Posted on 02/01/2016 6:21:43 AM PST by xzins
A final Quinnipiac poll ahead of the Iowa caucus finds Donald Trump’s support steady at 31 percent while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)97% has dropped 5 points in the last week.
Cruz currently has the support of 24 percent of likely caucus-goers, according to the poll. Last week, his support was 29 percent.
The poll also shows a late increases in support for third-place Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL)79% . The Florida senator has 17 percent support, up from 13 percent last week.
Trump’s current 7-point lead in the poll, released on the day of the Iowa caucus, seems to come completely from the drop in support for Cruz. The poll anticipates a big surge in turnout for the caucus. Trump has an 18-point lead among first-time caucus-goers.
The surge in turnout anticipated by Quinnipiac would change greatly the composition of the electorate voting Monday. If the Quinnipiac assumption on turnout is correct, only around 40 percent of caucus-goers would be evangelicals, a dramatic drop from the previous two caucuses.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
I will re-publish all these biased polls after Cruz is declared the winner in Iowa. Bye Bye Trump...
I think Carson’s numbers will split for a combination of the non-establishment candidates with former religious conservative headliners Huckabee and Santorum.
Cool - ‘preesh you joining here 4 days ago to do that for us
Yep.
That’s what I did...haven’t watched Fox since the first AMBUSH (debate).
The caucus format makes this difficult to forecast.
I wish I could find a good landline/cell phone/internet poll focused just on this race. Too many are landline dominant with only a few cell backups. They over-sample old people, basically.
It would be good to compare the two varieties.
Do people who live in Iowa actually go into seclusion in bad weather? Just asking. They should used to snow. It isn’t like here in NC where we shut everything down.
Trump will close the deal with Iowa and New Hampshire.
The joke is nowadays about 50% of the vehicles on the road are 4wd pickups and SUVs.
Maybe there were no other hotels in the area. Iowa is a RURAL state.
I will re-publish all these biased polls after Cruz is declared the winner in Iowa. Bye Bye Trump...
GregKremer
Join date: 1/27/16
YUGE Trump Iowa news ping!
Checked the weather for Ames area it does not show snow until Tuesday.
The headline SHOULD read, “Liberty and the US Constitution Fade” if there is a Trump victory.
So Long Long, Cruz is toast!
It looks like flurries maybe between 8 and 10 pm, and snow showers after 10 til early morning. It’s saying only 3-5 inches over night. That’s not much in Ohio, so I imagine this is negligible in Iowa.
And it’s not really that cold, in the 30’s, so I don’t see this weather keeping anyone from attending. If it were actually heavily snowing, even then Iowans should be comfortable with that, except maybe older people. I would expect older people to be Cruz supporters if evangelicals and establishment types if not.
Seriously? A 14% chance? You realize caucus locations are generally not more than a couple blocks away?
I think you meant to post that to the n00b naysayer ;-)
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