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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: All

KCCI just said
Santorum 25%
Romney 25%
Paul 23%


1,001 posted on 01/03/2012 8:03:34 PM PST by Mozilla
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To: Degaston

Real close there Dega


1,002 posted on 01/03/2012 8:03:42 PM PST by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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To: BenKenobi
Scott Pelley(sp) will be disappointed.
1,003 posted on 01/03/2012 8:03:42 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter
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To: Aroostook25

[Having a child at age 48 with the very high risk of Trisomy 18 is beyond foolish and stupid. More like hubris and arrogance.]

Except Palin was 43 when she got pregnant (maybe 44). So you are a careless liar by 4 to 5 years. And I guess you would have preferred an abortion.


1,004 posted on 01/03/2012 8:03:54 PM PST by FastCoyote (I am intolerant of the intolerable.)
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To: fatima

They did and Newt said he would lose.

And lose he did... BIG TIME.

From 1st to 4th in 3 weeks.


1,005 posted on 01/03/2012 8:04:18 PM PST by tennmountainman
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To: RitaOK

“OBAMA would love to blow Santorum’s nose for him”No your just reliably.


1,006 posted on 01/03/2012 8:04:23 PM PST by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: Cato in PA

From your post to God’s ears!


1,007 posted on 01/03/2012 8:04:28 PM PST by DCBryan1 ("Forget the Lawyers! FIRST YOU MUST kill the journalists!" - Die Ritter, die sagen, "nee"!)
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To: TitansAFC

I like your name for him....LOL.

GO NEWT!


1,008 posted on 01/03/2012 8:04:33 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: teg_76
so you hear Wolf Blitzer."

Ha, ha, ha... 2x

1,009 posted on 01/03/2012 8:04:41 PM PST by World'sGoneInsane (We Can Take OUR Country Back--Perry 2012)
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To: teg_76

Huntsman should drop out too. It’s hilarious how he’s so invisible that nobody here even bothered to call for him to drop out.


1,010 posted on 01/03/2012 8:04:58 PM PST by Cato in PA (Hope and pray for the Santorum surge!)
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To: Gator113

FOX has become a haven for all sorts of misfits, lechers, adulterers, and kooks.

But Mark Sanford! That is really too much...trying to give legitimacy to the dregs of American politicians.

This after Alan Colmes’s slanderous lies yesterday.


1,011 posted on 01/03/2012 8:05:02 PM PST by Palladin (No Newts!)
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To: CainConservative

I was disappointed that Palin did not endorse Santorum tonight on Greta.


1,012 posted on 01/03/2012 8:05:15 PM PST by Wisconsinlady (DEFUND NPR, PBS, THE TSA AND THE U.N.)
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To: Theodore R.
I think Santorum may pull this off, and if Bachmann drops out after this loss, her support will most likely go to Rick.

This would be a good thing.

1,013 posted on 01/03/2012 8:05:53 PM PST by ohioWfan (Proud Mom of a Bronze Star winner!)
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To: teg_76

Bachmann will never do it.

She is the next Margaret Thatcher, doncha know?


1,014 posted on 01/03/2012 8:06:26 PM PST by Palladin (No Newts!)
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To: mojo114

Faux is awful. I am going to local news at the top of the hour.


1,015 posted on 01/03/2012 8:06:42 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: Palladin

The Newtie is now Second Tier.

*************
And just 7 weeks ago, he didn’ve even have 5 % in the national polls. Now, he’s tied at 25%

Imagine where he will be 7 weeks from now?

-:)


1,016 posted on 01/03/2012 8:06:53 PM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: CedarDave

Santorum 25%, Mittens 24%, Wrong Paul 22%, Newt 14%, Perry 11%, Michele 6%


If Wrong finishes third tonight it will be the closest he ever comes to getting the nomination. There’s really nothing else for him to get. He’s devoted his life to Iowa. Meaning, stick a fork in him. He be dun.


1,017 posted on 01/03/2012 8:07:03 PM PST by PaleoBob
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To: grey_whiskers

No question he was a problem...BUT, if Perot doesn’t run (he got 22% of the vote, I believe) Clinton goes back to Arkansas and Hillary does volunteer work for Planned Parenthood throughout the ‘90s.


1,018 posted on 01/03/2012 8:07:38 PM PST by Pharmboy (She turned me into a Newt! 2012)
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To: CainConservative
Check out this map. It’s a Huckaboom again! Rick dominating the map of Iowa’s counties.

Yeah, sort of looks like map of the US with the majority of the heartland Republican and east and west Democrats.

1,019 posted on 01/03/2012 8:07:44 PM PST by CedarDave
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To: CedarDave

Dave,

Check out this map AGAIN. It’s a Huckaboom again! Rick with WINS in 55 and counting counties across the state.. dominating the map of Iowa’s counties.

Wow!!!

http://iowacaucus.com/results/


1,020 posted on 01/03/2012 8:07:58 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain,Huck, Bolton, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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