Biden opens up lead on Trump amid growing gender gap: Quinnipiac poll

The Hill ^ | 01/31/2024 | JULIA MUELLER

[ChicagoConservative27]

President Biden has opened up a 6 point lead in a hypothetical head-to-head match-up with former President Trump, new polling shows, amid signs of a growing gender gap in support for the two party front-runners.

A new Quinnipiac University national poll found Biden with 50 percent support among registered voters, ahead of Trump’s 44 percent.

That’s a shift in the incumbent’s favor from December, when Quinnipiac found the same Biden-Trump hypothetical “too close to call,” with Biden at 47 percent support and Trump at 46 percent.

Biden also scored majority support among independents in the latest findings, with 52 percent support to Trump’s 40 percent.

[Army Air Corps]

Ah, a Quinnipiac University poll.

[edie1960]

A more respected poll from Bloomberg today shows Trump with a substantial lead in each of the seven swing states, including PA and Michigan. Q-pac is always off, they consistently show Senile leading.

>>>Praying that Bloomberg is accurate.

Also, it’s strange and suspicious how this awful Q poll was dumped this afternoon so soon after the wonderful Bloomberg battleground states was released this morning.

Trump’s 3.9% GE GE average lead dropped to 2.6%

[ProtectOurFreedom]

Like most such outlets, The Hill is reporting on somebody else's work. In this case they are reporting on a Quinnipiac Poll. Is Quinnipiac reliable? They are ranked rather low in the poll reviews I just read, but I honestly don't know.

Here's the link to the original poll and article if you are interested.

2024 Matchups: Biden Opens Up Lead Over Trump In Head-To-Head, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Haley Leads Biden 1 On 1, But Trails When Third Party Candidates Are Added

[Osage Orange]

I want what you are smoking!!!

[scottinoc]

This contradicts nearly every other recent poll. Based on RCP average, Trump has hovered around a 3-4 pt lead for months. I would tend to ignore the lib’s cherry picked poll du jour and go with RCP, since Trump never lead in that RCP poll against The Beast in 2016 or against the Veg in 2020.

[Robert DeLong]

Everyone just needs to get more inspired to make sure that you do not get complacent. In other words, vote early & often.

[Nextrush]

Registered voters is not who actually shows up to vote.

[Skwor]

So this one poll from one of the most unreliable and noted political pollsters is the Gospel to you but all the other polls that state the exact opposite you chose to ignore as you rant.

Good to know.

[Jean2]

IIRC El Rushbo once said that there was no such thing as an independent. He claimed that they were just libs/dems who don’t have the guts to admit it. Not sure I agree with that.

[Owen]

I went through the Qpac poll methodology.

I don’t see major problems with it. They call both landlines and cellphones. They take over 1000 samples. They do not impose a partisan mix. They do measure what their samples produced, but it is not presented.

They do weight results according to Census data for age, gender, region, etc. There IS a mild potential problem with this in that the Census was corrupted to minimize seat loss in Congress.

[x]

As in 2016, Trump could still carry the swing states necessary to win, but not win the nationwide popular vote.

But will he?

[hcmama]

Believe me.

They do not care.

[VideoDoctor]

This is the pre-election PROPAGANDA MACHINE attempting to ready the electorate for yet ANOTHER ELECTION FRAUD/CHEAT!

[HandBasketHell]

Rubbish poll -- Registered Voters, not Likely Voters.

And it also shows Nimarata winning if it's just her and the Vegetable.

They want a poll that will push their agenda...

[Jane Long]

[SuperLuminal]

"52 percent to 40 percent on independents????"

A well-established serfdom is dependable and easily manipulated...

Throw in Soros plus 15-20 million of the 60-million migrant invaders who will probably vote in the 2024 swindle...
The American Communist Party continues on a roll...

[Renfrew]

The question is not who will get the most votes.

The question is how America will react when Biden steals a second election.

[edie1960]

I went through the Qpac poll methodology.

Thanks, Owen, for sharing your analysis.

Still not good to see Trump losing so much ground to Brandon in recent weeks in this survey when all the others had him gaining steam.

[CaptainK]

According to RealClearPolitics, Trump has a 2.5 spread over the cadaver for the entire month of January

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden

[scottinoc]

As in 2016, Trump could still carry the swing states necessary to win, but not win the nationwide popular vote.

But will he?

Neither candidate will win the "popular vote" by 5%. Just won't happen in this day and age. Neither will a Republican EVER win the "popular vote" any time soon. But Trump is killing it in all of the 7 swing states right now, except WI and PA. Looks like a clear path to victory right now, barring a black swan event (including Trump dying) or a deus ex machina event like a hyped up Moochelle/Newsome dream ticket with all hands on deck.