Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Trump's national lead over Biden grows — CBS News poll
CBS News ^ | 7.18.2024 | Anthony Salvanto

Posted on 07/18/2024 4:47:13 PM PDT by libh8er

POLITICS Trump's national lead over Biden grows — CBS News poll By Anthony Salvanto, Jennifer De Pinto, Fred Backus, Kabir Khanna

Updated on: July 18, 2024 / 5:40 PM EDT / CBS News

When former President Donald Trump accepts the Republican nomination Thursday night, he'll do so with his largest national lead over President Biden in the campaign thus far.

A slight majority, including some who aren't voting for him, say Trump's words in the days since the assassination attempt have been more unifying than divisive. Voters feel the same way about Mr. Biden's response to the tragic events, too.

But it is Trump with the growing advantage in the vote. Trump is up five points nationally now, and three across the key battleground states. To put that national lead in context: it's been 20 years since a Republican presidential candidate has won the national popular vote, and over 30 years since a Republican won by more than five.

The race across the battlegrounds moved one point more toward Trump today since we surveyed the battlegrounds last week.

For voters, Trump's perceived handling of the assassination attempt is a net-positive reason to consider voting for him, but that effect is limited overall; for two-thirds, it has not changed their consideration calculus either way.

Of the candidates atop the party tickets, Trump is the one more voters feel fights "a lot" for people like them.

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: biden; cbs; dementiajoe; poll; polls; trump; trump2024
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-34 last
To: All

Apples to Apples — CBS July 3 poll has Trump +2. So this is a +3 after the gunshot, and the July 3 number was post debate.

These are not big moves. The world has not decided on Trump, and Biden has not yet even had his convention.

Biden popular vote 2020 read +4.5. This is a huge move from 2020, but nearly all of that is from lawfare. There is no sudden love for Trump or rage about Biden’s cognition.

Nobody cares about the things people want to spend time on. This is just anger about inflation and anger at prosecutions. The border is likely not moving many votes. There was never an embracing of what Biden did at the border, but there never was. There has been no change in that.

It’s all inflation and lawfare.


21 posted on 07/18/2024 5:19:14 PM PDT by Owen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: libh8er

More than a 50/50 chance that this is propaganda to push Biden out. Once the new Dem nominee is in place, the See-BS poll miraculously will show the Dem tied or in the lead.


22 posted on 07/18/2024 5:23:07 PM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard (When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: All

Biden has only told them 50X that he is focused on the campaign.

A lot of this is building up an image of him as a steadfast and courageous fighter who is committed to his principles and will not run away. They need that to combat the assassination photo.

And yes, btw, the hatred of Trump is profound. There is almost no one in that array who will have their minds changed, and so the numbers are not going to move hardly at all.

The race is within the MOE of just about every poll — because of the above. There is no reason for him to drop out.


23 posted on 07/18/2024 5:30:59 PM PDT by Owen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: traderrob6

To quote norm: notice that the numbers do not add up to 100% as the math was done by a woman


24 posted on 07/18/2024 5:50:37 PM PDT by struggle
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: libh8er

Showing once again that Americans in general do NOT like to be on the ‘USS Titanic’ even if they have ‘the good seats.’ ;)


25 posted on 07/18/2024 5:51:04 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have, 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Owen

Good observations. Does it seem strange that Trump’s lead nationally at 5 points is actually larger than his lead in the 5 battleground states? I am not able to square that number. I would have expected the battleground state leads to be more than 5. It could be the smaller samples. Any ideas?


26 posted on 07/18/2024 6:34:53 PM PDT by nwrep
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: nwrep

I did notice that. When you start looking at those details you are shrinking a sample size that may have been something like 1200 nationally to a few hundred or a few 10s in particular states.

MOE becomes enormous.


27 posted on 07/18/2024 6:43:48 PM PDT by Owen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: traderrob6; EnderWiggin1970; Verginius Rufus; Fai Mao; Political Junkie Too; struggle

It doesn’t say that. It says Now 52%-47%, July 3 50%-48%

https://assets2.cbsnewsstatic.com/hub/i/2024/07/18/5d4b715b-6d8d-416d-ba02-712ffa13668d/nat-w-trend.png?v=5710b2ed1cee1bdfd30cb9c02455b43d


28 posted on 07/18/2024 6:52:41 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat

I needed an /s switch


29 posted on 07/18/2024 6:55:45 PM PDT by Fai Mao ( The US government is run by pedophiles and Perverts for pedophiles and perverts.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: nwrep

Nothing wrong with it. Just means bigger leads in other states. Or at least implied. Not shocking since those are called “battleground” for a reason.


30 posted on 07/18/2024 7:48:20 PM PDT by the OlLine Rebel (Common sense is an uncommon virtue./Federal-run medical care is as good as state-run DMVs.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: the OlLine Rebel

Math does not add up. It is likely very big errors in the battleground states.


31 posted on 07/18/2024 8:31:47 PM PDT by nwrep
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; BraveMan; cardinal4; ...

32 posted on 07/19/2024 4:41:49 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (The Demagogic Party is a collection of violent, rival street gangs.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: butlerweave

democraps have won multiple times with replacing crappy candidate with new crappy candidate and claiming its new. The problem here is that Bidens donation warchest can only be used by him and Kamala.


33 posted on 07/20/2024 10:18:18 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: traderrob6

52-47 Trump over Biden.


34 posted on 07/20/2024 10:23:50 PM PDT by Truthsearcher
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-34 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson