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2024 Race: Dead Heat: Biden 46%, Trump 46%, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Support For Legal Abortion Reaches All-Time High
Quinnipiac University National Poll ^ | 04/24/2024

Posted on 04/24/2024 9:03:53 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

If the election for president were being held today, the race would be a dead heat between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump with each candidate receiving 46 percent support, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.

Democrats support Biden (92 - 6 percent), while Republicans support Trump (90 - 6 percent). Independents are split, with 44 percent supporting Biden and 42 percent supporting Trump.

"In a country at odds over wars and the economy, abortion, immigration and the very survival of democracy, there is one current point of agreement: there's no daylight between the candidates. It's a tie," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

When the matchup is expanded to include independent and Green Party candidates, the race is still a dead heat, with Biden receiving 37 percent support, Trump receiving 37 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receiving 16 percent support, Green Party candidate Jill Stein receiving 3 percent support, and independent candidate Cornel West receiving 3 percent support.

BIDEN JOB APPROVAL

Voters give President Biden a negative 35 - 61 percent job approval rating, compared to a negative 37 - 59 percent job approval rating in Quinnipiac University's March 27 poll.

TRUMP CRIMINAL CHARGES

Voters were asked about the New York City criminal trial against former President Trump in connection with charges of falsifying business records, including a hush money payment to an adult film actress.

Nearly 7 out of 10 voters (69 percent) say they are following news regarding the trial either very closely (34 percent) or somewhat closely (35 percent), while 30 percent say they are following it not too closely.

Six in 10 voters (60 percent) think the charges of falsifying business records, including a hush money payment to an adult film actress, are either very serious (40 percent) or somewhat serious (20 percent), while 35 percent think the charges are either not too serious (13 percent) or not serious at all (22 percent).

Forty-six percent of voters believe former President Trump did something illegal, while 27 percent believe he did something unethical but nothing illegal, and 18 percent believe he did not do anything wrong.

Voters were asked how it would impact their vote if Donald Trump were convicted in the New York City criminal trial. If Trump were convicted, 21 percent say they would be less likely to vote for him, 62 percent say it would not make a difference to their vote, and 15 percent say they would be more likely to vote for him.

Five percent of Trump voters say if he were convicted they would be less likely to vote for him, 62 percent say it would not make a difference to their vote, and 31 percent say they would be more likely to vote for him.

"The first Trump trial has the attention of voters and they see the charges as serious. However, Trump voters give it a shrug when asked about their reaction to a possible conviction," added Malloy.

ABORTION

Two-thirds of voters (66 percent) think abortion should be legal in either all cases (34 percent) or most cases (32 percent), while 27 percent of voters think abortion should be illegal in either most cases (22 percent) or all cases (5 percent).

Support for legal abortion (66 percent) is at the highest level in two decades of Quinnipiac University polls. Support for legal abortion in all cases (34 percent) is also near a record high and support for abortion being illegal in all cases (5 percent) is at a record low.

Voters 85 - 10 percent think abortion should be legal when the pregnancy is caused by rape or incest.

Voters 89 - 5 percent think abortion should be legal when it is necessary to save the life of the mother.

Voters were asked what they would do if a family member or friend told them she plans on having an abortion. A majority (53 percent) would support her plan, while 32 percent would try to talk her out of it, and 14 percent did not offer an opinion.

Asked what they would do if a family member or friend told them she plans on having an abortion after being a victim of rape or incest, 80 percent would support her plan, while 13 percent would try to talk her out of it, and 7 percent did not offer an opinion.

"There has never been this much approval for a woman's right to choose in the last 20 years. And on the deepest personal level, a majority of voters say if a loved one were considering ending a pregnancy, they would not try to dissuade her," added Malloy.

SPREADING OF FALSE INFORMATION

Nearly three-quarters of voters (74 percent) are either very concerned (48 percent) or somewhat concerned (26 percent) that another country is spreading false information inside the United States in an attempt to stir up divisions to weaken the United States, while 24 percent of voters are either not so concerned (11 percent) or not concerned at all (13 percent).

"The list of 'bad actor' countries intent on disrupting American society is short and well known and three- quarters of your fellow citizens say they are worried about it," added Malloy.

MIDDLE EAST

Eighty-one percent of voters are either very concerned (42 percent) or somewhat concerned (39 percent) that the United States will be drawn into a military conflict in the Middle East, while 17 percent are either not so concerned (10 percent) or not concerned at all (7 percent).

Voters are divided on the United States sending more military aid to Israel for their efforts in the war with Hamas, as 46 percent support it, while 44 percent oppose it.

Thirty-two percent of voters think the United States is doing too little to provide humanitarian aid to civilians in Gaza, while 20 percent think the U.S. is doing too much, and 31 percent think the U.S. is doing about the right amount.

UKRAINE/RUSSIA

Voters 53 - 40 percent support the United States sending more military aid to Ukraine for their efforts in the war with Russia.

Voters 67 - 21 percent think that Vladimir Putin has intentions to invade other countries beyond Ukraine.

If Russia invades a NATO country, voters 63 - 26 percent think American troops should get involved.

1,429 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from April 18th - 22nd with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2024; butmuhpolls; chat; fakenews; fakepolls; notnews; poll; presidency; quinnipiac; tds; tldr
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To: SeekAndFind

Just setting the stage for the steal.


41 posted on 04/24/2024 11:50:03 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (The worst thing about censorship is █████ ██ ████ ████ ████ █ ███████ ████. FJB.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I had ignored polls since 2016 So I have no idea ff any poll is right.


42 posted on 04/24/2024 11:56:50 PM PDT by roving (Deplorable Listless Vessel Trumpist With Trumpitis and a Rainbow Bully)
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To: nwrep

[Biden will easily win 310 EVs. Trump has no chance.]


Two points

1) In 04/2020, Quinnipiac showed Biden up by 8 points. So a tie in 04/2024 is a big comedown for Biden.
2) Quinnipiac’s final 2020 poll showed Biden up by 11%. Biden won by 4.5%. That’s a 6.5% overestimate of Biden’s margin. Apply it to this poll, and Trump is up by 6.5%.

However you slice it, Biden is sailing into rough waters.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/trump-vs-biden
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden


43 posted on 04/24/2024 11:57:30 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room)
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To: SeekAndFind

One would have to be braindead to believe this pushpoll. This is an effort to both demoralize the American people and to set them up to except another stolen election.


44 posted on 04/25/2024 12:26:22 AM PDT by JayGalt (DEI = Didn’t Earn It)
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To: All
Killing babies is at an all time high.

The killings will be held at the arena of your home town.

Get your tickets before they're all sold out.

Silly you don't want to miss the mass killings

First up though will be an extra highlight for the evening. *drum roll* 29 depressed women and 48 former military will die by euthanasia.

We hope our offerings eh contributions will please the overlords.
45 posted on 04/25/2024 12:29:19 AM PDT by ssfromla (All of this is to see how far they can push us and I have to tell)
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To: Conway Feebs
Many consider it the hill to die on, but remember you’ll lose everything else over it.

Conventional wisdom! What else is there to lose? Eldercide jabs? DEI? Transgender indoctrination of children? Socialized medicine? Transgender military? Forced war with Russia? The abortion hill is the most noble hill to die on in a losing battle.
46 posted on 04/25/2024 12:34:34 AM PDT by Jan_Sobieski (Sanctification)
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To: Bullish

I do find these polls hard to believe but I never underestimate the number of selfish and stupid women. Unrestricted abortions are their number one priority. I never realized how many sluts we had in America. The fact is that they will still be able to kill their offspring under a Trump presidency. I hope that their instincts to survive and thrive are stronger than their instincts to destroy life.


47 posted on 04/25/2024 12:44:48 AM PDT by Rdct29 (The Democrats Are The New Nazi Party )
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To: frank ballenger

Old Glory weeps. When over half the country thinks baby murder is the paramount issue. God fearing conservatives must stay true to the Word as Revelation unfolds before us!


48 posted on 04/25/2024 1:42:23 AM PDT by 2nd Amendment
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To: SeekAndFind
Polls mean nothing!

It's not who votes - rather it's who counts the votes and how are they counted. Democrat voter fraud has not been addressed. The republican party either doesn't care or it believes there is no fraud. Despite being presented with evidence of voter fraud, our courts and state legislatures have not addressed the problem. In light of the democrat voter fraud machine and the government institutions that continue to turn a blind eye, why should anyone believe the 2024 outcome will be any different than 2020?

49 posted on 04/25/2024 1:55:19 AM PDT by JesusIsLord
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To: SeekAndFind

dead heat in the steal


50 posted on 04/25/2024 2:11:00 AM PDT by ronnie raygun
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To: SeekAndFind

Quinnipiac. ROTFLMAO!

Does anybody really need to say anything more? THE most consistently laughable Democrat push poll out there.


51 posted on 04/25/2024 2:25:21 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: SeekAndFind

The groundwork for the 2024 steal is being laid


52 posted on 04/25/2024 2:44:12 AM PDT by knighthawk (We will always remember We will always be proud We will always be prepared so we may always be free)
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To: Bullish

Quinnipiac is notorious for being tilted toward the Dems.


53 posted on 04/25/2024 3:23:53 AM PDT by Rockingham (`)
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To: SeekAndFind

Remember when Trump’s big lead in the polls was gospel and a big reason to renominate him? Welp, now polls are fake again.


54 posted on 04/25/2024 3:24:50 AM PDT by Behind Liberal Lines
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To: Bullish

If they’re tied that means Trump is ahead by 5. That’s what we said last time. Don’t count those chickens yet FRiend


55 posted on 04/25/2024 3:29:50 AM PDT by TermLimits4All ("If you stand for nothing, you'll fall for anything.")
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To: princess leah

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3896

There’s a link to the methodology at the above.

It’s yet another cooked poll.


56 posted on 04/25/2024 3:46:43 AM PDT by mewzilla (Never give up; never surrender!)
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To: Conway Feebs

SNIFF


57 posted on 04/25/2024 3:58:11 AM PDT by grey_whiskers ( The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: princess leah

Quinnipiac University polling is a very left leaning org, they are never even close on Election Day.

In 2020 they had Biden winning OH and FL in their final poll for the cycle. Trump won Ohio by 8 and Florida by 3.5.

They never have been remotely close, always have Dems 4 or more points higher than they perform at a minimum. Not even sure why anyone considers them a top tier polling outfit, their record is historically way way off,.


58 posted on 04/25/2024 4:12:22 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: mewzilla

Quinnipiac is a left leaning outfit they always have Dems grossly overperforming reality in their polls.

Their final poll in 2020 had Biden winning bit Fl Na Oh.

For the record Trump won OH by 8 and FL by 3.5.

I can’t recall the last Quinnipiac poll where they were not off by at least 4 points, on the minimum and they are always off by 4+ or more in favor of Dems.

I really don’t know why they are considered a top tier polling or, I can’t recall a single poll where they have been anywhere near close to final results in decades.


59 posted on 04/25/2024 4:16:46 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Rockingham

Din ding ding.

Their final 2020 poll had Biden winning Oh and Fl

Trump won OH by 8 and Fl by 3.5

I cant recall the last time Quinnipiac polling didn’t have democrats up at least 4 points (or more) higher than their final performance. I really don’t know how they are considered a top tier polling outfit any longer they have been off so badly for so long.


60 posted on 04/25/2024 4:20:35 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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