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PPP IA: Trump back in the lead, 22-21 over Carson, Cruz 14, Rubio 10
Public Policy Polling ^ | 11/2/2015

Posted on 11/02/2015 3:00:10 PM PST by LS

Cruz is rising in Iowa; Clinton Back Out to Dominant Lead

PPP's newest Iowa poll finds a tight race on the Republican side in the state with Donald Trump at 22%, Ben Carson at 21%, Ted Cruz at 14%, Marco Rubio at 10%, Mike Huckabee and Bobby Jindal each at 6%, and Jeb Bush and Carly Fiorina each at 5%. Polling further back are Chris Christie at 3%, John Kasich, Rand Paul, and Rick Santorum each at 2%, Lindsey Graham with less than 1%, and Jim Gilmore and George Pataki each with no supporters.

Compared to our last Iowa poll in mid-September Trump's support is down 2 points (from 24% to 22%), while Carson's support is up 4 points (from 17% to 21%) putting them in the deadlock. The big gainer from a month ago is Ted Cruz though. He's gone from 8% to 14%, and also seen his favorability rating improve from 51/23 to 62/16. Cruz is now leading the field in Iowa among Tea Party voters (34% to 24% for Trump and 22% for Carson), and voters who identify themselves as 'very conservative' (24% to 22% for Carson and 21% for Trump.)


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2016election; carson; cruz; election2016; elections; goppoll; ia; iowa; polls; rubio; tedcruz; texas; trump
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To: Carry_Okie
Mockingjay.

Movie tie-in.

21 posted on 11/02/2015 3:37:59 PM PST by x
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To: Carry_Okie

It’s a takeoff on The Hunger Games, which is libertarianism for kids.

Awful literature, but culturally aware and appeals to a younger demographic.


22 posted on 11/02/2015 3:39:12 PM PST by Uncle Miltie ("The bipartisan project is to destroy conservatism" .. "Cruz is a thoroughbred conservative." - Rush)
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To: Carry_Okie

One of the books in the series is “Catching Fire”, which is knowingly re-used by the Cruz campaign.


23 posted on 11/02/2015 3:41:18 PM PST by Uncle Miltie ("The bipartisan project is to destroy conservatism" .. "Cruz is a thoroughbred conservative." - Rush)
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To: Uncle Miltie

Got it.


24 posted on 11/02/2015 3:41:53 PM PST by Carry_Okie (Dupes for Donald, Chumps for Trump)
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To: x

Figured the bird for an arctic tern, so I couldn’t make anything from that.


25 posted on 11/02/2015 3:43:07 PM PST by Carry_Okie (Dupes for Donald, Chumps for Trump)
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To: dp0622

With you on Rubio. He does what his gop elders tell him to do.


26 posted on 11/02/2015 3:43:20 PM PST by pangaea6
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To: Uncle Miltie

Ground game, baby. Cruz is Catching Fire.

******************

Cruz should in Iowa. I think he probably has the best ground level organization
in the state. I believe I read where he now has a Cruz campaign worker in each of
the 99 counties. If so that helps get the supporters to the over 1600 caucuses to
spend a couple of hours and vote for him.


27 posted on 11/02/2015 3:44:24 PM PST by deport
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To: pangaea6

He could have been president of the US!!!

he got lost along the way. and never found his way back.


28 posted on 11/02/2015 3:46:46 PM PST by dp0622
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To: CA Conservative

No, there is no title with PPP. It’s a subtitle. But spin as you want, the significant thing is that the Carson boomlet is over, and Trump is, yes, back on top in IA.


29 posted on 11/02/2015 3:57:08 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Uncle Miltie

Don’t forget this pic:

http://www.cnn.com/2012/02/02/politics/campaign-wrap/


30 posted on 11/02/2015 3:57:50 PM PST by parksstp ("Truth is NOT Rhetoric" - Sen. Ted Cruz (The obvious conservative choice for POTUS))
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To: traderrob6
Before the debate Carson makes a miracle move with no statistical support for the move. After the debate the numbers returned to a similar spread like pre-debate. All this happened in a span of two weeks.

I don't care who you support or why but those numbers were manipulated.

31 posted on 11/02/2015 3:59:24 PM PST by pfflier
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To: Longbow1969
The headline is that Trump is back in the lead. Trump's support is down two 'from previous PPP IA poll,' but UP a bunch since earlier IA polls. I don't think what it "actually says" is the story here. For three weeks all we've heard is how Carson has surged ahead in IA. Well, we just had TWO polls from IA and Trump has "surged" back ahead. I think PPP was trying to obscure that fact by discussing the #3 guy as opposed to the race at the top, where the leader is way ahead of #3.

But suit yourself; go post your own.

32 posted on 11/02/2015 3:59:43 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Go Cruz, go! A steady but constant rise is the best way to stay strong in the long run!


33 posted on 11/02/2015 4:00:24 PM PST by luvie (Cruz or Lose!)
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To: LUV W
We'll see. He has moved up from about 4% in a lot of polls to over 10 in many and now to 14-15 in a couple.

One would guess that is reflecting his debate performance, but you never know. Carson had a horrible debate performance and now leads in the NBC poll.

34 posted on 11/02/2015 4:01:59 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS
But spin as you want, the significant thing is that the Carson boomlet is over, and Trump is, yes, back on top in IA.

You can't use this poll to make the argument that "Trump is back on top" in Iowa. In the last poll by this company, Trump had a 7 point lead - in this poll, he has a 1 point lead. So this poll shows Trump losing ground in Iowa, just like the other recent Iowa polls do. And this poll shows Carson gaining on Trump in Iowa, just as the other Iowas polls do. Sorry, but you can't compare this poll to a poll from another company and claim Trump is "back on top". You have to compare this poll with the next most recent poll from this company to see what movement they are showing in their poll for the candidates.

35 posted on 11/02/2015 4:08:18 PM PST by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: LS
No, there is no title with PPP. It’s a subtitle. But spin as you want...

LOL. Speaking of spin...

36 posted on 11/02/2015 4:28:42 PM PST by FreeReign
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To: CA Conservative

Nope. Wrong argument. I am not going by his previous polls in this PARTICULAR poll but the hoopla that “Carson is leading in IA.” THAT was the national story. Tit for tat. The story is Trump has reclaimed the lead in IA now in two polls. You can look at it however you want, but think our conversation is over.


37 posted on 11/02/2015 4:30:06 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: trisham

Gilmore and Pataki STILL in race??


38 posted on 11/02/2015 4:30:42 PM PST by CPT Clay (Hillary: Julius and Ethal Rosenberg were electrocuted for selling classified info.)
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To: FreeReign

Post you own thread if you are so concerned.


39 posted on 11/02/2015 4:31:18 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Uncle Miltie

Could you imagine Carson debating Hillary?


40 posted on 11/02/2015 4:33:31 PM PST by CPT Clay (Hillary: Julius and Ethal Rosenberg were electrocuted for selling classified info.)
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