The internals don’t match the total.
Did we see the same internals...? Looks like Ted did ok to me.
Posted on 12/12/2015 4:56:15 PM PST by Amntn
According to the latest Des Moines Register Poll, (full pdf below) of 400 Republican caucus goers, candidate Ted Cruz has surged into the lead with 31% support - a gain of 21 points since DMR's previous polling:
(Excerpt) Read more at theconservativetreehouse.com ...
Ok, I read it and Trump is still a hothead.
Read details of this Desmoines Register poll again, and you will discover the following numbers...
Who has the best chance of beating Hillary Clinton
11 26 20 30 14
Carson Cruz Rubio Trump Not sure
Trump 30 votes
Cruz 26 votes.
Makes my point. Thanks.
Read it but was not interested. Didn't believe you anyway. Trump supporters are just as anti-Cruz. If you really liked Cruz why would people who are not even associated with him affect your support for him? Did he piss you off? He is the candidate, not his supporters.
I’ll give you a hint what’s significant. Trump dissed the commie lib Des Moines Register recently. Told his rally gathering what a dishonest bunch they are. So they went right out and PROVED Trump correct by cobbling together a fraudulent “poll”.
“The candidates are listed in ALPHABETICAL order..”
I don’t know about this poll, but generally in poll taking where you are giving a list the questioner rotates the names, because yes there is a tendency to pick the earlier named person.
There is also a real bias in the world toward the right hand. At work we have garbage can that pull out from the cabinet. The one on the right hand side can be full to overflowing almost and the one on the left will be nearly empty. So, I always use the left one.
Using your statistical expertise, what sample size would be large enough for an appropriate confidence interval?
Usually 0.2%-0.5% of a population represents a predictive sample, so in theory a sample as small as 180 could suffice.
The poll also burdens Cruz with unrealistically high expectations.
It’s a ‘two-fer’ for the establishment.
And that means exactly warm spit because Bush and Obama did. Guess who got 16 years of Presidency? Iowans are like the magic 8 ball. 50-50. Doesn't portend failure or success.
The sample size is similar to most state polls, nothing wrong there.
Probably an outlier, but no problem. There will plenty of polls coming in soon.
And, as long as it’s Trump or Cruz at or near the top, all is well.
Relax.
So you are saying I am lying rather than take responsibility for your behavior.
The reason you and the others turned me off of Cruz is because if you are the type of supporter Cruz attracts I am not real interested in the candidate.
Of course you’re not.....you’re a Trumpophile.
Not right now. Cruz is about the last straw the Republican elte has to grasp. Likewise the media.
Not a problem for Trump. The Evangelicals there seem to be strange bunch, not even close to the Republican Party mainstream overall. They support strange people, like Huckabee, just because they pray a lot (or so it seems), they supported Carson because he said a few things, then they hung on to him for dear life as he self-destructed, I guess because he’s black. Cruz has targeted this bunch from the beginning, while Trump (obviously) has not.
The result of not winning Iowa, besides losing a relative handful of delegates, is that funding can dry up...the money stops flowing in. Something that Trump doesn’t have to worry about. To him it’s just a small state, nothing more.
EXACTLY!
I’m not worried about Trump.
I posted this to point out the schizophrenic internals that show Trump winning most major categories but losing the total.
The internals don’t match the total.
Did we see the same internals...? Looks like Ted did ok to me.
Not interested in your pot calling the kettle black observation. Cruz is my candidate, always has been, and will be even if he loses. I don't care about your turn-ons or turnoffs. Politics is not a dating site.
Iowa voted twice for Obama.
That’s the kind of President they seem to want.
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