FWIW, Biden won Virginia by 10 points in 2020.
Far too many Federal employees making $150K a year living in the suburbs.
629 registered voters. Completely worthless poll.
The important point here is that Harris in 2024 is less popular than Joe Biden in 2020. In 2020, Biden beat Trump in Virginia by about 10 points. According to this poll Harris beats Trump in Virginia in 2024 by 3 points. I expect Harris to win Virginia in 2024. But if Harris being behind Biden from 4 years ago is replicated in the swing states, Trump will win the presidential election.
I thought Quantus was the Australian airline.
If their sample was representative, why would they have to weight it? Short answer: they wouldn’t.
The very basis of drawing inferences from samples is that the sample is representative of the population. Without it, they got nothing. There is no methodology to correct a bad sample.
In 1970, Virginia had one in a hundred foreign born people. Now it is one in ten. And the federal government was a fraction of it’s size today and the national surveillance state barely existed.
So the hogs and foreigners pack into the area around the filthy city DC to feed on the largesse.
none of the polling means anything until the day after the election. Remember the red wave that wasn’t? All, not some, but all of them were wrong...
It’s funny how FOX of all places for whatever reason keep showing Harris with these insane leads in PA and places. Nuts!
So many polls from groups I have never or rarely heard of.
Registered, oversampled D voters in DC adjacent......
Me and my friends poll; Trump 90, Cackles 10. That’s probably more accurate than these other polls they are showing.
That’s pathetic…. Harris unfavorable numbers should be closer to 80%… we are so fucked up
I have a feeling this could be a realigning election, where both parties win a state or two they “shouldn’t” win.
Didn’t Youngkin sign an election reform law?
Hand counted paper ballots and other measures to stop democrat cheating?
If that’s true, then I don’t think Harris can win Virginia.
“Quantus” polls ? This cycle we are seeing the media pushing polls no one has ever heard of. It’s all about gaslighting and setting the stage for massive fraud that is about to follow.
Probably true - but this is one election where the undecideds are not going to break for Kamala. I think many despise her but have been fed so much garbage about Trump’s alleged “racism” and “hatred of women” that they can’t see clearly what is going on. These will either vote Trump or stay home. In the latter case, Harris ballots may be thoughtfully generated in their names.
Who did they poll? The Koalas?
In Virginia there is no party registration so chasing ballots is a bit more of a challenge. One has to go be zip code and demographic/marketing data.