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Gavin Newsom's Chances of Beating Donald Trump, According to Polls
Newsweek ^ | 28/6/24 | Ewan Palmer

Posted on 06/30/2024 2:30:32 AM PDT by Eleutheria5

uestions have been raised as to whether Gavin Newsom should replace President Joe Biden as the 2024 Democratic nominee, but polls suggest the California governor would still lose to Donald Trump.

Fears over Biden's reelection hopes increased following the president's performance during the CNN debate on Thursday.

During the debate, Biden, who has faced concerns about his age as he seeks a second term, gave a number of incoherent and confusing responses to questions while also trailing off and not completing his sentences. Biden's voice also appeared hoarse, which his campaign team said was due to a cold.

The performance prompted calls from some Democrats for Biden to stand down and allow another candidate to seek the 2024 nomination at the Democratic National Convention in August. Newsom, long seen as a future Democratic White House hopeful, has already dismissed suggestions he or anyone else is hoping to replace Biden as the party's nominee.

Even if Biden were to stand down—essentially the only way he will not be the Democratic Party nominee in November—the polls available suggest Newsom would lose to Trump.

.....

(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; Front Page News; Government; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: california; gavinnewsom; kamalaharris; nancypelosi; newscum; newsom; newsome; poll; polls; postdebate; trump
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Polls are BS. But the MSM and DNC live by them, so they're predictive of their future actions. And since they take polls seriously, they are running out of options.
1 posted on 06/30/2024 2:30:32 AM PDT by Eleutheria5
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To: Eleutheria5

Polls are all they’ve got. They certainly don’t have logic or common sense.


2 posted on 06/30/2024 2:41:51 AM PDT by RoosterRedux (It's funny that the harder I work, the luckier I get.)
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To: Eleutheria5

Polls from earlier this year should be discounted. The MSM and the Democrats would ramp up their support of any Biden replacement candidate, demonstrably changing the dynamic. 40-45% of the country will vote for any candidate with a “D” after their name, so ANY replacement would be immediately viable. The media would then push that percentage higher.


3 posted on 06/30/2024 2:46:11 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist (Government is best which governs least.)
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To: Eleutheria5

Newsome would do considerably worse than Biden vs Trump. It would be incredibly easy to paint him (accurately) as an oily, hair slicked back, lying, weasely, radical Commiefornia leftist. Newsome does not sell outside of the Left Coast. Sure Democrat strongholds like Chicago and the Acela Corridor would vote for him because they would vote for any Democrat. But he’d lose Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, the South, and the non Left Coast West. He’d get trounced.


4 posted on 06/30/2024 2:47:56 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: FLT-bird
California has festered and rotted under his stewardship. For some bizarro reason that's a plus in California.


5 posted on 06/30/2024 3:05:19 AM PDT by Eleutheria5 (Every Goliath has his David. Child in need of a CGM system. https://gofund.me/6452dbf1. )
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To: Eleutheria5

Since the media and DNC have endangered our country with an incompetent Biden, every American in every state should tell pollsters they are voting for Trump just to see heads explode.


6 posted on 06/30/2024 3:22:22 AM PDT by cnsmom
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To: Eleutheria5

His slogan “Make America San Francisco “ or “Make America California. “


7 posted on 06/30/2024 3:27:16 AM PDT by tired&retired (Blessings )
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To: Eleutheria5

Polls, polls, polls - my question is whether Newsome would be under Obama’s control. Teh Halfrican isn’t going to go quietly.


8 posted on 06/30/2024 3:30:55 AM PDT by Chad C. Mulligan (Your insults are my rocket fuel. )
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To: Eleutheria5

The real question is who would step up to oppose a rather strong Donald Trump and likely hurt their chances 4 years later.

Would the Hidabeast risk another stunning loss? Is it worth it if there is a likelihood she will be left off ballots in at least 4 states?

If they Amendment 25 Joe, Kamala becomes the first black and female president. How do they not let her run then?

Big Mike also has an uphill climb. Anyone under 30 probably doesn’t remember Obama. Those that do are in the D camp anyway. She/he/they/ze has the same 4 state problem.

They are best just letting Dr Jill continue the campaign and concentrating the cheat on winning the House and Senate.

EC


9 posted on 06/30/2024 3:31:49 AM PDT by Ex-Con777
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To: RoosterRedux
Polls are all they’ve got.

Regardless of the nominee, they ALWAYS have MASSIVE VOTER FRAUD.

10 posted on 06/30/2024 3:43:36 AM PDT by newfreep ("There is no race problem...just a problem race")
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To: newfreep
This article is about what the Democrats are saying in public.

Perhaps I should have added, polls are all they got to admit to publicly.

They can't openly discuss their voter fraud effort, can they?

11 posted on 06/30/2024 3:56:07 AM PDT by RoosterRedux (It's funny that the harder I work, the luckier I get.)
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To: Eleutheria5

Gavin Newsome: the Mitt Romney of the ‘rats


12 posted on 06/30/2024 3:57:14 AM PDT by PGalt (Past Peak Civilization?)
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To: RoosterRedux

Everyone knows they cheat with voter fraud - no need to openly discuss.


