Posted on 10/07/2020 10:15:09 AM PDT by sojc
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_oct07
Survey of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted September 30, October 1 and 4-6, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points.
America 1776-2008 RIP.
You buried America on your homepage 12 years ago.
They had her +7 at this point.
Very ugly. In a scant 3 weeks the effing bottom dropped out. Hes got 4 weeks to get it back.
Does anybody believe that Trump has only 76% support among Republicans?
Ugly. The crosstabs show that the President is only getting 76% support from republicans. If you believe that 24% of republicans are ok with the left taking over, than this is scary. However, if you believe that number is impossible, and just a symptom of most republicans not answering polls or some other reason for undercounting republican support, then keep hope alive. Additionally, if you believe the President is down 12, then you must also believe that Ohio, Florida, NC, Georgia, are gone and Texas is in play. There is no way for us to have a D+12 poll without such a State landslide. I’m disappointed in seeing this and would like to see a closer outcome in a Rasmussen poll, but something is not right.
Well, I guess that’s it, Kids. Don’t even bother to vote. Slow Joe and ‘Heels Up’ have this in the bag.
*SNORT*
I never believed Trump would win the popular vote(Because of CA) so a poll like this sorta makes sense..what matters are the battleground states
Do you think it would be published?
I don’t trust Rasmussen. The week before his Convention, they had Trump at 52%. Then during the week of his Convention, they had him at 46%.
Everyone here understands popular vote doesn't directly impact electoral vote, but a large popular vote gap is a massive warning signal on which way swing states are going to land.
Trump lost to Hilary by 2% of the popular vote, and won the electoral college by carrying swing states that Democrats have recently won like Michigan and Pennsylvania by a small margin. If Trump loses the popular vote by 12% or 10% or even 5%, those states will swing back to blue, and it will be an electoral loss.
Calm down everybody. If Biden had a true 12 point lead, or even a substantial lead, he wouldn’t be campaigning in Minnesota and PA, and Trump wouldn’t have pulled his ads out of Iowa and Ohio. Also, early vote numbers show drop-off in black and youth voting.
He will win CA by 400! He can win by 5 pts, and still lose the Electoral College.
Y’know, even the most black-pill, doom ‘n gloomer like me knows that a 12 pt. lead is ludicrous.
It is self-evidential that the poll is a big steaming pile of shite.
Ugh, this is bad.
But, as some have pointed out, the election is actually 51 separate elections. If 2500 likely voters are equally divided and they actually sampled 50 people in each state (and DC), then this is, in fact bad news, very bad news. But we know that several high population states, CA, NY, MA, NJ, IL are likely going to vote overwhelming democrat, because that’s just what they do.
There are some states that Biden is going to win. There are some states that PDJT is going to win. The polls that really matter are going to be in the swing states. If Biden is leading by 12 points there, then it is really bad news.
I tried to look up the demographic data to see if there are any shenanigans with oversampling Democrats.
The crosstabs are behind a pay wall.
I believe Rasmussen uses the same 2500 voters each time and calls them in groups of 600 over 4 separate days. Thats the way it used to be done when Rasmussen actually owned the Rasmussen Polling.
Ive said for MONTHS, if people want Communism, who am I to stop them. Sanders will control everyone’s health care, there will be NO more 2nd Amendment, there will be open borders, you will have 20+ million pouring into our country yearly..you will have reparations for slavery, basically your money will be used to pay people for something you never did, Antifa will be the new police force..is that what people want..because if they do I cant do a damn thing about it..but once we go Communist there is NO going back, once a country goes Communist that country is NEVER the same again
So these rules didn’t have to be invented back in 2016?
The Rasmussen that had Trump ahead just three weeks ago.
anynone wanna guess who may have called Razmuffin and warned him/told him what to report,, or else !!
How about the chicoms who pay for these polls and trolls to paste their fake polls.
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