeRepublic!" 1) The Trump/RDS "race." There is no race. This was over before it began. My estimate is that RDS will get Kasich (the Mailman) level delegates, if that. I think with him at the latest poll at 17% vs. Trump, and Vivek Ramaswamy at 5%, RDS is closer to Vivek than he is to Trump, and I won't be surprised if Vivek doesn't push him hard. (Bannon thinks Vivek has topped, RDS settles at 15%. I think Vivek can...

ABSTRACT Theories of scientific and technological change view discovery and invention as endogenous processes1,2, wherein previous accumulated knowledge enables future progress by allowing researchers to, in Newton’s words, ‘stand on the shoulders of giants’3,4,5,6,7. Recent decades have witnessed exponential growth in the volume of new scientific and technological knowledge, thereby creating conditions that should be ripe for major advances8,9. Yet contrary to this view, studies suggest that progress is slowing in several major fields10,11. Here, we analyse these claims at scale across six decades, using data on 45 million papers and 3.9 million patents from six large-scale datasets, together with...

48k ballots as of 9:00 am AZ in Maricopa Co. Early estimates were it would be 2:1 R/D 58% R 15% D 4:1 !!

He was singularly responsible for introducing me around 2011-2012 to the Hollywood conservatives that made up the “Friends of Abe.” Andrew set up a dinner party at one of the finest steakhouses around for me to meet many of them, then paid for it himself. ​Perhaps Andrew was not as influential as the great Rush Limbaugh, but he definitely had a powerful voice, a reputation as the “Happy Warrior” on the right. Most people know Andre Breitbart for his maxim, “Politics is downstream of culture,” while forgetting that he did much to try to change that culture by joining with...

Masters up now 1.7%. Rich says that election day voting will be very heavy R, including all those who are dropping their ballots off. Now, all, we have been instructed at various GOP clubs if you bring in a ballot mailed to you to drop off, do NOT just drop it off, but have THEM mark "SPOILED" on it and vote in person, otherwise, your ballot won't be counted until after election day.

Mike Davis, who has represented Trump and who is part of the Article3Project, and is representing Trump on the docs, explained what is happening with various appeals. 1) Recent appeal that Supes turned down was not a "good vehicle" for the USSC. 99/100 appeals/cases are turned down. 2) This WILL reach the USSC. "President has rights to any and all records, classified or not, as personal documents" according to ruling by an Obama judge. 3) Special Master will review 11,000 docs. Then Trump will file a "Rule 41GT Motion" in Florida with Judge Cannon. This is likely to be successful,...

For years many of us have been screaming for the GOP to just get on the field. Too often the muckety-mucks led by the McRomneys run and hide with any controversial issue (abortion, for example) and hide behind "muh tax cuts." So far, no one has provided an inside look at exactly how Greg Abbott/Ken Paxton in Texas or Ron DeSantis in Florida actually arrived at the conception of what I'll call "Operation Alinsky #4" but whoever and however they did it, it was genius on multiple levels. And it is anything but a "stunt." It is the single best...

AZ Republicans have shot up to a statewide lead of 147,000. This is a gain of 6,000 since just a couple of months ago. In 2016, Rs had a lead of 151,000, but that fell by 2020 to a lead of just 111,000. Clearly the trend is for Rs here, and you have to include thousands such as myself who left the GOP to reregister as "I" after the party did so little to stop the Steal. But we all will be voting R this fall.

Just had an email from my private court source, who to date has never been wrong about either who nominees would be, what the outcomes of various cases would be, or even dates of confirmation (with one exception---he was off by 1 week when it came to Kavanaugh and the Balless Edsel last minute claims). Here is what he said about Liz Clusterbomb Cheney. Read to the end. It's a hoot, and true. "The GOP should make it clear that, if she runs for President, she will not have any vote for her recognized. And Merrick Garland can help them....

We are entering an unanticipated reality—an era of slow population growth and, increasingly, demographic decline that will shape our future in profound and unpredictable ways. Globally, last year’s total population growth was the smallest in a half-century, and by 2050, some 61 countries are expected to see population declines while the world’s population is due to peak sometime later this century. This kind of long-term global demographic stagnation has not been seen since the Middle Ages. World population has been growing for centuries, but the last century has dwarfed previous rises. About 75 percent of the world’s population growth has...