Posted on 09/01/2024 8:44:47 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Last week, two polls revealed that the Virginia election is a tight race within the margin of error. Roanoke College poll showed Kamala Harris leading Trump by just three points, a finding echoed by Quantus poll with the same narrow margin.
Virginia, a traditionally blue state that last went Republican in the 2004 presidential election, was looking like a potential Trump pickup before Biden dropped out, however conventional wisdom was that with Kamala Harris topping the ticket, Virginia was no longer in play. That's clearly not true.
Is another blue state that looked good for Trump before Biden dropped out still in play?
Maybe.
According to local media, Kamala Harris will be holding a campaign event in New Hampshire on Wednesday.
"New Hampshire may not be in the top tier of swing states in the 2024 election, but Granite Staters are still poised to get some attention this week from one of the presidential candidates," reports WMUR, an ABC affiliate in Manchester, N.H.. "News 9 has learned that Vice President Kamala Harris will travel to New Hampshire on Wednesday for a campaign event. Details have not yet been made public."
The report notes that the visit "will mark the first visit by Harris to New Hampshire since the spring of 2021, an event in Concord that included strict pandemic protocols involved in many gatherings at that time."
There aren't any public polls showing Trump beating Harris (yet), so we have to ask why Kamala is going to New Hampshire.
Well, it could be that the campaign is genuinely worried about the Granite State because of their own internal polling. Just last week, Chauncey McLean, the president of the pro-Harris Super PAC Future Forward, warned Democrats that public polling may be a bit too optimistic about Kamala's position.
(Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...
Trump seems to perform 3 to 5% better than in elections than the polls in lots of close states
People are afraid to say they are voting for trump these pollsters call your house they know your number so they can easily find out where you live so people not being honest with pollsters makes sense
No, she’s worried about the obamas continuing to spike her campaign with hit pieces in Newsweek, et al. and booze.
“Whisky, all you want”
We'll have to compare with the historical average of the polls in '16 and '20 and the actual election result.
The media will continue to pretend this is a race. It’s not… there is no realistic. path to anything close to 270 for the Dems and they known it..
Kabuki theater for the masses.
Kamala is most likely going to choke big time in the debate. Similar to what Joe Biden did in his last.
Then she will get Couped like Biden.
In swoops Michele Obama to the rescue.
Colorado is the same way. Denver/boulder metro area and the western slope and eastern plains.
“Virginia is two states: the suburbs surrounding Washington DC, and the rest of the state, like so many states.
Western State of Washington, and Eastern State of Washington.
The State of Maryland: Western Maryland, and Eastern Maryland.
The State of Illinois: Chicagoland, and Southern Illinois.
The State of California: Coastal California, and Inland California.”
Add to that …
The State of New York vs NYC
The State of Georgia vs Atlanta
The State of Pennsylvania vs Philadelphia
The State of Washington vs Seattle
The State of Oregon vs Portland
The State of Minnesota vs Minneapolis
The State of Wisconsin vs Milwaukee and Madison
The State of Colorado vs Denver
The State of Nevada vs Las Vegas
& et cetera …
It’s starting to be time to watch where they campaign.
Up to now and maybe for a couple more weeks they will still visit “safe” states for fundraising but soon they will be campaigning or focusing on the states they really need and aren’t sure of.
If Trump is campaigning in Texas or Florida we have had it.
If Kamala is campaigning in Oregon or Colorado she’s had it.
Good sign: Trump in Virginia, New Hampshire, Vermont…
“On point Politics” is a YouTube channel that does that. It could just be hopium, but he has an interesting prediction model that shows Trump winninG 313 Electoral Votes
This week Trump will be in GA, AZ, WI per his campaign website.
In a fair and honest election that would be true.
But we did not have a fair or honest election in 2020, and I do not expect one in 2024.
Can the Republicans block Democrats from cheating in six key cities that will decide the election. We will soon find out.
It is still possible for the Democrats to lose even with their margin-of-cheat. The Republics must work to win. It is not automatic.
F KAMEL TOE
Don’t forget Pennsyltucky!
You know how the country has an Electoral College? I wonder if each state could do a similar thing but by county?
Trump won Virginia in 2020, but it was stolen. Late on Election Night Trump was up 4 points with 97% of the ballots counted. Then the counting stopped at 10PM as it did in 5 other theft states. When they reopened in Virginia Crime Boss Joey had “won” by 10 points for a 14 point swing in just 3% of the ballots they “counted.”
Given everything else Trump will win Virginia again.
No. All of them.
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