One thing I don’t understand. Why would we want Nate Silver’s career to collapse if he (like all the other aggregators, most voters and news organizations) is merely duped into reporting well on the numbers you say pollsters are manipulating? Why is what Silver’s doing any worse than what CNN or Fox does when they report a headlining poll that shows Obama in the lead?
I would want Silver’s career to collapse *if* his model were grossly inaccurate, beyond fixing or *if* he were manipulating that model. But according to this write up, it’s the pollsters that are lying and he is just faithfully analyzing their bullshit.
>> all of the polls are being manipulated purposefully by pollsters to give Barack Obama a psychological advantage in this election. . . Since this is the first time in American political history when they’ve ever done anything like this, I think that a lot of people have not picked up on the fact that there is not a single reputable polling outfit left