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Poll: Donald Trump Holds Iowa Lead, Ted Cruz Fades (Trump 31, Cruz 24)
Breitbart ^ | 1 Feb 16 | Flynn

Posted on 02/01/2016 6:21:43 AM PST by xzins

A final Quinnipiac poll ahead of the Iowa caucus finds Donald Trump’s support steady at 31 percent while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)97% has dropped 5 points in the last week.

Cruz currently has the support of 24 percent of likely caucus-goers, according to the poll. Last week, his support was 29 percent.

The poll also shows a late increases in support for third-place Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL)79% . The Florida senator has 17 percent support, up from 13 percent last week.

Trump’s current 7-point lead in the poll, released on the day of the Iowa caucus, seems to come completely from the drop in support for Cruz. The poll anticipates a big surge in turnout for the caucus. Trump has an 18-point lead among first-time caucus-goers.

The surge in turnout anticipated by Quinnipiac would change greatly the composition of the electorate voting Monday. If the Quinnipiac assumption on turnout is correct, only around 40 percent of caucus-goers would be evangelicals, a dramatic drop from the previous two caucuses.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: cruz; polls; thebigfade; trump
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To: ek_hornbeck

And I would be telling them that they are anti-establishment, and that they should line up with a different anti-establishment candidate OR Huck or Santy, who, as you say, aren’t going anywhere.

I don’t want to give them away. I want them to stay anti-establishment.

My goal is blowing up the GOP-E. It is not to achieve conservative nirvana.


101 posted on 02/01/2016 7:49:17 AM PST by xzins (Have YOU Donated to the Freep-a-Thon? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Boardwalk

Propaganda works on WAAAA...Y too many members here. Yeah, that’s why all the One World Order people all HATE Ted Cruz!


102 posted on 02/01/2016 7:49:18 AM PST by alstewartfan ("I came back as a large hippopotamus." Al Stewart)
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To: cableguymn

I see much of the establishment hooking their wagons to Trump. Some are saying anyone but Trump while others are quietly backing Trump.
______________________

NO, no no. In the next few days, spurilous stories targeting Trump shall include:

Trump cheated on Melania, The Guardian story by Andrew Roberts
Trump discriminates against woman, suit filed, NYT story (Mom is GOPe Iowa Republican Party)

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/01/us/politics/rival-factions-of-top-donors-get-behind-marco-rubio-and-ted-cruz.html

These “news stories” are going to be placed left and right. Last 24 hours is just the beginning.

Last news cycle against Cruz, look to Tampa Florida or Florida ties to find the push and the money for distribution


103 posted on 02/01/2016 7:50:24 AM PST by GeaugaRepublican (Angry yes, mad, no. GOPe for Rubio - Kill Trump!)
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To: montag813

there will be no heavy snow.

It is 25% chance starting at 8 and increasing to 57% at 10 and not 100% until after midnight.

Besides, snow will keep OLD people off the roads, and they are probably Cruz supporters.


104 posted on 02/01/2016 7:50:46 AM PST by xzins (Have YOU Donated to the Freep-a-Thon? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: alstewartfan

Trump will, you won’t!


105 posted on 02/01/2016 7:50:52 AM PST by Boardwalk
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To: Jane Long

We’ll see who was right.


106 posted on 02/01/2016 7:51:10 AM PST by B Knotts (Just another Tenther)
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To: alstewartfan

Goldman loves Cruz!


107 posted on 02/01/2016 7:52:00 AM PST by Boardwalk
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To: xzins
"My intention now, the same as it always has been, is to kill the establishment one way or another."

First, the GOP must die.

Everything else comes after that.

108 posted on 02/01/2016 7:52:19 AM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18 - Be The Leaderless Resistance)
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To: xzins

No, the reason Santorum’s campaign is dead is b/c he left the fight too soon in 2012. If Ted loses, he must stay in the race, fighting against Trump’s destructive progressivist ideas until the end. People will never contribute to him again if he drops too quickly.


109 posted on 02/01/2016 7:53:28 AM PST by alstewartfan ("I came back as a large hippopotamus." Al Stewart)
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To: xzins

Wait a minute, I am an older person and I am for Trump and will crawl to the polls if necessary. :-)


110 posted on 02/01/2016 7:53:45 AM PST by nclaurel
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To: Mariner

Others are looking for a ‘conservative messiah’ who is pure and spotless in his conservatism.

Me, I want to blow something up.

And that something is the GOP-E.

In fact, I think THEY are the one’s responsible for the infighting among the conservative anti-establishment candidates.


111 posted on 02/01/2016 7:54:14 AM PST by xzins (Have YOU Donated to the Freep-a-Thon? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: nclaurel

You’re not that old if you can still crawl. :>)


112 posted on 02/01/2016 7:54:47 AM PST by xzins (Have YOU Donated to the Freep-a-Thon? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: alstewartfan

Don’t worry Goldman will still loan him money.


113 posted on 02/01/2016 7:54:50 AM PST by Boardwalk
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To: Mariner

Wrong. We must ultimately defeat the GOP-E, not destroy the party. If the GOP completely dies, we will see a string of Obamas as far as the eye can see. If this is your wish, go for it, Mariner.


114 posted on 02/01/2016 7:56:15 AM PST by alstewartfan ("I came back as a large hippopotamus." Al Stewart)
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To: alstewartfan

We’re fighting different battles.

I want to defeat the GOP-E, and you want a pure conservative. Although, I wouldn’t mind someone being a buffer that keeps Jeb or Rubio from bringing together a lot of votes.

Where we both need to be careful is in sending this to the convention and letting the GOP-E decide. You know who they’ll pick, and it won’t be Cruz or Trump.


115 posted on 02/01/2016 7:57:23 AM PST by xzins (Have YOU Donated to the Freep-a-Thon? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Boardwalk

I am worried about America, and not Ted. You sound like a guy who likes to be with the perceived winner, not the guy who can reverse course with a rational plan.


116 posted on 02/01/2016 7:58:18 AM PST by alstewartfan ("I came back as a large hippopotamus." Al Stewart)
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To: xzins

Big deal. Trump’s lead is based on winning 40-22 among first-timers. Cruz wins among previous caucusers. Registration data shows the first-timers aren’t likely to show up: So far, they haven’t bothered to register. Yes, they can register today. But based on the fact they HAVEN’T, this looks so much like the huge lead Romney had among first-timers.


117 posted on 02/01/2016 8:02:09 AM PST by dangus
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To: going hot

Tonight... 😆


118 posted on 02/01/2016 8:02:18 AM PST by GregKremer (Vote Ted Cruz!)
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To: alstewartfan

I’m a woman, but you are very perceptive. /s


119 posted on 02/01/2016 8:03:51 AM PST by Boardwalk
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To: xzins

Not very good news to gloat over on what, until Trump started running, used to be a conservative website. Among “very conservative” voters, Cruz wins 43-25.

Among moderate and liberal voters, Trump wins 35-6.


120 posted on 02/01/2016 8:04:44 AM PST by dangus
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