Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.
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Hebert's Boxes
ZCZC MIATCUAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
900 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022
...9 AM EDT IAN POSITION UPDATE...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
COAST OF FLORIDA...
Peak Storm Surge Inundation has been increased for the following
locations:
* From Englewood to Bonita Beach...12-18 ft
* Charlotte Harbor...12-18 ft
* From Bonita Beach to Chokoloskee...8-12 ft
* From Chokoloskee to East Cape Sable...5-8 ft
SUMMARY OF 900 AM EDT...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
$$
Forecaster Beven
NNNN
STAY SAFE! May GOD be with you!
NN, my prayers are with you. We have been through a lot of storms together and you have been a blessing.
I am near Jupiter and near the ocean. Our’s was a rain event with quite a few tornado warnings and possibly water spouts over the ocean. We are mostly done. I know this isn’t much consolation for you but my thoughts are with you and my west coasters.
Where is he at?
Prayers up.
One of my science professors used to tell us that there was no such thing as an “Expert” when it came to meteorology, only varying degrees of ignorance.
What we still don’t know about God’s creation amazes me.
Yea.. that's what I told them. Wind, and even rain flooding is survivable. a 10-12 ft storm surge may not be.
They are in the Bonita Springs area. I'm not sure what the elevation is there, but it can't be very high. I'm not one who likes to evacuate... at least, I wasn't when I was younger. But, I'm not riding out a Cat 4 or above on land that is within 10 miles of the coast or less than 20' elevation.
A tree caught fire as a result of a lightning strike in Delray Beach
Jeff Piotrowski
Stormchaser LIVE Now in Venice FL eyewall soon
https://rumble.com/v1lsrxw-hurricane-ian.html
I remember the last minute shift Katrina made.
The MSM has to hype everything.
Ain’t that the truth! My professor used to say to me that an education doesn’t tell you everything. It just tells you how much you still don’t know! lol
Is that guy driving, too?
Godspeed, NN.
Hopefully, this naughty Ian picks ups some speed and moves on out!
12-18 ft?
All those coastal communities gonna be completely underwater.
Why folks within eyesight of ocean or bayfront “ride it out” is beyond me when they see a big hurricane coming
Ivan was 2004. I was talking with my cousin who lives in an inland suburb of Tampa last night. He’s not that worried but he’s on high ground and 57 miles from the bay. He has storm shutters and a generator.
We just put a 38 foot travel trailer on our property in Habersham but its out in an open area with no trees around. I don’t think thirty mph gusts will do anything to it.
Florida is going to get a strong wind/water surges. Hopefully
they are prepared and in safe locations. I’ve been thru a few
in my lifetime and have had major damage to a house I had left
for the storm. Fortunately insurance took care of the damage.
I was out of the property for about six months.
The barrier islands are going to be swamped, there's no riding it out there unless you're in a 3rd floor condo or higher and like to do w/o electricity.
I did a quick search and came up with 10 foot elevation. That sounds about right as an average. We have a loved one with a place in Bonita Springs that's 2 miles from open ocean and about 1-3/4 miles from the bay. I doubt he's at 10 feet elevation. The house is pre-Andrew. I think he'll be mighty glad it's not his primary residence.
A lot of people and animals will need help after Ian is done with them.
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