Posted on 12/14/2011 3:47:21 PM PST by mandaladon
On Tuesday morning, the braintrust of President Obama’s 2012 re-election campaign gathered a select handful of reporters to make a simple case: the incumbent has a number of different paths — five, to be exact — he can follow to win the 270 electoral votes necessary to secure a second term. Since we’ve spent lots and lots of time breaking down the electoral map — and making the case that Obama is stronger than his job approval ratings indicate — we thought it might be fun to look at each of the paths laid out by his team to see how likely each might be.
We do that below. One important point before we start: The Obama team used as its baseline for each of these five scenarios the 246 electoral votes that Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry (D) won in his 2004 loss to President George W. Bush. That means that Obama could lose none of the states he and Kerry carried in 2004 and 2008 — including swing states like New Hampshire and Wisconsin — and have the numbers add up. The paths are ranked from most likely to least likely for Obama.
1. Florida path: If Obama wins the 29 electoral votes in Florida, he’s at 275 and a winner. Florida moved hard to Republicans in 2010 — the party elected Gov. Rick Scott and Sen. Marco Rubio — but there are signs that the Sunshine State electorate is trending back to the ideological middle. Scott is among the least popular governors in the country, which won’t help the eventual GOP presidential nominee, and Florida has a large Hispanic community that should vote overwhelmingly for Obama.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
Trouble is, all the paths lead through Fantasy Land.
Just like the Five Pillars of Islam.
If we overthrow The Kenyan Muslim, there will be riots in the streets comparable to the Rodney King riots.
I can’t find any link now and their link is not working but here is the story of what I posted to you
http://www.wcpo.com/dpp/news/local_news/investigations/If-You-Could-Vote-Twice%2C-Would-You
http://www.wsbtv.com/video/17878347/index.html
need to stop crap like this as there is no way he won my state, even when all amendments went right wing .
Mccain won the state on the night 53% to 47% but all their cheating and voting more than once changed it .
http://www.ourtown.com/snellvillega/article/2008/11/4/some-georgians-suspected-of-voting-twice.html
http://www.wcpo.com/dpp/news/local_news/investigations/If-You-Could-Vote-Twice%2C-Would-You
obama cheated Hillary and the country .
Now it comes out that some in NC voted more than once, he should not have been on the roles in IN and no way did he win my state.
If it is to be, then be prepared. A famous man once said "if there be trouble,, let it be in my time that my children and grandchildren live in peace" I'm sick of the "do nothings" threats,,, let em bring it on
“How President Obama gets to 270.”
Simple: Don’t back Newt for the nomination. Romney wins and goes on to be defeated by Obama.
GO NEWT GO........
How is that stuff?
(Is it just 90 proof Beam or does it have more character?)
ML/NJ
zer0 is one and done
So at best they have him at 275. So if he loses even one medium or large state that he and Kerry won, he’s toast.
Why reach for Jim Beam when there's a perfectly good 30.06 within reach? A plurality of our folks would surely have sold their votes to Fat George, right after Lexington and Concord.
And there's plenty who thought such as what happened following the election of Lincoln would be over and done in a week or two.
Won't be no standing army, just long, slogging protracted and determined resistance.
The Rule of Law, not men, and a Constitutional Republic, or no deal.
Pretty Good Stuff Strong but has more flavor......Still nice! Gonna get a nice Cigar for that night as well if the Republicans pull the election off......
After the Repub primaries, who ever the nominee is, there will have been so much blood letting and hatred between the Conservatives and RINO’s that one or the other will sit out the election.
I also believe that the Dems will get the House back as well as hold the Senate.
This primary season is the worst I have ever seen ... and not one vote has been cast yet.
Please don’t flame me - but talking to many others - not die hards like us - our best bets are Romney, huntsman , and Paul.
Now that there should have had a drink warning !!!!!!! My keyboard nearly got drowned by Pepsi ~
National Popular Vote -- Electoral college reform by direct election of the President
Insidious!
The ideological middle, my a@@. The Washington Post thinks that only Democrats represent that mysterious ideological middle. They have no idea of what the hell they're talking about.
270?
He plays the entire back 9 and uses no mulligans.
...the braintrust of President Obama’s 2012 re-election campaign gathered a select handful of reporters...Their names?
...He gains 120 lbs.
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