Posted on 08/25/2024 4:24:04 PM PDT by usafa92
Quantus Polls and News conducted a survey among 629 registered voters in Virginia between August 20 and 22, 2024. The survey, with a margin of error of ±4%, was carefully weighted to reflect the statewide voter demographics, including gender, age, race/ethnicity, education, voter registration, and turnout patterns. Using online panels, the survey aimed to provide a representative snapshot of the Virginia electorate's current preferences and opinions as the 2024 general election approaches.
Electorate Demographics
The weighted results of the survey reveal the following demographic breakdown: 36% of respondents identify as Democrats, 34% as Republicans, and 30% as Independents. The gender distribution shows a slight majority of female voters at 51.5%, compared to 48.5% male voters. Age-wise, the electorate is fairly evenly distributed, with the largest group being those aged 45-64 (37%), followed by those aged 30-44 (24%) and 65+ (24%). Racially, 68% of respondents are White, 18% are Black, and 14% identify as Hispanic or other racial/ethnic groups. Regarding education, 57% of respondents have not completed college, while 43% have a college degree.
Voting History and Political Affiliation
When asked about their voting behavior in the 2020 presidential election, 51% of respondents reported voting for Joe Biden, while 39% supported Donald Trump. The remaining respondents either voted for another candidate (2%) or did not vote/remember (8%). Politically, the respondents are fairly evenly split, with 36% identifying as Democrats, 34% as Republicans, and 30% as Independents. This balance reflected the competitive nature of Virginia's electorate, where neither party holds a decisive advantage.
Candidate Favorability
Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump present starkly different profiles to the Virginia electorate. Harris enjoys a favorability rating of 49% (26% very favorable, 23% favorable), with 51% viewing her unfavorably (18% unfavorable, 33% very unfavorable).
(Excerpt) Read more at quantus.substack.com ...
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FWIW, Biden won Virginia by 10 points in 2020.
Correct. Not good for her that she’s consistently running behind Biden everywhere. Media working overtime to obscure those facts.
Far too many Federal employees making $150K a year living in the suburbs.
629 registered voters. Completely worthless poll.
and remember- it was a “late win” for biden like all the other battle ground states. The results showed President Trump winning up until about midnight then all of a sudden it changed on a dime...
The important point here is that Harris in 2024 is less popular than Joe Biden in 2020. In 2020, Biden beat Trump in Virginia by about 10 points. According to this poll Harris beats Trump in Virginia in 2024 by 3 points. I expect Harris to win Virginia in 2024. But if Harris being behind Biden from 4 years ago is replicated in the swing states, Trump will win the presidential election.
They are making more than that number and have Healthcare, pensions starting at age 52 if 30 years of service, and on and on.
They are making more than that number and have Healthcare, pensions starting at age 52 if 30 years of service, and on and on.
Democrats always win the after midnight vote!
I thought Quantus was the Australian airline.
If their sample was representative, why would they have to weight it? Short answer: they wouldn’t.
The very basis of drawing inferences from samples is that the sample is representative of the population. Without it, they got nothing. There is no methodology to correct a bad sample.
Agree. That and done pre-RFK. All polls pre-RFK are obsolete.
In 1970, Virginia had one in a hundred foreign born people. Now it is one in ten. And the federal government was a fraction of it’s size today and the national surveillance state barely existed.
So the hogs and foreigners pack into the area around the filthy city DC to feed on the largesse.
Qantas is actually an acronym; stands for Queensland and Northern Territories Aerial Services.
This “Quantus” outfit popped into existence just two years ago.
none of the polling means anything until the day after the election. Remember the red wave that wasn’t? All, not some, but all of them were wrong...
It’s funny how FOX of all places for whatever reason keep showing Harris with these insane leads in PA and places. Nuts!
The wave partially turned back by fraud?
‘Twas a wee bit of a pun.
The leftists cranking out all kinds of crappy polls to skew the RCP average.
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