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Surprise: Trump Falls Behind Cruz in National NBC/WSJ Poll
WSJ/NBC ^ | 2-17-16 | Mark Murray

Posted on 02/17/2016 2:27:13 PM PST by ifinnegan

Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump has fallen behind Ted Cruz in the national GOP horserace, according to a brand-new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

In the poll, Cruz is the first choice of 28 percent of Republican primary voters, while Trump gets 26 percent. They're followed by Marco Rubio at 17 percent, John Kasich at 11 percent, Ben Carson at 10 percent and Jeb Bush at 4 percent.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Nevada; US: Oklahoma; US: South Carolina; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 911; carson; christie; codepink; cruz; cruzcaca; demagogicparty; election; elections; fiorina; jebbush; kasich; lawsuit; liar; markmurray; memebuilding; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; poll; primary; rubio; trump
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To: Angels27

261 posted on 02/17/2016 9:31:37 PM PST by JediJones (RUSH LIMBAUGH on TED CRUZ: "This is the closest in our lifetimes we have ever been to Ronald Reagan")
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To: LS

You’re welcome. Yes, I know how to weight. You will need to know the number, or have the means to calculate the number, in each of the groups you want to average together.

Let’s say a poll of 500 LV has 20% in the 19-44 age group:

number = .20 * 500 = 100 LV

And has 40% in the 45-60 age group:

number = .40 * 500 = 200 LV

Let’s say that Charlie Brown is the first choice of 70% of 19-44 and 50% of 45-60, and we want to know what the weighted average of the combined groups is:

((.70 * 100) + (.50 * 200)) / (100 + 200) = .5667

= 57% rounded

I hope that this makes sense.

BTW, I enjoy reading your analyses. :)


262 posted on 02/17/2016 10:19:50 PM PST by Quicksilver (I'll vote for anyone that can truly Make America Great Again!)
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To: ifinnegan
Believe it or don't.

This is the only national poll that was conducted WHOLY after the GOP debate AND Justice Scalia’s death. People are starting to wake up.

263 posted on 02/17/2016 11:00:34 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: GeronL

Cruz & Rubio are ineligible:
http://powderedwigsociety.com/eligibility-of-cruz-and-rubio/


264 posted on 02/18/2016 12:57:51 AM PST by ResisTyr ("Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God " ~Thomas Jefferson)
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To: ifinnegan

http://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/02/17/three-strikes-third-time-this-campaign-season-nbcwsj-caught-promoting-agenda-polls/


265 posted on 02/18/2016 3:07:42 AM PST by Road Warrior ‘04 (Molon Labe! (Oathkeeper))
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To: Quicksilver

Thanks. It’s funny that the stat hounds on Twitter grew eerily silent on such things a Millennials and educated voters in polls. Earlier in the campaign they were constantly harping on these demos, which are overwhelmingly moved in Trump’s direction. But the categories would be subdivided and I would cite an average and they’d just say “well, you didn’t weight them”-— but wouldn’t produce the real number because it would undermine their side.


266 posted on 02/18/2016 3:10:40 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: caww

“....Cruz is exactly where he needs to be....very proud of this mans work in his campaign....he’s got the best out there for him.”

So true, and Ted Cruz is so disciplined and doesn’t have to call people names to be a winner. People like that.

Ted Cruz is the only pres. candidate that I saw on Priests for Life website that they call a “political leader” for the First Amendment. I didn’t even see Rubio’s name there, but maybe it’s because, while Rubio is prolife, Rubio is not a LEADER for religious freedom like Ted Cruz is.


267 posted on 02/18/2016 3:57:00 AM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: JediJones

Love the pix you posted in Post 261, except Donald’s nose should be a little LONGER. :)


268 posted on 02/18/2016 4:13:39 AM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: ifinnegan

The Treehouse has debunked this as yet another faked poll by NBC:

http://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/02/17/three-strikes-third-time-this-campaign-season-nbcwsj-caught-promoting-agenda-polls/


269 posted on 02/18/2016 6:19:21 AM PST by IChing
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To: ifinnegan

Don’t.


270 posted on 02/18/2016 6:44:55 AM PST by pgkdan (The Silent Majority Stands With TRUMP!)
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To: IChing

Why did the Treehouse stop writing about Oregon?


271 posted on 02/18/2016 7:29:22 AM PST by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: ifinnegan

This might be helpful:

http://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/01/31/fbi-video-release-of-lavoy-finicum-shooting-and-why-cth-is-reluctant-to-engage/


272 posted on 02/18/2016 7:45:14 AM PST by IChing
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To: SmokingJoe

I believe a poll says the U.S. public is evenly divided on whether the GOP Senate should embrace the Obama court nominee. I predict the Republican senators cave in the words of their friend Mr. Bill, “sooner rather than later”.


273 posted on 02/18/2016 8:13:44 AM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: LS

Ha! Saying that “you didn’t weight it” is a weak retort. Most of the time a simple average is close enough to make a point.


274 posted on 02/18/2016 11:17:49 AM PST by Quicksilver (I'll vote for anyone that can truly Make America Great Again!)
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To: Quicksilver

Well, that’s what I thought.


275 posted on 02/18/2016 1:14:29 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: ifinnegan

BTTT


276 posted on 02/20/2016 8:28:00 PM PST by Enlightened1
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To: ifinnegan

HEY EVERYBODY LOOK AT THE FAKE POLL

NBC/WSJ ran this fake polll three days before the election

How did they get or soooooooooo wrong?

Absolutely pathetic and desperate!


277 posted on 02/21/2016 6:04:06 AM PST by Enlightened1
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