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Poll: Donald Trump Holds Iowa Lead, Ted Cruz Fades (Trump 31, Cruz 24)
Breitbart ^ | 1 Feb 16 | Flynn

Posted on 02/01/2016 6:21:43 AM PST by xzins

A final Quinnipiac poll ahead of the Iowa caucus finds Donald Trump’s support steady at 31 percent while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)97% has dropped 5 points in the last week.

Cruz currently has the support of 24 percent of likely caucus-goers, according to the poll. Last week, his support was 29 percent.

The poll also shows a late increases in support for third-place Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL)79% . The Florida senator has 17 percent support, up from 13 percent last week.

Trump’s current 7-point lead in the poll, released on the day of the Iowa caucus, seems to come completely from the drop in support for Cruz. The poll anticipates a big surge in turnout for the caucus. Trump has an 18-point lead among first-time caucus-goers.

The surge in turnout anticipated by Quinnipiac would change greatly the composition of the electorate voting Monday. If the Quinnipiac assumption on turnout is correct, only around 40 percent of caucus-goers would be evangelicals, a dramatic drop from the previous two caucuses.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: cruz; polls; thebigfade; trump
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To: xzins

I will re-publish all these biased polls after Cruz is declared the winner in Iowa. Bye Bye Trump...


61 posted on 02/01/2016 7:26:16 AM PST by GregKremer (Vote Ted Cruz!)
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To: ek_hornbeck

I think Carson’s numbers will split for a combination of the non-establishment candidates with former religious conservative headliners Huckabee and Santorum.


62 posted on 02/01/2016 7:26:50 AM PST by xzins (Have YOU Donated to the Freep-a-Thon? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Psalm 144
If the lines are huge, media will stick a mic in each voter's face and ask, “are you voting for Rubio?”
63 posted on 02/01/2016 7:27:05 AM PST by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: GregKremer

Cool - ‘preesh you joining here 4 days ago to do that for us


64 posted on 02/01/2016 7:27:41 AM PST by over3Owithabrain
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To: TornadoAlley3

Yep.


65 posted on 02/01/2016 7:29:28 AM PST by Psalm 144 (This primary is raw Americana! Tom Sawyer versus Sid!)
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To: nclaurel

That’s what I did...haven’t watched Fox since the first AMBUSH (debate).


66 posted on 02/01/2016 7:29:29 AM PST by bimboeruption (Nothing imtimidates evil more than when the redeemed become fearless.)
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To: GregKremer

The caucus format makes this difficult to forecast.

I wish I could find a good landline/cell phone/internet poll focused just on this race. Too many are landline dominant with only a few cell backups. They over-sample old people, basically.

It would be good to compare the two varieties.


67 posted on 02/01/2016 7:30:02 AM PST by xzins (Have YOU Donated to the Freep-a-Thon? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: xzins

Do people who live in Iowa actually go into seclusion in bad weather? Just asking. They should used to snow. It isn’t like here in NC where we shut everything down.


68 posted on 02/01/2016 7:30:48 AM PST by nclaurel
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To: xzins

Trump will close the deal with Iowa and New Hampshire.


69 posted on 02/01/2016 7:30:57 AM PST by Boardwalk
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To: nclaurel

The joke is nowadays about 50% of the vehicles on the road are 4wd pickups and SUVs.


70 posted on 02/01/2016 7:31:57 AM PST by nascarnation
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To: TornadoAlley3

Maybe there were no other hotels in the area. Iowa is a RURAL state.


71 posted on 02/01/2016 7:31:59 AM PST by bimboeruption (Nothing imtimidates evil more than when the redeemed become fearless.)
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To: GregKremer

I will re-publish all these biased polls after Cruz is declared the winner in Iowa. Bye Bye Trump...

GregKremer
Join date: 1/27/16


72 posted on 02/01/2016 7:32:19 AM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: xzins; RoosterRedux; Albion Wilde; hoosiermama; Amntn; RitaOK; flaglady47; HarleyLady27; ...

YUGE Trump Iowa news ping!


73 posted on 02/01/2016 7:33:41 AM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: Uncle Miltie

Checked the weather for Ames area it does not show snow until Tuesday.


74 posted on 02/01/2016 7:33:54 AM PST by Empireoftheatom48 (God help the Republic but will he?)
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To: xzins

The headline SHOULD read, “Liberty and the US Constitution Fade” if there is a Trump victory.


75 posted on 02/01/2016 7:33:56 AM PST by alstewartfan ("I came back as a large hippopotamus." Al Stewart)
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To: Jane Long

So Long Long, Cruz is toast!


76 posted on 02/01/2016 7:33:58 AM PST by Boardwalk
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To: bimboeruption
He could have slept on his plane. He chose to stay there and posed for photos with all the staff. Probably picked up more votes.
77 posted on 02/01/2016 7:34:56 AM PST by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: nclaurel

It looks like flurries maybe between 8 and 10 pm, and snow showers after 10 til early morning. It’s saying only 3-5 inches over night. That’s not much in Ohio, so I imagine this is negligible in Iowa.

And it’s not really that cold, in the 30’s, so I don’t see this weather keeping anyone from attending. If it were actually heavily snowing, even then Iowans should be comfortable with that, except maybe older people. I would expect older people to be Cruz supporters if evangelicals and establishment types if not.


78 posted on 02/01/2016 7:35:15 AM PST by xzins (Have YOU Donated to the Freep-a-Thon? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Uncle Miltie

Seriously? A 14% chance? You realize caucus locations are generally not more than a couple blocks away?


79 posted on 02/01/2016 7:36:16 AM PST by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: Boardwalk

I think you meant to post that to the n00b naysayer ;-)


80 posted on 02/01/2016 7:36:24 AM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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