Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.
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Hebert's Boxes
The NHC later apologized and basically said it did not care about the interior population but worried changing the warning for coastal residents .
NHC are Complete Jack A$$es and dont trust them .
I’m a cracker in north flordia. The state wouldn’t have needed Citizens Property Insurance Corp, if all was well. Six private carriers have left the state since 2017. This event will further destroy the market, and the taxpayers will continue to subsidies the market.
I’ll never forget Allstate cancelling thousands of Andrew policies AFTER the storm. And they got away with it.
Well, maybe not all of them...
God help them...
I think we’re going to see an update to Cat 5 soon. The storm will make landfall as a Cat 5 imo.
Insurance is about managing risk.
For both the policy holders and the issuers.
Deep State won’t tolerate healthy, competitive insurance markets.
And customers who don’t understand the purpose of insurance, customers who get away with insurance fraud make the situation worse.
very curious to see how the “storm surge” in Ian plays out. Andrew, supposedly a Cat 5, the damage was mainly done by wind...for some reason, there was really no “surge” that you’d expect....i still say the northern Gulf Coast produces the big storm surges....guess we’ll see this time...
Still people walking onto that pier. One guy had an umbrella that immediately inverted on him. I think they were playing to the webcam.
ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Hurricane Ian Discussion Number 24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
1100 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022
Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane Hunter data was absolutely
critical this morning in diagnosing the rapid intensification of
Ian, despite both planes undergoing multiple eyewall penetrations
experiencing severe turbulence. That data supported an intensity of
about 135 kt a few hours ago. Since that time, high-resolution
Tampa Doppler radar data has been sampling the eyewall near 10,000
ft with winds up to 155 kt, indicating that Ian is on the threshold
of category 5 status. The maximum winds are set to 135 kt on this
advisory.
Ian is expected to make landfall in southwestern Florida in the next
few hours as a catastrophic hurricane. No changes were made to the
track forecast near Florida, except to be faster to come into line
with the latest consensus aids. One important change is that Ian
is likely to remain more intact as it crosses the Florida peninsula
(due to both its stronger initial wind speed and its faster forecast
forward speed), and this now increases the threat of hurricane-force
winds on the east coast of Florida. This necessitates the issuance
of a Hurricane Warning on the east coast of central Florida. While
significant re-strengthening of Ian might not occur over the
Atlantic Ocean, model guidance has been catching up with a
trough interaction from a shortwave over the southern United
States, and are stronger than yesterday on Ian’s intensity with
more baroclinic forcing. Thus, a Hurricane Watch has been issued
from northeastern Florida northward up the coast through most of
coastal South Carolina. The new intensity forecast is raised from
the previous one, near the latest statistical-dynamical guidance.
People think they’re so invincible.
Last year my BIL wore his glasses into the Gulf, which of course isn’t all that rough most of the time, but as you said, all it takes is one errant wave. That wave came and knocked him over (he’s at least 230 lbs). Off came the glasses, which he is blind without.
Later that day, my sister and I were in up to our knees searching for shells and whatnot about a quarter mile away. We had little nets with us. We saw something clear like a jellyfish rolling around in the waves. She swooped with her net and caught it. It was my BIL’s glasses, completely intact!! We took it as a gift from Heaven, courtesy of a family member who had passed not long before.
Has he found a blue shed for this one? He does seem to be in the center of things quite often.
I really hope this isn’t as bad as the weather stations are saying it will be. I grew up down there and some can be brutal.
My husband has been glued to the weather on TV since before daylight. This storm is worrying him to death. He is 84 and is so worried about flooding and what we need to do to prepare.
We are in Tennessee, bless his heart.
Based on that map, our relative’s house in Bonita Springs is in the potentially 9 foot storm surge zone. He thinks they’ll just have a bunch of rain and maybe some wind. Oh boy. I’m just glad they’re not riding it out in their vacation property. He’s probably well insured, but still . . .
Thank goodness a few survive there .
Praying for everyone in the path of this monster. I hope all our Freeper friends on the coast have bugged out.
The AL MS Katrina damage was from the storm, not caused by corrupt building practices like New Orleans.
They just shut it down, finally. Prevent stupid people from killing themselves and their pets.
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