Posted on 04/19/2016 11:12:11 PM PDT by goldstategop
How bad was Cruz’s night? He’s losing to Ben Carson in some places — a guy who hasn’t been in the race in weeks.
Cruz can still win the nomination on the first convention ballot, mind you, but he needs to win about 88.5 percent of the outstanding delegates, bound or unbound, per Daniel Nichanian’s excellent calculations. That's not likely to happen either.
Trump isn’t the only big winner tonight! Congratulations to John Kasich, who will almost certainly end up with his first delegate in more than a month. Can Kasich pull off a come-from-behind victory? No. The end.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
“Who was the last Republican presidential nominee who won New York?”
Reagan, twice.
Cruz will be hard pressed to win reelection in Texas.
nice graphic :)
NY is forever safely Democrat; people there think they are “democratic”.
Reagan 80 and 84
Nixon 72
Eisenhower 52 and 56
Dewey 48 but not 44
Hoover 28 but not 32
The truck is in the HTML the frame it in such a way that it doesn't cause problems and doesn't get distorted with different truetype font spacing. The trick is in the HTML the frame it in such a way that it doesn't cause problems and doesn't get distorted with different font spacing. About 20% of those sites will throw out the HTML code as well
Do you think his opponent will be Wendy Davis or Cecile Richards? He could be unseated as illegals take over the TX ballots.
I think a lot of it is modern choruses (instead of hymns) and boring sermons designed not to offend.
Remember how fluoride critics in the 1950s and 1960s were denigrated as absolute idiots; they were on to something after all; just like Joe McCarthy was!
No matter how we ridicule her, we must remember that Mrs. Bill is the popular choice of scores of millions who truly believe she will be their guardian and protector.
fortheDeclaration is right though, there is some Reagan like appeal, like it or not.
Here in North Philadelphia, I play league pool and there are 14 teams in my division, 8 per team, and about half are union workers - welders, tin knockers, carpenters, etc.also a bunch of general contractors. I remember they were 100% Gore, Kerry then Obama twice. Now they are for Trump, and outspoken about it.
One guy was showing everybody a picture of a star in the sidewalk (Hollywood?) with Donald Trump’s name and all these people circled around it flipping it the bird. All you could see was their shoes and their hands with middle finger extended. At first I thought it was anti Trump, then I read the caption:
“And not a single work boot!”
I know a lot of libertarian types that used to be for Ron Paul. At first they didn’t like Trump but now they seem to be warming up to him because he doesn’t pander to the campaign donor class lobbyists and he even said he’d like to audit the Federal Reserve.
I don’t think but a few thousand of the Sanders voters of NY would consider switching to Trump. Now some won’t show up, but most will line up with Mrs. Bill as instructed.
Meaningless measure in a closed primary state.
Establishment Lyin’ Ted will NEVER be the nominee on 1st 2nd 3rd 4th ...
Pastors have to deliver noncontroversial sermons, they believe, to keep recalcitrant deacons and entire congregations off their backs. Much like college professors catering to weak pupils because the pupils evaluate the professors
“You forgot Ted’s love for the H1-B visa.”
Be nice....he only wanted a 500% increase.....because there are still some American middle class jobs left.
Ted: “ Well, we’ll soon put an end to THAT ! “
“Time to face it, the US will never elect a true (dogmatic) conservative. Those days are gone.”
A lot of people are living in the past...almost 4 decades in the past. “Conservatism” is at the very best an empty platitude to be uttered constantly every two or four years in an election campaign. “Conservatism” has not been an actual governing philosophy anywhere in the world in nearly 100 years. You’ve had bits and pieces of conservatism at times but not since the 1920’s (when it was actually something very different than what we think of as conservative) has conservative political philosophy actually dominated American government.
Ever since the Great Depression, America has been on a consistent trajectory toward bigger and bigger, more intrusive, more powerful and all-encompassing federal government. That continues apace in the 21st century as we enter true socialism with some lovely fascist tendencies in today’s American government.
It’s time to forget the failed altruistic ideas of “conservatism” and “core values” that are mere platitudes today and get very, very practical. To change the trajectory of American government will require a revolution of one kind or another. It will require improving living standards and correcting as much as possible the fatal flaws that have developed over time in America’s economic, political and civil structures. Those flaws will destroy us as a nation if we can’t correct them. Practical solutions, real-world, to crushing debt, one-world trade and economic policies, immigration/invasion, the racial/cultural/religious ostracism of what once was the bedrock of the American population requires dramatic action. That action may or may not even be possible any longer, but if not now, it is never and we all might as well ride the wave to collapse. Philosophy will have wait for easier, better days.
“The 40% of dem primary voters who voted for Sanders could be Trump voters in the general.”
Why would those clamoring for an outright socialist (marxist really) be so very willing to cross over and support Trump?
This should be more indicative of a PROBLEM to Trump supporters than an ADVANTAGE for Trump.
“but Lincoln was not a zealot”
Revisionist history can be fun, but the fact is that Lincoln was certainly a zealot in his believe in the abolotionism movement.
You are assuming that most Cruz delegates are Cruz loyalists. I've spent a lot of time at national conventions talking with delegates, sometimes informally (which helps me to ask better questions in formal surveys), sometimes to survey their views. A lot of these people are party loyalists of various types, and a lot of them are ordinary people who are intimidated by their surroundings. They have to support Cruz on the first ballot, because it is required under the rules, and sometimes beyond that so they will not offend the people back home, but loyalty is often much lower than you would expect.
Removing Ted Cruz from the mix will leave many of his delegates unguided, and the establishment would be happy to step in and provide that guidance. For the Mom-next-door, they will be right there explaining how a Kasich (or Rubio, or Jeb) nomination would be best for the party and best for America. For the ambitious insider, they would be explaining how there would be a spot for them under the Kasich Administration or with the state party. Party leaders are good at getting what they want, which is why they are leaders. The less time they have to mess with the delegates, the better.
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