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Democrat strategist makes shocking prediction to Bill Maher about why Trump's low poll numbers might be misleading
UK Daily Mail ^ | August 25 2024 | Joe Hutchison

Posted on 08/24/2024 11:03:28 PM PDT by knighthawk

A leading Democratic strategist has warned his party that Donald Trump's polling numbers could be misleading and they should not take them for granted.

James Carville, who rose to prominence for helping Bill Clinton to the White House in 1992, said that Trump traditionally under polls, which should worry his party.

Speaking on Bill Maher's Real Time, Carville said: 'I tell Democrats, some caution here. First of all most quants [quantitative analysts] say we have to win by three in the popular vote.

(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: billmaher; california; demagogue; harriswalz; hbo; jamescarville; kamalaharris; minnesota; poll; realtime; timwalz; trump; trump2024; walz
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To: knighthawk

Except Trump is not behind in the polls.


21 posted on 08/25/2024 5:09:43 AM PDT by Fai Mao ( US government is run by pedophiles and Perverts for pedophiles and perverts.)
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To: knighthawk

If I am contacted by a pollster I’m all in for Harris. I love communism, open borders, and transgender surgeries for my 3 year old!


22 posted on 08/25/2024 5:16:45 AM PDT by 2nd Amendment
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To: knighthawk

A pollster calls you house. He knows your name, your phone number, your address, and political affiliation. He is tracking your data using a unique identification number (SSN?).

He is going to take your opinion and report it to hardened political operatives who destroy people like you for a living.

You don’t know anything about this guy. You don’t even know if it is a real poll. It could just be a political campaign.

Are you going to tell this unknown person that you support Orange Hitler? Do you like pain? Do you want to have your life ruined?

No. You hang up the phone.


23 posted on 08/25/2024 5:20:20 AM PDT by gridlock (At some point, King Robert must take responsibility for his own predicaments. )
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To: gridlock

In accordance with the truths you post, isn’t it amazing that the “polls” are showing a near dead heat? That’s a lot of support.


24 posted on 08/25/2024 5:24:57 AM PDT by Kudsman (30yr registered Conservative wants a complete Republican House & Senate. Protect the king.)
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To: Az Joe

You know how to tell if an election is rigged? The candidate phones it in. Obama did it in 2008 and 2012, Biden did it in 2020, and Harris hasn’t lifted a finger to do the work.


25 posted on 08/25/2024 5:27:01 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (They aren't RINO's, they are Democrats. Let's call them what they are and be done with it.)
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To: knighthawk

I read the whole article and what set me off as a woman was Carville calling MTG “white trash.”

I, too, know white trash when I see it, and I am looking at you, Carville.

Also, why does Comrade Kamala get a pass for a flamboyant nasty affair with a married man, yet someone else gets so much disrespect?


26 posted on 08/25/2024 5:31:54 AM PDT by Cloverfarm ("As Americans ... we rise together or we fall apart." -- President Trump)
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To: knighthawk

Someone calls on texts and asks who I’m going to vote for - no way I’m going to answer. It could be someone looking for someone to dox, it could be someone looking for someone to SWAT. I certainly won’t put up a yard sign or bumper sticker. Not worth the risk of vandalism, violence, or official harassment.

I haven’t gotten any code violation notices since I quit putting out religious symbols at Christmas and Easter; No telling what the city or my neighbors would do if I put out a Trump sign

No upside to answering those questions.


27 posted on 08/25/2024 5:34:59 AM PDT by PAR35
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To: knighthawk

What is being left unsaid is that compared to 2016 and 2020, Trump is in good shape in the polls, even the one’s where he is down.


28 posted on 08/25/2024 5:43:51 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: knighthawk

This why Trump WINS.

