Posted on 10/03/2020 2:17:20 PM PDT by PJ-Comix
In a new poll of 1006 likely voters nationwide, former Vice-President Joe Biden holds on to a two-point lead over President Donald Trump, 49% to 47% with 4% not sure. The random sample online poll was taken on Friday beginning after 7 PM and has an overall margin-of-sampling error of +/-3.2 percentage points.
Our July 8th poll showed Biden leading Trump 49% to 42% and the previous poll released on August 29th had Biden leading by six points (48% to 42%).
(Excerpt) Read more at johnzogbystrategies.com ...
Election betting odds is still convinced Trump gets trounced in Florida.
President Trump should, always, campaign as if he’s behind in every poll 100%-0%, and I have no problems with this!
I'm not "gleefully bearing propaganda" against Trump and I'm not a troll. Again, I think Trump deserves reelection. I'm also not happy that Trump's getting trounced by 10% in the RCP polls average by Basement-Biden. In contrast, on this same day in 2016, Hillary was up by just 3.7 points. You've been contorting, manipulating, and totally twisting what I actually said. Again, I simply said Trump's RCP polls deficit in 2020 is almost triple what it was against Hillary in 2016. That's concerning.
(”Believing he deserves” re-election sounds like carefully-crafted doublespeak.)
It may "sound" like "carefully-crafted doublespeak" to you but what it "sounds" like to you is irrelevant. As I said before, I'm not engaging in double-speak. I was clear when I said Biden is trouncing Trump in the RCP polls average versus the far smaller lead Hillary had in 2016.
Too funny ... that's the same old shop-worn tactic of Democrats:
1. Constantly bash and name-call someone simply because they disagree with you about a particular topic.
2. Continually throw ad hominem attacks at your supposed "enemy" (even though I'm a fellow Trump supporter) ... until ...
3. In response to the ongoing barrage of personal insults, they finally throw one back.
4. Then declare total "victory" by saying, "Name calling, really! You just lost all credibility."
That's the standard Democrat tactic. Why are you resorting to it?
Again, not a troll. I believe Trump deserves reelection. It's concerning that Basement-Biden is trouncing Trump by 10 points in the RCP polls average (on the same day in 2016, Hillary was up by just 3.7 points).
BTW, what was Joe's so-called "analysis?" Cherry-picking a couple of specific polls in 2016, on a specific day, saying they "skewed" the RCP polls average upward. But even with that upward skewing in 2016, Biden's 2020 RCP polls average lead is almost triple that of Hillary's from 2016.
I'm happy that you folks think Trump is an absolute guaranteed lock to easily win reelection in a massive landslide. If you're right, then not only will the Republicans hold onto the Senate but they'll also increase their Senate majority. I hope you're right.
The variability of the pools clearly indicates that the polls are useless. I see President Trump moving monies from bell-weather states to battlegrounds - many in the back yard of the democrats.
I see Biden desperately campaigning in his “home state” of Pennsylvania.
I will vote like my life depends on it - for President Trump. I will rage is the fraud machines overcome my vote, as well as many in other states than mine.
Why do you think that the substantial hispanic populations of NY and CA will pull the lever for Biden?
I think CA and NY will be closer than they have been in many years. Most people remember what the economy was like, and what it was doing for them personally, before the democrat governors stepped in and stopped the economy for “15-30 days”.
The same criticisms leveled at President Trump for COVID response cut the other way - he was “cavalier”, but the dems were “domineering”.
I am not saying he did not take the situation seriously - but I do know that the dems wanted him to go tyrannical so they could paint him with that brush. He let the dems paint themselves.
The polls are fraudulent.
Winning political parties don't suggest the 25th Amendment with less than a month to go before the election.
Winning campaigns don't go to shore up support in their own strongholds.
Winning campaigns don't foment chaos by trying to stretch voting out for weeks and by pushing to allow unverifiable anonymously-sourced ballots collected en masse.
Especially not in conjunction with hiring 1,000 lawyers in advance of election day.
The statements of Trump on Rush Limbaugh, and suggestions of the internals, strongly suggest Trump will win even more convincingly than in 2016.
Speaking of the past, the claimed 12% Biden lead would mean Biden would have a larger victory than the Reagan Landslide over Peanut Boi in 1980.
Don't worry, I'm just toying with you.
Nobody really takes you seriously, doom-boi.
That way they can pretend the crosstabs reflect reality while still keeping their thumbs on the scale.
(Oh, yes, Blexit and the Hispanics for Trump phenomenon. Also the college kids forced to stay in Mommy's basement will not be simultaneously casting their Biden votes in two states at once; AND, indications of early mail-in ballots returned, suggest that Dems are actively cannibalizing their own Election Day turnout for the sake of optics right now. That's a sure sign of desperation and panic.)
Yes. I read about that too. There is simply no end to the trickery and chicanery that the Trump hating fake news media will get up to in order to carry dead weight Biden over the line. Its up to us not to fall for their trickery. Every patriot, conservative and Republican should go out to vote. And they will. Enthusiasm for Trump voters is off the charts. Meanwhile Biden can't even get 20 people to show up at his rallies.
Was simply pointing out that when you resort to such tactics you lose all credibility. Who you plan to vote for does not not make your behavior any less puerile.
I was simply pointing out that you totally ignored all the personal insults thrown at me by your buds on this thread, and you only whined because you didn’t like something I said. Thus your acting like a hypocrite doesn’t make your behavior any less puerile.
looks like it is sampled at dems +3.x,
ANY poll that does not reflect the national demographic is a push poll
actual national demo is
R’s 28 percent
D’s 27 percent
and the rest independent (42-44 percent)
this means that trump is realy ahead, not down at all.
zogby does push polling for money.
he has been paid.
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