Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
Mash image to enlarge
Hebert's Boxes
Looks like he parked on top of a 2-3 floor concrete parking garage. They showed the stairwell close to him where he could retreat if needed. I guess...
Zoom into the Ft Myers/Cape Coral area to see just how bad it could be:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/095758.shtml?inundation#contents
We have another set of acquaintances that have a huge house on Marco Island. It’s solid construction, but they’re going to take some damage too.
good map to save if you are going to buy property there in the future.
Just Saw in Port Charlotte Bay (Gasporilla Sound) where water had been sucked out by Ian’s off shore winds ‘exposing the ground’ - like before a Tusami hits!’
Watr will return along with the surge will be destructive.
Live video from Mediterra Beach Club camera
https://526540bdc27a7.click2stream.com/
YIKES! Cape Coral is going to catch hell.
Haven’t you heard? Katrina was the only hurricane in history to only hit ONE city.
Alabama and Mississippi were completely unscathed! /s/
hoping my sis who said she would ride it out on Anna Maria Island/Holmes Beach area is somewhere safe. She runs a restaurant on the island lives at Holmes Beach...it does not look good from what I’m seeing.
venice
Storm chaser watching Ian pull water out of Charolette Bay
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yi4QvAw0Kg4
Thanks for the link. Helpful to those who are far away from loved ones.
Not only intense lightning, but sometimes large hail in the upper part of the eyewall. It doesn’t make it to the ground though as it’s too warm and the updraft too strong, but hurricane hunters have been pummeled by it. If that is happening the storm is rapidly intensifying. Also, on the ground/water, you get tornado vortices rotating in the eyewall.
“Alabama and Mississippi were completely unscathed!”
That’s always been one of the great under-reported stories about Katrina - the damage to the MS and AL Gulf Coast. The damage there was absolutely beyond belief and it didn’t get 1/10th of the coverage that NO did.
Ft Myers Beach pier still has an operational webcam. 3 idiots in the surf. One went to end of pier.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cwTGxbOjZhQ
There’s a webcam in Plant City, about 30 miles east of Tampa.
It’s not as cool as one of the webcams facing the water - but as Ian approaches, you can see the changes in the weather.
Also, for those of you who like trains, it’s on a diamond where two CSX lines out of Tampa converge there. as of this morning, CSX was still running trains in and out of Tampa.
I can’t post the link here because my work computer has blocked YouTube - but if you go to a search engine and type in PLANT CITY WEBCAM, you’ll see it.
This is gonna be really ugly. No hype, no sugarcoating... people are going to die tonight with this storm.
000
WTNT64 KNHC 281358
TCUAT4
Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
1000 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022
...10 AM EDT IAN POSITION UPDATE...
...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS NEARING THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN
FLORIDA...
Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that hurricane-force winds are approaching the coast of Florida near
Sanibel Island. The Southwest Regional Airport in Fort Myers
recently reported a wind gust of 62 mph (100 km/h).
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EDT...1400 UTC...INFORMATION
$$
Forecaster Beven
“Alabama and Mississippi were completely unscathed!”
238 dead in Mississippi
15’ surge in Mobile Bay, 600,000 lost power
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.