Harris will Defund the Police,Release Illegal Aliens from Prisons,Grant Illegal Aliens US Citizenship,Give Illegals Social Security and Medicare,Destroyed San Francisco when she was District Attorney ,Open Southern Border permitting Illegal Aliens and dangerous Drugs,Abolish ICE,End Fracking to get out oil,Green Energy,Won’t Debate DJ Trump


29 posted on 08/25/2024 6:14:36 AM PDT by TNoldman (AN AMERICAN FOR A MUSLIM/BHO FREE AMERICA. (Owner of Staris and Bars Flags))
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To: sam_whiskey

RCP tracks 14 polls. Trump is leading in only 4 of those.


30 posted on 08/25/2024 6:23:45 AM PDT by Jonny7797
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To: rdcbn1

‘Push polls’ is right. I can’t remember who said it, but the paraphrase “All polls you hear about are meant to influence, not reflect, opinion” has proven true.

The message between the lines is ALWAYS “You’re losing, ha ha ha, you can’t win, don’t even try” etc. They are always meant to demoralize and cast dread on the Right.


31 posted on 08/25/2024 6:25:14 AM PDT by Señor Presidente (Tyranny deserves insurrection)
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To: Angelino97

That’s the truth!

I registered as an independent. We live in a Blue city. I did it for my safety. Being a Republican is like painting a target on my back.


32 posted on 08/25/2024 6:31:37 AM PDT by wintertime ( Behind every government school teacher stand armed police.( Real bullets in those guns on the hip!))
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To: knighthawk

Harris’s poll numbers aren’t about the election it’s the medias numbers about her act on one.

The media has great love for low down trashy people it’s what makes them democrats.


33 posted on 08/25/2024 6:41:03 AM PDT by Vaduz
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To: knighthawk

Carville and Axelrod are professionals who have led winning campaigns while NOT stealing the outcome, although I’m sure votes were stolen.

They understand that a candidate runs to the middle in a general election.

Obama never embraced gay marriage until after he was elected which was dishonest but it was winning politics.

Crooked Hilary lost for a lot of reasons but she might not have lost had she not chosen a DEI hire as campaign manager and had a Carville or an Axelrod running her campaign.

Carville and Axelrod are not going to come out and trash Kamala publicly, they are if anything loyal Democrats.

There are not TREACHEROUS Republicans who have a former losing campaign manager like Steve Schmidt come out and openly trash the nominee.

Carville KNOWS the truth of just how badly the Komrade Kammy campaign is being run as does any seasoned professional remaining in the Democrat Party does.

I despise Carville.

He’d do anything to get a Democrat elected.

But in this case he ain’t out there pretending Komrade Kammy is running a winning campaign.


34 posted on 08/25/2024 6:47:53 AM PDT by Biblebelter
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To: Fai Mao
“Except Trump is not behind in the polls.”

That’s what (so far) allows me to sleep at night.

I used to scoff at polls showing the likes of Biden and even Obama with a lead.

Then Election Day arrived.

There may, indeed, be push-polls, but it should never be forgotten that there are an awful lot of ignorant, brain-washed people out there.

And they vote.

35 posted on 08/25/2024 6:48:49 AM PDT by daler
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To: Angelino97

Lots of his supporters won’t even answer the phone.


36 posted on 08/25/2024 6:48:56 AM PDT by VTenigma (Conspiracy theory is the new "spoiler alert")
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To: knighthawk

Carville, FTA: “’I think the debate on September 10 is going to be so consequential. It’s going to have an audience that we can’t believe, because what does America love, a train wreck.’


37 posted on 08/25/2024 7:48:07 AM PDT by simpson96
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To: Angelino97

NO people just do want to tell pollsters anything


38 posted on 08/25/2024 2:31:40 PM PDT by markman46 (engage brain before using keyboard!!!)
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To: napscoordinator

there is no reason for early voting starting in Sept two weeks before the election maybe, but two full months before NO, and HELL NO.


39 posted on 08/25/2024 2:33:40 PM PDT by markman46 (engage brain before using keyboard!!!)
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To: knighthawk

Low poll numbers are actually a good thing.


40 posted on 08/25/2024 9:45:59 PM PDT by Lisbon1940 (I don’t see why they would)
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