Posted on 02/09/2016 12:32:49 PM PST by Jeff Head
Edited on 02/09/2016 4:43:07 PM PST by Sidebar Moderator. [history]
Here's a LIVE THREAD for the NH Primary results this evening.
We will know soon enough and we can keep track it right here.
How quick will they call it? I expect between 7:30 and 8 PM the race will be called in NH tonight.
Classy
well, i’m a NYC Cruz voter, and he wouldn’t want me representing him online :)
unfortunately, its my second language.
Indeed.
gonna be a good night for Bush if that poll is correct. Bush does even better with GOP voters ... that puts him in 2nd place.
see #471
Did some driving through NH in the last week and looked at a few polling places today.
Signs: Jeb has the most signs but they’re ALL on public land, by highway onramps, median strips and at the side of the road. Absolutely no large Jeb signs in real people’s yards. His campaign is pure astroturf but it’s huge. The low information voters might flock to him thinking he’s surging, so he could do better than expected.
Real yard signs are 90% Trump and Sanders. Hillary has her own astroturf campaign going but it’s dwarfed by Jeb’s. For every one Hillary sign there are ten Jebs, and both superpacs and Jeb’s campaign are placing them. Trump has the biggest yard signs, some of the are yuuuge. A few Carly, Kasich and Christie supporters have placed signs here and there.
Signage in general is down from 2012, but that could be due to the storm burying a lot of them.
At the polling places Sanders had the strongest presence with guys holding signs at all of them. Trump didn’t have people at some. Bad sign. Also, in an informal survey Jeb was sending out the most mailings, followed by Sanders and Hillary. Trump isn’t spending much on paid advertising.
As for Cruz - he might as well not be running. No one at the polls. Not a single yard sign. I glimpsed one sign by the side of a highway. One. Some of the kook candidates who didn’t make the kiddie debate have a stronger presence.
From all of this I conclude that Trump’s NH ground game is weak, as Cruz supporters have warned. However Cruz’s is even worse.
In terms of combined strength - boots on the ground, signs, mailers - Sanders is running the strongest NH campaign. Trump is second.
I think the Bernie Clinton race will be closer than they say.
VERY good news!
Donald Trump 925 votes (â) 53.7%
Jeb Bush 190 votes (-735) 11.0%
Marco Rubio 166 votes (-759) 9.6%
Ted Cruz 164 votes (-761) 9.5%
John Kasich 113 votes (-812) 6.6%
Chris Christie 105 votes (-820) 6.1%
I caught a little of Hume saying something about the Establishment GOPeee coalesce around a GOPee pee single candidate. Sounded like he was pushing it.
Thanks for posting that. I was wondering who has the best coverage,
I am not going to rub it in. Most Cruz supporters are great people ;-) Some are santimonious insufferable prigs so well GGG libbylu CW and a few others are not going to like how I taunt them privately.
“From the grim tones on Twitter, Iâm guessing Trump is well over 30, maybe over 35.”
If Trump is well over 30% I will tune into Rush and listen to how he spins it. Hehehehe
Whew thanks.
Jeb in second?
Yes, it is. A complete tear-down and re-build. We need both of them to pull it off, with a 100million voter mandate to back it up.. turn it REAL red.
You do realize that was from 3 tiny towns that voted at midnight so they can make the national news, right?
Leni
Of course he’s pushing a single GOP candidate, a three way split on the conservative side vs. one on establishment.
Hope and pray these people are egotistical enough to resist that though I heard the RNC will put pressure on after NH.
Those freaks had better not show up at our door. They might be “excited”, but not in a good way. I’ve seen how the Cruz camp data mines too much information about voters, and I’m pissed. (Can I say “pissed”?)
== ^^^ ### ===
You should hear the things coming out of our 92 yr. old mother (Baptist preacher’s wife) when she talks about Trump.
I’m walking on eggshells around Mom & hubby.
RCP final poll average had Trump at 31.2%.
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