13 posted on 06/30/2024 4:04:13 AM PDT by newfreep ("There is no race problem...just a problem race")
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To: Eleutheria5

Tucker Carlson Gives His Opinion on Joe Biden’s “Dementia” Debate Performance

June 29, 2024 | Sundance | 555 Comments

I doubt there’s a person who regularly reads the Treehouse who doesn’t know our long-standing prediction about the 2024 democrat nomination. Factually, if you go back to the first set of articles written after the 2020 election, you will find it has not changed in almost 4 years.

Biden was installed for a single throw every leftist wish list item at the wall term in office.  Biden equaled, one single term where every far-left agenda item would be triggered; with hundreds of millions poured into the donors’ vaults via GND legislation.

With that baseline in mind, we accepted that Biden would not be the left-wing 2024 nominee regardless of how much people stomped their feet and said he would.  That scenario was just never going to happen, and still won’t.   I never flinched from that non-pretending position.

My own prediction was that someone akin to Gavin Newsom would be joined with someone akin to Susan Rice.  I have written about it extensively.  Every single person in/around my orbit knows that for me the conversation in the last 48 hours is like discussing water that lacks dryness.

These are the moments when I just sit and watch.  There’s really not much for me to say or write, other than to wait, then bring everyone into the room of ramifications that comes after walking down the hallway where reality gets accepted.  In the ramification room we start discussing how the multinationals, World Bank, World Trade Organization, NATO, EU, BRICS, Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin will respond to the non-pretending reality.

Right now, everyone in the USA is discussing the ‘remove Biden’ political landscape domestically. However, in the bigger picture there’s an entire world of really big issues that come along when the USA media start openly admitting the USA president has dementia. There’s a reason why President Trump refused to engage this conversation before. It’s not good for the world.

When you use a bullhorn to announce the zookeeper is sick, people near the big cats start discussing how to unlock the cages. Yes, sure, people like Barack Obama and his tribe will giggle and laugh, but in the biggest of big pictures this loud public conversation is not good for our country or the world. It is good that we all stop pretending; our Lord knows we have hoped the pretending would cease. But don’t forget to think… and watch out for what comes next.  

Here’s Tucker Carlson:

Also, keep this in mind…..

 

When you think about who will replace Joe Biden, remember the baseline.

The problem democrats have is not that Biden has lost his marbles or is losing the election, the problem is that Biden is losing by a scale that is too big for them to cover.

Democrats don’t need a candidate who can beat Donald Trump; they need a candidate who can give plausibility to ballot counting results that say Trump lost.

The issue for Biden is that he makes the fraud too easy to see. Democrats don’t need a candidate who can win votes, the Democrats need a candidate who makes fraudulent results seem plausible.

Think about it, because that’s the baseline.


14 posted on 06/30/2024 4:07:14 AM PDT by Bratch
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To: Eleutheria5

Once Trump makes it loud and clear that it doesn’t matter who the dem’s nominee is because the policies will remain the same no matter who it is, then whatever advantage the dems think they’ll get by replacing Biden will evaporate.
It’s not Biden that’s destroying the country, it’s the policies the radical left is pursuing, and that’s not going to change.
Despite all the media focus on Biden’s dementia, in reality, all the media hoopla is no more than a tempest in a teacup.
It’s the policies, not the candidate.


15 posted on 06/30/2024 4:33:59 AM PDT by Thapsus_epiphany (Socialism is a prison, Communism is a death camp )
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To: Eleutheria5

One option remains, putting Trump in prison on Jul 11th seems a likely move, it’s almost a sure bet now.


16 posted on 06/30/2024 5:38:59 AM PDT by baclava
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To: Eleutheria5

Speaking of polls, where are the latest Trump/Biden polls? I have not seen any sense the debate.


17 posted on 06/30/2024 5:57:12 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Eleutheria5

The public doesn’t know newsome. If he were to become the candidate, there would be a massive blast of ads, articles and speeches that would paint newsome as a rational moderate.

A brain-dead public might actually believe it.

The battle isn’t over. biden will, or already has, told the judge to send Trump to jail.


18 posted on 06/30/2024 6:02:03 AM PDT by I want the USA back (Voltaire: To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize.)
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To: RoosterRedux

THEY WOULD HAVE TO REPLACE KAMALA, ALSO.

CANNOT HAVE BOTH CANDIDATES FROM SAME STATE-————


19 posted on 06/30/2024 6:12:50 AM PDT by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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To: I want the USA back
"The battle isn’t over. biden will, or already has, told the judge to send Trump to jail."

Yup, at this point, that seems to be their only out...

The Moo-Shell thing...if the O'bummer goes that way, I think he'll make a lot of enemies in the demonrat party..

20 posted on 06/30/2024 6:17:24 AM PDT by unread (I pledge allegiance to the flag of the United States of America, and to the REPUBLIC..!)
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