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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: jpsb

“Well I hope you find that perfect candidate to support before the Marxists send you off to some gulag.”

Finally, I hope your perfect candidate, Ron Paul, fails miserably, or you’ll find your daughters in hijabs while you kneel for prayer to Mohammed seven times a day. Mr. Paul’s insanely naive view of Islam is almost criminal.


141 posted on 01/03/2012 12:46:54 PM PST by Persevero (Homeschooling for Excellence since 1992)
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To: Irish Eyes

No time limit as I understand, although the site chair can close the vote as his discretion. As far as results it will be precinct-by-precinct, site-by-site, county-by-county. Size and competency of each will determine.

I would post my site and county but we’ve been told not to. If I can get around that I will.


142 posted on 01/03/2012 12:50:24 PM PST by Free Vulcan (Election 2012 - No Prisoners. No Mercy.)
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To: Irish Eyes

And, the state GOP will announce. Don’t know if it’s county-by-county or if they’ll report them all at once.


143 posted on 01/03/2012 12:52:38 PM PST by Free Vulcan (Election 2012 - No Prisoners. No Mercy.)
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To: Kenny
Thou doth protest too loudly.

I don't believe I have protested at all. I merely pointed out that Perry, being one of the weakest candidates is currently polling 5th.

Either Perry really is bottom of the race or an awful lot of people are pushing that line.

He polls in single digits most everywhere. That means he really is at the "bottom of the race".

One good way for undecideds to pick someone is to look at who Obama really doesn’t want to win.

If you say so. Obama and the DNC have been attacking Romney; it's all over the news reports of the day. I would hate to see Romney get the GOP nomination. Apparently, so would they.

144 posted on 01/03/2012 12:53:28 PM PST by South40 (Just say NO to pro-ILLEGAL alien RINOS!)
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To: Josephat
Can you imagine the exploding heads that would result from a Palin showing?

Yes I can! I hope she gets a decent percentage. Might be a game changer. . . Always remember Ike not running and then he was. . He was drafted by We the People!

145 posted on 01/03/2012 12:53:35 PM PST by Art in Idaho (Conservatism is the only hope for Western Civilization.)
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To: Free Vulcan

Thanks for your answer.


146 posted on 01/03/2012 12:53:47 PM PST by Irish Eyes
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To: Persevero
Paul is far from a perfect candidate to me, his views on Islam and Iran are horrible.

I've never been a libertarian and mostly I don't like libertarians. I think of them as idealist fools. But I like Marxists and progressives even less so I am stuck between a rock (Paul) and a hard spot (Newt, Romney, Perry, Santorum). At least Paul believes the republic should follow the Constitution so I am for now going with him. I don't vote here in Texas until Super Tuesday so I have time to maybe change my mind.

147 posted on 01/03/2012 12:54:32 PM PST by jpsb
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To: Free Vulcan

There’s no predicting this one.

Many pollsters will have red faces tomorrow.


148 posted on 01/03/2012 12:56:11 PM PST by Palladin (No Newts!)
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To: ConfidentConservative

“Be with Iowa’s Voter’s today, touch their hearts and lead them to YOUR choice for our next leader. Place YOUR Angels about each voting place and protect voters, And Lord Cause confusion in the minds of those who desire to cheat and steal votes from the true votes. In the Name Of Jesus we Pray.”

AMEN and Amen!


149 posted on 01/03/2012 1:07:06 PM PST by blueyon (The U. S. Constitution - read it and weep)
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To: Free Vulcan

Obama isn’t watching, hell, only one state out of 57.....


150 posted on 01/03/2012 1:09:03 PM PST by RacerX1128 (Cornered in CA)
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To: South40

Perry was up to 4th place a week or two ago and it was ignored. You didn’t hear all the surge talk when he had movement. Same with Newt, if he starts to recover, they totally ignore it.

Secondly, I haven’t heard Obama’s people attack Romney but either way, they are not afraid of him. He can’t fight Obamacare because he started it. He’s a liberal so the Republican base would sit home and O would steal yet another election. Obama would love to face off with Romney


151 posted on 01/03/2012 1:11:22 PM PST by Kenny
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To: JudyinCanada
Yeah, the support RoPaul has in Iowa is from fringe kooks and democrats. Rush explains it here.
 

"Operation Chaos" Enters the Lexicon


152 posted on 01/03/2012 1:14:24 PM PST by Responsibility2nd (NO LIBS! This means liberals AND libertarians (same thing) NO LIBS!)
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To: Art in Idaho

she has missed too many deadlines. it is a useless exercise to go there.


153 posted on 01/03/2012 1:15:06 PM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: afraidfortherepublic; American Constitutionalist; Antoninus; AuH2ORepublican; BlackElk; ...
Praying for a Santorum miracle tonight. Go Iowa!



Santorum for President ping. Let me know if you want on or off the list.

Top 10 Reasons why Conservatives should support Santorum
154 posted on 01/03/2012 1:22:59 PM PST by Antoninus (Defeat Romney--Defeat Obama.)
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To: Responsibility2nd

Thanks very much - makes sense now.

One thing I don’t understand is why his opponents have not come out with an onslaught of negative ads, akin to what they did to Gingrich. He’s so whacky and that needs to be drilled home!


155 posted on 01/03/2012 1:23:03 PM PST by JudyinCanada
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To: jpsb
The system that you and Ron Paul subscribe to is vote buying and corruption. Money sent to Washington should be for things which do not require "coming back" to your district, i.e., Defense. Ron Paul buys the votes of those on the recieving end of Pork spending.

Ron Paul - faux Constitutionalist

156 posted on 01/03/2012 1:23:26 PM PST by lormand (A Government who robs Peter to pay Paul, will always have the support of Paul)
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To: JudyinCanada

IOWA has same day registration.

So the kook pauls can be bussed in, registered, vote, and then go to another caucus meeting and repeat.


157 posted on 01/03/2012 1:25:43 PM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: Free Vulcan

Dunno about any forecasts, but you may have a bead on Momentum Santorum.... The good Senator might just Win. Santorum not my 1st choice, but he is a decent fellow.


158 posted on 01/03/2012 1:26:10 PM PST by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
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To: Kenny
http://lmgtfy.com/?q=DNC%27s+wasserman+schultz+attacks+romney
159 posted on 01/03/2012 1:31:59 PM PST by South40 (Just say NO to pro-ILLEGAL alien RINOS!)
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To: Free Vulcan

I am so glad the actual voting is getting underway, or at least the semi-actual voting in this case. I’ll bet Iowans will be glad come tomorrow morning, when media move out and they can live in peace again.


160 posted on 01/03/2012 1:35:28 PM PST by La Enchiladita (Newt says amnesty isn't amnesty.)
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