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ARG Tracking 2/18 - Trump 33, Rubio 20, Kasich 15, Cruz 14
ARG ^ | 2/18/2016 | ARG

Posted on 02/18/2016 11:42:24 AM PST by usafa92

No article, just the link

(Excerpt) Read more at americanresearchgroup.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: cruz; cruz4th; elections; polls; trump
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Now this is interesting. Trump steady at 33. No impact from debate. Rubio suddenly up to 20. Rubio only got as high as 19 in Emerson yesterday. Is this the Haley endorsement? Probably a temporary bump. Then there's Kasich at 15. He scores higher here than anywhere. Cruz in 4th at 14. He has always been low in ARG. Looks like a replay of NH. Trump will probably win by about 10 and it's a scrum for 2nd. Interesting to see if Rubio breaks out and make a closer than expected race. There seems to be a struggle by pollsters on turnout. ARG and others must be sampling a higher than normal moderate/independent electoral than other polling firms.
1 posted on 02/18/2016 11:42:24 AM PST by usafa92
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To: Catsrus; HarleyLady27; Jane Long; entropy12; I Hired Craig Livingstone; SamAdams76; Duchess47; ...

Trump poll ping.


2 posted on 02/18/2016 11:43:45 AM PST by usafa92 (Ted and Heidi = Jim and Tammy Faye)
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To: LS

Thoughts?


3 posted on 02/18/2016 11:44:06 AM PST by usafa92 (Ted and Heidi = Jim and Tammy Faye)
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To: usafa92

Rubio on the rise... I don’t like this.


4 posted on 02/18/2016 11:44:46 AM PST by SteveSCH
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To: usafa92

WOOHOO!!! GO.TRUMP.GO...ALL THE WAY TO THE OVAL OFFICE!!!

Thank you usafa92 for the ping!!!


5 posted on 02/18/2016 11:45:28 AM PST by HarleyLady27 ("The Force Awakens"!!! TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP!!! 100%)
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To: usafa92
Cruz at 14? That would mean he's losing supporters a lot more quickly than he's gaining them. Cruz seems to have a real low ceiling, except for that one poll, and even on that one he didn't have an earth-shattering lead, and he didn't top Trump + Rubio.

That's significant because Cruz has been lashing out in questionable ways at both Trump and Rubio. I could envision it leading to a Trump/Rubio ticket.

6 posted on 02/18/2016 11:46:59 AM PST by grania
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To: usafa92

Cruz is going to be lucky to come in second in S. C.

Of course what does he care? He claimed he won with third place in New Hampshire.

Well, using his standard, he’s about to make a big sweep on Super Tuesday, second, third, and fourth places.


7 posted on 02/18/2016 11:47:37 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
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To: usafa92

But but but the Wall Street Journal poll said Cruz was ahead.


8 posted on 02/18/2016 11:49:14 AM PST by heights
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To: SteveSCH

You can bet your bottom dollar that every poll will be made to look like Rubio is rising. It will be the theme moving forward. He’s the only one that everyone can coalesce around.


9 posted on 02/18/2016 11:50:07 AM PST by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject)
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To: usafa92
ARRRRG matey! This be YUGE!
10 posted on 02/18/2016 11:50:09 AM PST by ObozoMustGo2012
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To: usafa92
I'm not understanding Kasich's numbers. I had thought he was pretty much skipping South Carolina to make his last stand in the Midwest.

Maybe he's gathering the Bush defectors. Something is going on with this guy.

11 posted on 02/18/2016 11:50:42 AM PST by TontoKowalski (Satisfied Customer #291)
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To: HarleyLady27

Trump is a liberal. Other than flipping “the establishment” the bird, why do you want him to be POTUS? If you think he’ll deport 11M illegals ( or even wants to in light of his past remarks) it won’t happen - any more than the lib pipe dream that somehow 600M guns will be confiscated.

Trump should have run as a Democrat.

If you want an anti establishment liberal, vote for Sanders.

I only vote for conservatives.


12 posted on 02/18/2016 11:52:50 AM PST by theoilpainter
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To: usafa92

Yes, Trump is killing them.


13 posted on 02/18/2016 11:53:10 AM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: theoilpainter

For those paying attention, the term “Conservative” has clearly become the new establishment buzz word in attempts to discredit Trump.

As if the establishment’s career politician candidates have been a “conservatives” for the past 35+ years. No one capable of critical thought buys that.


14 posted on 02/18/2016 11:54:14 AM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: grania

I think Rubio is scooping evangelicals away from Cruz in droves. I’m not a fan of Rubio, but his Christian bona fides are pretty solid. My guess as to what is happening here is twofold:

1) People are really turned off by all of Cruz’s lies and desperate mudslinging in general

2) More importantly, Cruz recently launched an attack on Rubio as not pro-life enough. That was an ENORMOUS mistake. Anyone who follows right-to-life issues knows of Rubio, he’s one of the strongest opponents of abortion in Congress. The fact that pro-life people already know of Rubio and his record, and then have Cruz ride in and tell them that Rubio is some kind of baby butcher, has probably crushed his chances with the pro-life crowd.

Cruz assumes that everyone is a gullible commodity that you can purchase with PAC money. He assumes wrong.


15 posted on 02/18/2016 11:54:56 AM PST by 20yearsofinternet (Border: Close it. Illegals: Deport. Muslims: Ban 'em. Economy: Liberate it. PC: Kill it. Trump 2016)
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To: usafa92

Trump will win by 15-18, mad scramble for #2 - Rubio Cruz maybe Kasich


16 posted on 02/18/2016 11:55:32 AM PST by BigEdLB (Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
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To: theoilpainter

Drink more Jim Jones #2 Kool-Aid, you’ll feel better in the morning...


17 posted on 02/18/2016 11:55:49 AM PST by HarleyLady27 ("The Force Awakens"!!! TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP!!! 100%)
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To: grania

The more he postures as a preacher, which he is not, the more narrow will be he support. He will even lose many Christians who find the doctrinal eccentricities associated with him odd and off putting. Specifically the Seven Mountain Mandate stuff, before someone asks a specious “OH, YOU MEAN LIKE A BELIEF IN -GOD- ?!?!?!?”


18 posted on 02/18/2016 11:55:52 AM PST by Psalm 144 ("Of all the enemies to public liberty war is, perhaps, the most to be dreaded" - James Madison)
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To: usafa92

I LOVE this poll. Hopefully it is exactly as posted. That would make me a very happy person on Saturday evening. Look like South Carolina doesn’t like liars and neither do I.


19 posted on 02/18/2016 11:56:12 AM PST by napscoordinator
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To: usafa92

The Ken doll is the satanic MSM pick, now that Jebby just couldn’t get a rise. He will be the new bathhouse barry, who just is bent over all the time doing whatever he is ordered to do to destroy the nation and all institutions.

Never be fooled by the feckless Rubio. The satanists lust after him and that little boy “look” and he is in thrall to them.


20 posted on 02/18/2016 11:56:29 AM PST by savagesusie (Right Reason According to Nature = Just Law)
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