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New Des Moines Register Iowa Poll – Ted Cruz Jumps Staggering 21 Points and Leads with 31%…
Conservative Treehouse ^ | 12/12/15 | Sundance

Posted on 12/12/2015 4:56:15 PM PST by Amntn

According to the latest Des Moines Register Poll, (full pdf below) of 400 Republican caucus goers, candidate Ted Cruz has surged into the lead with 31% support - a gain of 21 points since DMR's previous polling:

(Excerpt) Read more at theconservativetreehouse.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa; US: New York; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016polls; alreadyposted; canadian; demagogicparty; desmoines; desmoinesregister; election; election2016; ia2016; iowa; memebuilding; newyork; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; tedcruz; texas; trump; trumpwasright
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To: Amntn

Ok, I read it and Trump is still a hothead.


61 posted on 12/12/2015 5:58:37 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter (Trump to McCain - "Pass the strawberries".)
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To: gov_bean_ counter

Read details of this Desmoines Register poll again, and you will discover the following numbers...

Who has the best chance of beating Hillary Clinton
11 26 20 30 14
Carson Cruz Rubio Trump Not sure

Trump 30 votes
Cruz 26 votes.


62 posted on 12/12/2015 5:58:38 PM PST by entropy12 (Go Trump 2016!)
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To: entropy12

Makes my point. Thanks.


63 posted on 12/12/2015 5:59:33 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter (Trump to McCain - "Pass the strawberries".)
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To: Amntn
you might be interested in my post #49.

Read it but was not interested. Didn't believe you anyway. Trump supporters are just as anti-Cruz. If you really liked Cruz why would people who are not even associated with him affect your support for him? Did he piss you off? He is the candidate, not his supporters.

64 posted on 12/12/2015 6:00:09 PM PST by Starstruck (I'm usually sarcastic. Deal with it.)
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To: G Larry

I’ll give you a hint what’s significant. Trump dissed the commie lib Des Moines Register recently. Told his rally gathering what a dishonest bunch they are. So they went right out and PROVED Trump correct by cobbling together a fraudulent “poll”.


65 posted on 12/12/2015 6:00:19 PM PST by Tucker39 (Welcome to America! Now speak English; and keep to the right....In driving, in Faith, and politics.)
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To: entropy12

“The candidates are listed in ALPHABETICAL order..”

I don’t know about this poll, but generally in poll taking where you are giving a list the questioner rotates the names, because yes there is a tendency to pick the earlier named person.

There is also a real bias in the world toward the right hand. At work we have garbage can that pull out from the cabinet. The one on the right hand side can be full to overflowing almost and the one on the left will be nearly empty. So, I always use the left one.


66 posted on 12/12/2015 6:00:49 PM PST by jocon307
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To: VanDeKoik
About 90,000 people will vote in the GOP Iowa caucus.

Using your statistical expertise, what sample size would be large enough for an appropriate confidence interval?

Usually 0.2%-0.5% of a population represents a predictive sample, so in theory a sample as small as 180 could suffice.

67 posted on 12/12/2015 6:04:59 PM PST by wideawake
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To: luvbach1

The poll also burdens Cruz with unrealistically high expectations.
It’s a ‘two-fer’ for the establishment.


68 posted on 12/12/2015 6:05:09 PM PST by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: entropy12
Iowa has not been good indicator of who wins nomination. Huckabee & Santorum both won Iowa.

And that means exactly warm spit because Bush and Obama did. Guess who got 16 years of Presidency? Iowans are like the magic 8 ball. 50-50. Doesn't portend failure or success.

69 posted on 12/12/2015 6:07:22 PM PST by Starstruck (I'm usually sarcastic. Deal with it.)
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To: Amntn; All

The sample size is similar to most state polls, nothing wrong there.

Probably an outlier, but no problem. There will plenty of polls coming in soon.

And, as long as it’s Trump or Cruz at or near the top, all is well.

Relax.


70 posted on 12/12/2015 6:10:02 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (Life is good.)
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To: Starstruck

So you are saying I am lying rather than take responsibility for your behavior.

The reason you and the others turned me off of Cruz is because if you are the type of supporter Cruz attracts I am not real interested in the candidate.


71 posted on 12/12/2015 6:10:40 PM PST by Amntn
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To: Cats Pajamas

Of course you’re not.....you’re a Trumpophile.


72 posted on 12/12/2015 6:10:52 PM PST by traderrob6
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To: entropy12

Not right now. Cruz is about the last straw the Republican elte has to grasp. Likewise the media.


73 posted on 12/12/2015 6:10:57 PM PST by Aleya2Fairlie
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To: Amntn

Not a problem for Trump. The Evangelicals there seem to be strange bunch, not even close to the Republican Party mainstream overall. They support strange people, like Huckabee, just because they pray a lot (or so it seems), they supported Carson because he said a few things, then they hung on to him for dear life as he self-destructed, I guess because he’s black. Cruz has targeted this bunch from the beginning, while Trump (obviously) has not.

The result of not winning Iowa, besides losing a relative handful of delegates, is that funding can dry up...the money stops flowing in. Something that Trump doesn’t have to worry about. To him it’s just a small state, nothing more.


74 posted on 12/12/2015 6:12:45 PM PST by BobL (Who cares? He's going to build a wall and stop this invasion.)
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To: itsahoot

EXACTLY!


75 posted on 12/12/2015 6:14:07 PM PST by freedomjusticeruleoflaw (Western Civilization- whisper the words, and it will disappear. So let us talk now about rebirth.)
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To: BobL

I’m not worried about Trump.

I posted this to point out the schizophrenic internals that show Trump winning most major categories but losing the total.


76 posted on 12/12/2015 6:14:30 PM PST by Amntn
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To: Amntn
I just found it remarkable that Trump rates so much higher on most of the things that matter and they are trying to say Ted is so far ahead.

The internals don’t match the total.

Did we see the same internals...? Looks like Ted did ok to me.

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

77 posted on 12/12/2015 6:16:20 PM PST by LowOiL ("Let us do evil that good may come"? ....condemnation is just - Romans 3:8)
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To: Amntn
The reason you and the others turned me off of Cruz is because if you are the type of supporter Cruz attracts I am not real interested in the candidate.

Not interested in your pot calling the kettle black observation. Cruz is my candidate, always has been, and will be even if he loses. I don't care about your turn-ons or turnoffs. Politics is not a dating site.

78 posted on 12/12/2015 6:17:21 PM PST by Starstruck (I'm usually sarcastic. Deal with it.)
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To: luvbach1
I'm sure that was an objective. Trump isn't buying it.


79 posted on 12/12/2015 6:21:14 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: gov_bean_ counter

Iowa voted twice for Obama.

That’s the kind of President they seem to want.


80 posted on 12/12/2015 6:21:36 PM PST by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance)
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