Posted on 12/01/2015 12:51:28 PM PST by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
Donald Trump's lead in public opinion polling could have a soft underbelly, leaving him more vulnerable than the numbers might suggest.
The New York real estate mogul and reality television star paces the field of Republican presidential candidates nationally, garnering an average of 35.1 in the Huffington Post polling tracker. Rounding out the top four candidates are retired pediatric neurosurgeon Ben Carson, with 13.9 percent and Sens. Marco Rubio of Florida and Ted Cruz of Texas, with 12.6 percent and 11.4 percent, respectively.
But use the site's custom filter to remove surveys conducted via the Internet, Interactive Voice Response, a combination of IVR and online and through automated telephone interviews, and the data looks significantly different. Using only polls conducted via interviews with live telephone operators, Trump's still commanding position in the national GOP average drops to 27.2 percent; Carson's number rises to 20.2 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
I wonder who will get his votes after he drops out? /s
;)
...and he’s going to pull out any minute.
Man these folks are in denial.
That’s right! He can’t be leading? Oh, but he is!
:)...any minute.
I know. It’s so sad... = :^(
Heh heh heh...
was at the beach over the weekend...saw several people wearing TRUMP T-shirts. A few wearing his hats.
Have you seen the pictures from his rallies compared to the other candidates' rallies? I think the polls are understating his support.
It is foolish to say that an internet web site vote has any kind of reliability compared to a scientific poll. The science has to be there to make the sample representative of who is actually a likely voter. The demographic of who uses the net is not in synch with the demographic of who votes.
Train wrecks have massive turnouts. Not many support train wrecks.
It looked like a packed room but I have no idea the size of the room or the crowd.
The polls are likely correct in measuring his current support. Trump’s problem will be in trying to broaden his appeal. He has probably already peaked.
Wow. Great!
I’m reading that a Quinnipiac U. poll is due out tomorrow. Those Lib quacks don’t like Trump. I won’t be surprised if they do their usual hatchet job on his support.
A ^University^ poll! Be suspicious of the teachers lounge crowd.
How many rallies Palin ran during 2007? Trump is doing 5 EVERY WEEK, and averaging 10,000 in each.
I will take a poll of half million participants over a push-pull poll of 300-400 respondents any day. Most people have internet these days. Even me in my 70’s lol.
train wrecks do not happen every week. Trump rallies are happening many times each week. He is in a different town in a different state every day!
The amount of respondents isn’t what matters, it’s whether the sample proportionally matches who the voters are going to be.
Last I checked the advent of the internet didn’t cause real pollsters to all shut down.
Surprise surprise, they actually show him rising two points.
Still 27%? I think they’re hedging there...
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