Posted on 02/01/2016 11:10:42 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
As the first 2016 nominating votes near, Donald Trump's strength as GOP frontrunner seems only to grow - nationally and in Iowa, where he's led in five of the last six state polls. But before the Trump freight train gets too far down the tracks, here's a word to the wise: Don't count out Ted Cruz, especially in the Hawkeye State.
The Texas senator has one big advantage over Trump, he occupies the social conservative lane in the GOP primary field, and that lane tends to over perform in Iowa.
(VIDEO-AT-LINK
Consider the 2008 and 2012 Iowa Republican caucuses. In both years, the social conservative candidate won the state - former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum - and both men got a big bump in the final tally compared to polls.
Going into the 2008 caucuses, Huckabee led Mitt Romney by about 3 points - 29.7 percent to 26.7 percent - but in the final results Huckabee won by more than 9 points, 34.4 percent to 25.2 percent....
(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...
Where is that rule from?
Good one, Bill!
Donât thnk many voters have Trump aas their second choice.
Because they have him as their first choice
“Cruzers’” second choice is Trump.
No Rubes.
>> I expect mass suicide from both sides when my man Yeb! comes through.
After the rest of us commit suicide, over whom will you and Jeb gloat? Hmmm??? lol
First time I ever almost felt bad for the man, but he has been riding the family for photo ops pretty hard. She might have been indulging a brat moment too.
Cruz would be much better off being purely analytical and objective. He will always be out of his element trying to simulate warm and fuzzy.
I have often wondered why people in Iowa seem to hold so much sway. Must have been an expensive arrangement for these people to paralyze the nation with their scary caucus.
Yeb! has it locked. The only thing between him and the Presidency is the other candidates and 98% of the American public. Piece of cake.
I do not trust any protege of any member of the Bush family or their machine.
I will vote for Hillary before I will vote again for my senator. Enough already.
America luvs it some underdawg!
“I expect mass suicide from both sides when my man Yeb! comes through. Youâll all be sorry, oh, yes you will...”
If that happens, we will know for sure that Yeb! had that fixed...
Exactly, but Iowa does give that candidate some promotional power. Doesn’t matter who 2nd or 3rd is.
Doesn't matter who wins tonight ...
Doesn't matter who wins in NH ...
Win 3 of the first 4 ... 8 of the first 10 ... and it then starts to matter ...
“Door is open for a horrific Rubio surprise.”
Fox certainly has been pushing Rubio (or really anyone but Cruz).
Trump can't take any criticism. That's the problem I have with him.
He doesn't rise above it all, he just goes with some petty nonsensical BS that makes him look as petulant as the current occupier in the WH.
Yeah and Microsoft is counting votes. App sanctioned by RNC.
What happens if Cruz doesn’t win ?
Count him out?
I expect him to win.
The big question is who will come in second.
On to the next state, just like every other candidate.
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