Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan
Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.
Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.
We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.
My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:
Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1
Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.
Please read post #846, sniff or something.
I was disappointed that Palin did not endorse Santorum tonight on Greta.
I was thinking the same thing.
I wonder if she eventually will endorse him.
Perry will do well in South Carolina
” I dont see the rush to eliminate candidates.” <<<
It’s the money. Perry goes straight to South Carolina and so does Newt if he is smart. They have their own internal numbers for Romney in New Hampshire. The winner in South Carolina is always the game changer and the final dog fight for going into Florida. These guys do not have the money. One man has the money for the distance and opposition research, negative ads. Romney. And his Super PAC.
Now, some of the obvious points from watching the Iowa Caucuses on Fox are:
(1) Bret Baier doesnt know how to add or subtract.
(2) A preponderance of Santorum supporters have Pro-Life/Abortion as their primary concern in terms of focus as revealed in their Google searches, which doesnt bode well if he is running against Obama since the primary concern of America in 2012 is Jobs and the Economy.
While Rick Santorum may address the economy, his vocal supporters may tend to ignore the main issue and spend their time running around screaming about abortion, holding up signs about killing babies instead of holding up signs about Obama killing jobs and that would pretty much sink America inot the pit of four more years of Obama mush meals.
(3) Santorum has definitely emerged as the man of the moment, the Knight on the Black Horse appearing from the hillock and now raising his sword to descend into the battle as the Anti-Romney vote (and in part the Evangelist Rams horn calling out to counter to the evil of Mormonism) ---- that is up until he is labeled by the some of the same evangelicals as a Papist whose true loyalty is to the Pope, which will soon give rise to a new movement called the Fifth Monarchy Men who will throw their support towards an independent run byRon Paul which will result in the re-election of Obomination.
(4) Carl Rove is a pathetic Establishment Republican who is going to wet his whistle for Romney no matter what happens or who is rounding second base.
(5) There is a saying, The Life of the King is inside the Parrot. The parrot has been sitting right there and has observed and put to memory everything. And then the parrot will squawk, and tell all the World about it, and it will be too true to ignore even if it is the parrot who speaks and not a magic mirror. At that moment, it wont matter how many gems are in the crown of the King all eyes and ears will be on the parrot. And the parrot is Sarah Palin. Whoever she endorses, that will be the squawk that turned the worm.
(6) Bachmann needs a shoulder to cry on. Its well sort of like like you dont want to say anything. Like when someone falls off the stage. Or
(7) Perry is now a pie, and not a candidate. Perry pie. Fried chicken and perry pie.
(8) On to N.H . and Gingrich is pulling out the gloves. Boy. Santorum and Romney, they are really scared now. Shaking in their boots. Watch out boys. Doc Newt is bringin the bag of tools to do an operation on Rocky Racoon. Everyone is clearing the bar! . Yeah right. They are scared now. A-huh.
That is sort of how I see it. I am still leaning Romney. But ride Santorum, ride!
Oooops, well, Newt has won 4th place. Where does that leave Perry?
and Pslin will never do it either. She wants Trump running. That’s what she said the other day.
Prediction turning out just about right.
Obama DREAMS of running against the ineligible
RomneyCARE who makes Obama’s ineligibility
and ObamaCARE moot.
Loser, Romney is.
Don’t change channels yet. Apparently Newt will be making a statement shortly.
Yes we did, because we ran RINOs.
Insist on too far right and we will lose in 2012.
WRONG. Remember the 2010 midterm elections, and get a clue. A plurality of Americans are conservative, and WANT the country to swing hard right, after the disastrous left-wing destruction of the last two decades - and especially the last three years.
Reagan was dead right. Conservatism wins, every time it's tried.
Santorum up by only 13 votes with 88% reporting.
Back to praying...
Palin I meant.
Negative ads work.
88% in, Santorum leads by 13 total votes! To give Romney one backhanded compliment his highest percentage in any county is Johnson County, 35% where it actually beat the Paulbots at the University of Iowa. I never would have predicted that.
When is the national caucus?
I totally do not understand this surge for Santorum.
He was not THAT great a senator. He lost his last election by a large majority.
He’s got almost no zest, verve, charisma or personality.
He does not seem like a leader.
Has Iowa gone mad?? Or did they just hate everyone else?
He didn’t bother to run in Iowa. Huntsman would make a better president then any other one up there.
Santorum is the flavor o the week. One of the grosser ones...
Well ... I’m gonna go drown my sorrows in a glass or ten of Hershey’s chocolate milk.
Right. Rubio is a natural born citizen.
******************
I believe he is. Wish he would go to Court and seek a declaratory judgment to that effect. Then, the Courts will finally get involved in ALL those who have questionable eligibility.
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