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Inaccurate Virus Models Are Panicking Officials Into Ill-Advised Lockdowns
The Federalist ^ | March 25, 2020 | Madeline Osburn

Posted on 03/25/2020 4:09:57 AM PDT by Kaslin

How a handful of Democratic activists created alarming, but bogus data sets to scare local and state officials into making rash, economy-killing mandates.


As U.S. state and local officials halt the economy and quarantine their communities over the Wuhan virus crisis, one would hope our leaders were making such major decisions based on well-sourced data and statistical analysis. That is not the case.

A scan of statements made by media, state governors, local leaders, county judges, and more show many relying on the same source, an online mapping tool called COVID Act Now. The website says it is “built to enable political leaders to quickly make decisions in their Coronavirus response informed by best available data and modeling.”

An interactive map provides users a catastrophic forecast for each state, should they wait to implement COVID Act Now’s suggested strict measures to “flatten the curve.” But a closer look at how many of COVID Act Now’s predictions have already fallen short, and how they became a ubiquitous resource across the country overnight, suggests something more sinister.

When Dallas County Judge Clay Jenkins announced a shelter-in-place order on Dallas County Sunday, he displayed COVID Act Now graphs with predictive outcomes after three months if certain drastic measures are taken. The NBC Dallas affiliate also embedded the COVID Act Now models in their story on the mandate.

The headline of an NBC Oregon affiliate featured COVID Act Now data, and a headline blaring, “Coronavirus model sees Oregon hospitals overwhelmed by mid-April.” Both The Oregonian and The East Oregonian also published stories featuring the widely shared data predicting a “point of no return.”

(Excerpt) Read more at thefederalist.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events; US: Oregon; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: agitprop; coronavirus; covid19; covidactnow; democrats; demonrats; economy; hysteria; illadvised; imperialcollege; lockdowns; media; model; neilferguson; oregon; quarantine; science; state; texas; unitedkingdom; wuhanvirus
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1 posted on 03/25/2020 4:09:57 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Panic will harm millions of people and destroy our economy with negligible health benefits.

Our most serious problem isn’t a pandemic; its blind human stupidity generated by it.

Geez.


2 posted on 03/25/2020 4:15:38 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

Almost as if it were planned that way.


3 posted on 03/25/2020 4:21:17 AM PDT by abb
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To: goldstategop

The Orange County commissioner is putting the county on lockdown starting tomorrow and it will run LONGER than President Trump’s Easter time frame for reevaluating the situation. Of course he is a democrat.


4 posted on 03/25/2020 4:22:14 AM PDT by subterfuge (RIP T.P.)
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To: goldstategop

It’s why I have been telling people to expect what was coming. Now it’s here. Every bit of it was to be expected. Up to next Monday (roughly) when we can see what we have accomplished with isolation the impact of which is going to be several orders of magnitude greater than any drugs no matter how effective. Isolation is the key.


5 posted on 03/25/2020 4:22:43 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: Kaslin

The political advantages of crashing the economy are apparent to Democrats.

They don’t care who gets hurt or who dies as long they reap the political benefit.

We’re not at serious risk - most of us - from COVID-19.

We’re at risk from liberalism. It can ruin all of us in a short time.

Be warned.


6 posted on 03/25/2020 4:22:56 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: subterfuge

Orange County Florida...


7 posted on 03/25/2020 4:23:40 AM PDT by subterfuge (RIP T.P.)
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To: subterfuge

1984? You ain’t seen nothin’ yet. And of course, its too serious a crisis to be allowed to go to waste.


8 posted on 03/25/2020 4:24:50 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

Here in Ohio Dr.Acton is our state health director on all of this. She is the one who does the news conferences with DeWine and has his ear. What she tells him goes.

Everytime she talks it’s with great drama in her voice. She sounds as though she’s ready to collapse in agony and depression. She sounds as though we are not heeding her warnings and we all just don’t understand the gravity of the situation. As a result she has the usual fan base on social media pearl clenchers as being the greatest heroine the state has ever seen.

