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Don't Count Ted Cruz Out in Iowa
NBC News ^ | January 31, 2016 | Dante Chinni

Posted on 02/01/2016 11:10:42 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

As the first 2016 nominating votes near, Donald Trump's strength as GOP frontrunner seems only to grow - nationally and in Iowa, where he's led in five of the last six state polls. But before the Trump freight train gets too far down the tracks, here's a word to the wise: Don't count out Ted Cruz, especially in the Hawkeye State.

The Texas senator has one big advantage over Trump, he occupies the social conservative lane in the GOP primary field, and that lane tends to over perform in Iowa.

(VIDEO-AT-LINK

Consider the 2008 and 2012 Iowa Republican caucuses. In both years, the social conservative candidate won the state - former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum - and both men got a big bump in the final tally compared to polls.

Going into the 2008 caucuses, Huckabee led Mitt Romney by about 3 points - 29.7 percent to 26.7 percent - but in the final results Huckabee won by more than 9 points, 34.4 percent to 25.2 percent....

(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Florida; US: Iowa; US: New York; US: Ohio; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2016election; bencarson; canadian; cruz; election2016; florida; ia2016; ineligible; iowa; jebbush; johnkasich; marcorubio; newyork; ohio; tedcruz; texas; trump
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To: VanDeKoik

Where is that rule from?


41 posted on 02/01/2016 11:41:23 AM PST by Slyfox (Ted Cruz does not need the presidency - the presidency needs Ted Cruz)
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To: Billthedrill

Good one, Bill!


42 posted on 02/01/2016 11:42:05 AM PST by exit82 ("The Taliban is on the inside of the building" E. Nordstrom 10-10-12)
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To: SeaHawkFan

Don’t thnk many voters have Trump aas their second choice.

Because they have him as their first choice


43 posted on 02/01/2016 11:42:24 AM PST by over3Owithabrain
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To: grania

“Cruzers’” second choice is Trump.

No Rubes.


44 posted on 02/01/2016 11:42:41 AM PST by Uncle Miltie (Populism is what Populism does.)
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To: Billthedrill

>> I expect mass suicide from both sides when my man Yeb! comes through.

After the rest of us commit suicide, over whom will you and Jeb gloat? Hmmm??? lol


45 posted on 02/01/2016 11:43:06 AM PST by Nervous Tick (There is no "allah" but satan, and mohammed was his demon-possessed tool.)
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To: napscoordinator

First time I ever almost felt bad for the man, but he has been riding the family for photo ops pretty hard. She might have been indulging a brat moment too.

Cruz would be much better off being purely analytical and objective. He will always be out of his element trying to simulate warm and fuzzy.


46 posted on 02/01/2016 11:43:11 AM PST by Psalm 144 (This primary is raw Americana! Tom Sawyer versus Sid!)
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To: Rational Thought

I have often wondered why people in Iowa seem to hold so much sway. Must have been an expensive arrangement for these people to paralyze the nation with their scary caucus.


47 posted on 02/01/2016 11:44:21 AM PST by Cats Pajamas (When Hill and Bill trot out the rent-a-dogs and grandbaby in a stroller then you know she's sweating)
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To: Nervous Tick

Yeb! has it locked. The only thing between him and the Presidency is the other candidates and 98% of the American public. Piece of cake.


48 posted on 02/01/2016 11:44:45 AM PST by Billthedrill
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To: Right-wing Librarian

I do not trust any protege of any member of the Bush family or their machine.


49 posted on 02/01/2016 11:45:05 AM PST by Psalm 144 (This primary is raw Americana! Tom Sawyer versus Sid!)
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To: Right-wing Librarian

I will vote for Hillary before I will vote again for my senator. Enough already.


50 posted on 02/01/2016 11:45:24 AM PST by Cats Pajamas (When Hill and Bill trot out the rent-a-dogs and grandbaby in a stroller then you know she's sweating)
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To: Billthedrill

America luvs it some underdawg!


51 posted on 02/01/2016 11:45:44 AM PST by Nervous Tick (There is no "allah" but satan, and mohammed was his demon-possessed tool.)
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To: Billthedrill

“I expect mass suicide from both sides when my man Yeb! comes through. You’ll all be sorry, oh, yes you will...”

If that happens, we will know for sure that Yeb! had that fixed...


52 posted on 02/01/2016 11:46:01 AM PST by Psalm 144 (This primary is raw Americana! Tom Sawyer versus Sid!)
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To: Rational Thought

Exactly, but Iowa does give that candidate some promotional power. Doesn’t matter who 2nd or 3rd is.


53 posted on 02/01/2016 11:48:10 AM PST by Wizdum (Who will remove this stone from my shoe?)
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To: Wizdum
What will the Trumpbots do if their guy loses?

Doesn't matter who wins tonight ...

Doesn't matter who wins in NH ...

Win 3 of the first 4 ... 8 of the first 10 ... and it then starts to matter ...

54 posted on 02/01/2016 11:49:03 AM PST by dartuser
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To: kingu

“Door is open for a horrific Rubio surprise.”

Fox certainly has been pushing Rubio (or really anyone but Cruz).


55 posted on 02/01/2016 11:51:05 AM PST by TheThirdRuffian (RINOS like Romney, McCain, Christie are sure losers. No more!)
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To: ObozoMustGo2012
What we will hear from Trump, if he loses, is how stupid and ignorant the voters of Iowa are.

Trump can't take any criticism. That's the problem I have with him.

He doesn't rise above it all, he just goes with some petty nonsensical BS that makes him look as petulant as the current occupier in the WH.

56 posted on 02/01/2016 11:52:30 AM PST by Wizdum (Who will remove this stone from my shoe?)
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To: grania

Yeah and Microsoft is counting votes. App sanctioned by RNC.


57 posted on 02/01/2016 11:52:55 AM PST by Kenny (RED)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

What happens if Cruz doesn’t win ?


58 posted on 02/01/2016 11:53:57 AM PST by stocksthatgoup (Trump then Cruz for me. I want to see Hillary, Bernie or any demoncrap crushed)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Count him out?

I expect him to win.

The big question is who will come in second.


59 posted on 02/01/2016 12:03:08 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (Trump and/or Cruz, it's all good)
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To: stocksthatgoup

On to the next state, just like every other candidate.


60 posted on 02/01/2016 12:04:01 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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