Posted on 05/13/2002 11:57:12 AM PDT by July 4th
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Projected seats |
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31 Christian Democrats
28 Pim Fortuyn's List
25 Labour
25 Liberals
15 Greens
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Nipo poll |
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With only two days left before Wednesday's general election, Pim Fortuyn's List has overtaken Labour to take second place with 18.5% of the votes, according to the survey by the Nipo research bureau.
A poll by another organisation, Nova, on 3 May put him on 12.4% support, while a Nipo survey on 1 May gave him 17%.
The new poll - the first since Mr Fortuyn's death - puts him only two percentage points behind the leaders, the right-wing Christian Democrats, whose support registers at 20.5%.
Wim Kok's Labour party has been beaten into third
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Support for Mr Fortuyn's party was registered at 18.5%, which would give it 28 of the country's 150 seats.
The Labour Party of outgoing Prime Minister Wim Kok has slid to 16.5%, the poll suggests - dramatically lower than the 29% it achieved in the 1998 election.
If the poll is accurate, it would mean Labour losing nearly half its 45 seats.
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 The sympathy vote will generate extra support - the problem is that no-one knows if they are able to offer suitable people for the
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Kees Lunshof
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All election campaigning was stopped after Mr Fortuyn's murder, but BBC correspondents said it had been thought that his party could benefit from a sympathy vote.
Dutch political commentators told BBC News Online that Mr Fortuyn's party was very likely to be in the new Dutch cabinet, if the poll predictions were accurate.
His party could get as many as four or five seats in the 12-member cabinet, said Kees Lunshof of De Telegraaf newspaper.
The Netherlands was shocked at Pim Fortuyn's murder
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"The sympathy vote will generate extra support," he told BBC News Online.
"The problem is that no-one knows if they are able to offer suitable people for the job - it's such a new party."
And Frank Poortuyes, of De Volkskrant newspaper, said the left was "taking a hammering" partly because some voters held it responsible for demonising Mr Fortuyn, thereby playing a role in his murder.
The margin of error of the opinion poll is 1.8% for the big parties.
More than 2,100 people were interviewed, fewer than the usual sample of 3,000, as polling was also suspended temporarily after Mr Fortuyn's death.
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Yup, and GWB's administration are 'open border' folks.
If every picture tells a story, I read this one as Varela being pushed out of his no. 2 spot. Not surprising, since he's only 28. Here's a link to the related story.
KN - I saw a video clip of Fortuyn doing his "At your service" salute. It was a snappy salute. And he spoke in English -- why? My read was he was perhaps imitating, from movies or television, the manners of a dutiful and efficient British officer. But I'm not Dutch. What do you think?
Generally speaking emmigrants leave a country because they are unhappy with it either economically or politically. Thus to assume that the Turks in Europe are as secular as those in Turkey is a mistake.
At your service, Pim Fortuyn!
Here fo a very good series of photos from his funeral
(Click on "Dezelfde foto's in hoge resolutie" for high resolution version, the rest of the links lead to more images)
IN MEMORIAM
PIM FORTUYN
1948 - 2002
I would suggest that the single greatest impediment is the Big Lie, which the Left has promoted for two generations, that we are all basically the same. I have just posted the following on the internet, which suggests how we should answer this lie: The Big Truth.
William Flax
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