Posted on 12/01/2015 12:51:28 PM PST by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
Donald Trump's lead in public opinion polling could have a soft underbelly, leaving him more vulnerable than the numbers might suggest.
The New York real estate mogul and reality television star paces the field of Republican presidential candidates nationally, garnering an average of 35.1 in the Huffington Post polling tracker. Rounding out the top four candidates are retired pediatric neurosurgeon Ben Carson, with 13.9 percent and Sens. Marco Rubio of Florida and Ted Cruz of Texas, with 12.6 percent and 11.4 percent, respectively.
But use the site's custom filter to remove surveys conducted via the Internet, Interactive Voice Response, a combination of IVR and online and through automated telephone interviews, and the data looks significantly different. Using only polls conducted via interviews with live telephone operators, Trump's still commanding position in the national GOP average drops to 27.2 percent; Carson's number rises to 20.2 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
Go Trump!
Possibly a bit. Perhaps not. The accuracy of any poll depends upon the sample. Who know how well the sample reflects who the actual voters will be?
If anything they are understating his support. Look at the massive turnouts at his rallys.
Try understating.
If the polls were indeed overstating Trump’s support, the GOP-e wouldn’t be in such a panic.
Marketing 101, nothing whatsoever to do with journalism.
“If anything they are understating his support. Look at the massive turnouts at his rallys.”<—————what he/she said.
Good point!
“If the polls were indeed overstating Trump’s support, the GOP-e wouldn’t be in such a panic.”
Kasich calling a fellow candidate a Nazi. How sad. Kasich used to me someone I looked up to. Now, just another pathetic establishment hit man.
Gee, David. I wonder what your opinion is... (NOT)
I really don't have faith in any of the polls. But the fact that Trump is filling stadiums and arenas across the country for his rallies - with people standing outside because they can't get in - speaks volumes.
Is there any other political candidate out there that can fill a stadium for a rally? Most of them couldn't fill a conference room at the Hampton Inn.
Trump is the one drawing the large crowds.
But the fact that Trump is filling stadiums and arenas across the country for his rallies - with people standing outside because they can’t get in - speaks volumes.....
Amen
Not just once like Bernie but repeatedly.
The purpose of polls is to shape public opinion.
Another suspect anti-Trump article out of the Washington Examiner. I am seeing a pattern here.
Betting against polls for us burned in 2012.
There are screwy ones that definitely make no logical sense, but by and large they are what they are.
Oohhhh yes... Trump is really not popular at all.
I bet you democrats are really going to win big! that’s for sure...
We’re sure scared
The only polls that are verifiable are the ones held right before an election.
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