Yesterday she talked about dorms and hotels being readied to act as ICU units. She has been spewing this kind of hype for weeks.

As of yesterday hospitals are at 60% capacity across the state, we have yet to reach 10 deaths, and are still well under 1000 cases. Meanwhile our economy is in a death spiral.


9 posted on 03/25/2020 4:26:37 AM PDT by BuckeyeGOP
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To: Kaslin

This is why you see Democrat governors, mayors, etc implementing the most harshest restrictions.


10 posted on 03/25/2020 4:30:34 AM PDT by Erik Latranyi (The Democratic Party is communism)
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To: goldstategop
Our most serious problem isn’t a pandemic; its blind human stupidity generated by it.

Einstein agrees: Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former. Albert Einstein

and the motivation: The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary. -- H.L. Mencken

11 posted on 03/25/2020 4:31:44 AM PDT by SanchoP (Living your life in fear is merely existing. You might as well be dead already.)
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To: Kaslin
Wait. Inaccurate computer models? The same computers/models that consistently give us inaccurate prognostications for glo-Bull warming?

Noooooo!!! Say it isn't Sooooooooooo!!!

12 posted on 03/25/2020 4:33:26 AM PDT by LouAvul ("Little by little, the look of the country changes because of the men we admire.")
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To: Kaslin

FNM and socialist driven hoaxdemic and of course the sheople fell in line and showed their true worth.


13 posted on 03/25/2020 4:36:35 AM PDT by eartick (Stupidity is expecting the government that broke itself to go out and fix itself. Texan for TEXIT!)
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To: Kaslin
Loss of FREEDOM is the REAL epidemic!

Fear the shutdowns, not the sniffles.

14 posted on 03/25/2020 4:38:00 AM PDT by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)
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To: lightman

I’m waiting for the end of the world with the concurrent expected arrival of zombies.


15 posted on 03/25/2020 4:41:09 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: BuckeyeGOP

“Drama... spewing of hype...”

It is somewhat reminiscent of any given hurricane approach in the Southeast, with at least a week of “worst ever” hype.

“You will die” unless you follow the wildly premature and over-conservative direction given many days in advance, only to have 8 hours of gusty rain bands cross your area when the thing goes through.

At least the hurricane hype comes and goes in about a week, and only the bread and water disappear from store shelves. I’m sure the next hurricane preparation will add a run on TP.


16 posted on 03/25/2020 4:42:04 AM PDT by spiderpig (Does whatever a SpiderPig does)
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To: spiderpig

You have a greater chance of being killed drowning in your own bathtub or taking a header down the stairs than of dying from the coronavirus.

Its all about perspective, folks.


17 posted on 03/25/2020 4:46:30 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Kaslin

People in densely-populated Singapore and Hong Kong (we’re talking NYC-dense here), where white collar workers are squashed into tiny cubicles, are managing to go back to work without significant new infections. The secret is face masks. Given the toll imposed by infections, whether in terms of suffering or potential death, I’d say it makes sense to charge anyone not wearing a mask with aggravated assault. Minimum 6 months in prison and a felony record. After a few highly-publicized convictions, combined with the media’s klieg lights on the scofflaws, everyone will wear a mask.


18 posted on 03/25/2020 4:50:43 AM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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To: BuckeyeGOP

I wish I could easily post pictures here. I drove by both Jewish Hospital in Kenwood and Bethesda North in Montgomery.

Both parking lots were nearly empty. Tents outside had their flaps on either end removed and the bunches of tables inside them were cleared of all the equipment that was there a couple of days ago.


19 posted on 03/25/2020 4:51:54 AM PDT by Bartholomew Roberts
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To: Kaslin; Travis McGee
If it's a hoax, somebody better tell these dead folks.

Deaths are the most accurate data we have right now.

(Hat tip Travis McGee)

20 posted on 03/25/2020 4:53:19 AM PDT by MV=PY (The Magic Question: Who's paying for it?)
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