Posted on 03/20/2016 12:24:46 PM PDT by reaganaut1
SALT LAKE CITY — If Donald Trump becomes the Republican Party's nominee, Utahns would vote for a Democrat for president in November for the first time in more than 50 years, according to a new Deseret News/KSL poll.
"I believe Donald Trump could lose Utah. If you lose Utah as a Republican, there is no hope," said former Utah Gov. Mike Leavitt, a top campaign adviser to the GOP's 2012 nominee, Mitt Romney.
he poll found that may well be true. Utah voters said they would reject Trump, the GOP frontrunner, whether former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton or Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is the Democratic candidate on the general election ballot.
While Clinton was only slightly ahead of Trump — 38 percent to 36 percent — Sanders, a self-declared Democratic socialist, holds a substantial lead — 48 percent to 37 percent over the billionaire businessman and reality TV star among likely Utah voters.
"Wow. Wow. That's surprising," said Chris Karpowitz, co-director of Brigham Young University's Center for the Study of Elections and Democracy. "Any matchup in which Democrats are competitive in the state of Utah is shocking."
(Excerpt) Read more at deseretnews.com ...
I think the Cruz campaign is trying to make a big deal of Utah in the lead up to their caucuses because Cruz does well in caucuses.
Cruz would soundly defeat Hillary, probably a similar map to Bush/Kerry.
Mormons are taught to obey their leaders and sustain those in charge. Not surprising.
Remember recently, Idaho and Iowa polls had Trump winning. Clinton was ahead by 20% in Michigan. We also had the NBC/WSJ national poll showing Cruz up by 3% on Trump.
I believe polls are just another form of political advertising.
Now, does any rational person believe that Trump would finish 24% behind Cruz in a match-up with Clinton?
If true, they can’t claim any superiority for mormon values.
The way I read it, articles such as this try to get voters to vote for a candidate more acceptable to the establishment by trying to convince them that their chosen candidate—typically the candidate winning landslides in early elections—cannot possibly beat the Democrat candidate. In every case where people are swayed by these articles into supporting the establishment choice over the people’s choice, the establishment choice goes on to lose the election. Remember presidents Dole and Romney?
” a top campaign adviser to the GOP’s 2012 nominee, Mitt Romney. “
That packs a lot of weight ...
I wan’t Trump to win the Presidency.
But I’d like to see Cruz and Hillary in a cage match, fist fight, wrestling match, mud match, etc. And I’d enjoy that no matter who wins.
I’ll tell you the poll I want to see....The undeclared candidate Romney Vs. Clinton.
“By contrast, the poll finds that Cruz would beat Clinton by 60% to 32%.”
If you showed 100 Democrats a picture of Cruz, I doubt 10% could name him.
It tends more to the conservative Establishment than to populist movements. That's why it was one of only two states to go for Taft in 1912, rather than TR or WW. What surprised me is that Utah was also strongly for FDR in the '40s. To be fair, though, it has only gone Democrat once in the last 65 years.
Bingo! Remember all the last minute polls going into Super Tuesday? They were slinging more boloney than Oscar Myer.
something wrong with this state
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So transparently pathetic and manipulated by Bishop Romney and the kook Mormons. Notice no other polls about Trump/Clinton... (Arizona) comes to mind, but Milt decides to deliver Utah to Cruz and you’d think Utah is indicative of the entire GOP primary.
That made me laugh. Thanks!
I know it sounds quaint but remember when newspapers reported news instead of hypotheticals?
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