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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: metmom
Exactly what is Houston facing as far as storm surge? How far above sea level is it?

"Houston" covers a VERY large area... most of downtown is 45-50' elevation. Even areas just a few miles from the coast are at 25-30'. That's why, massive evacuation of the whole area isn't really needed.

But.. there are LOTS and LOTS of homes and people who live in areas less than 15' and within a few miles of Galveston Bay and Clear Lake. Anyone staying in those areas is in serious danger.

381 posted on 09/12/2008 8:50:02 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: Sunnyflorida

There’s a good bit around the Golden Triangle (Port Arthur, Beaumont, Orange), other than that, not a lot at all.


382 posted on 09/12/2008 8:50:22 AM PDT by texasredtop
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To: callmejoe
"Get out *now*"

According to some reports on this thread it's too late; the roads to Galveston island are already covered by water.

383 posted on 09/12/2008 8:51:00 AM PDT by Justa (The media lied while Americans died.)
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To: Justa

“According to some reports on this thread it’s too late; the roads to Galveston island are already covered by water”

:(


384 posted on 09/12/2008 8:52:15 AM PDT by Cheryllynn
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To: fatima

Good link. They were just saying that water has been turned off in Galveston.


385 posted on 09/12/2008 8:52:19 AM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: Enosh
Water and sewage service cut to Galveston West End.

Now they're saying the whole city of Galveston has cut off water for drinking and sewerage. The city has also issued curfew, I think he said 8p-5a through September 14th.

386 posted on 09/12/2008 8:52:20 AM PDT by lainie
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To: TheMom
With that said - - - LOOK OUT THE FREAKIN’ WINDOW!!!!! Start taking this storm seriously.

I know. Starting to get a bit of a breeze in the Inwood north area. Picked up my yard stuff to avoid breaking windows.

KHOU is saying that some viewer called in about places in Memorial park area where people left out patio furniture, trash and stuff.

The surge models are so very scary. Galveston is going to be completely changed.

387 posted on 09/12/2008 8:52:20 AM PDT by RikaStrom (The number one rule of the Kama Sutra is that you both be on the same page.../Exeter 051705)
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To: Justa
However all structures on it will be destroyed.

Well...not ALL structures... some of the stone buildings survived the 1900 Storm. They'll still be there..

But.. there's not enough of them to protect 30,000 people.

Sigh.... 108 years later.. and, we STILL haven't learned a thing.

388 posted on 09/12/2008 8:53:00 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: CedarDave

KPRC - Channel 2.

I am sure they are streaming, but don’t have the link.


389 posted on 09/12/2008 8:53:21 AM PDT by TheMom (Southwest Houston - near Sugar Land and Stafford)
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To: texasredtop

Hey no one is picking on you! we want you safe FReeper FRiend

and McCuda need your vote in November!


390 posted on 09/12/2008 8:53:30 AM PDT by DollyCali (Don't tell GOD how big your storm is -- Tell the storm how B-I-G your God is!)
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To: penelopesire

Agreed.

Watch now, folks.

This is history that will be spoken of a century from now.


391 posted on 09/12/2008 8:53:51 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: TheMom

KPRC


392 posted on 09/12/2008 8:54:59 AM PDT by DollyCali (Don't tell GOD how big your storm is -- Tell the storm how B-I-G your God is!)
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To: TheMom

I’m with you on the tent-pitching thing!

;-)


393 posted on 09/12/2008 8:55:27 AM PDT by pax_et_bonum (That midget hates it when I do that.)
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To: SomeCallMeTim

I would think even in the upland areas there is a pretty big threat from flash floods. I have been through winds in the 200MPH area and no real structural damage to my house (I designed it to withstand a nucular attack - well almost). The problem is stupidity (i.e. trying to get 100% reliability 100% of the time from a levee system AKA N.O. LA ) or be in an area that gets consistent steady head on winds in the 30-50 MPH range with a gradual bottom off shore and elevations below 20 feet or so.


394 posted on 09/12/2008 8:55:53 AM PDT by Sunnyflorida (Unless you are nice and thoughtful you will be ignored. Write in Thomas Sowell.)
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To: NautiNurse

I am not in imminent danger. I’m am high and dry. Most of my neighbors are still here, only about 10% have left the area. We’re in a good spot. Rita was nothing here, not a single thing. We’ve had worse afternoon thunderstorms that that. Alicia was a non-event also. Alison, a little flooding around us but we were high and dry. I would not stay if I thought I was in danger. I did evacuate for Rita but my mother rode it out and it hit her (east of us) instead of us. Her house was over 40 years old and she had some limbs down but no damage to the house. I am not worried about this one either. We have a big truck if flooding started too early, we could be out of here in a few minutes.


395 posted on 09/12/2008 8:56:18 AM PDT by texasredtop
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To: SomeCallMeTim
Sigh.... 108 years later.. and, we STILL haven't learned a thing.

Andthey have had .... WARNING!

396 posted on 09/12/2008 8:56:22 AM PDT by Red_Devil 232 (VietVet - USMC All Ready On The Right? All Ready On The Left? All Ready On The Firing Line!)
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To: texasredtop

Your tax dollars are NOT enough to place another person in danger’s way - TSK TSK!


397 posted on 09/12/2008 8:57:20 AM PDT by antivenom (Obama's parsed and lawyerly language is empty of any credible meaning...)
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To: texasredtop
And like I said, my husband can take care of anything that they can so it’s not likely I would ever need to call for help.

I understand. Your husband and you are independent and very well-prepared. But your own example of a life-threatening injury is what prompted me to ask for a clarification. I hope things turn out well for you. I'll be thinking of you.

398 posted on 09/12/2008 8:57:36 AM PDT by lainie
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To: TheMom

150 people trapped on Bolivar now.

Trying helicopter rescue.

Hope none of the rescuers are hurt.


399 posted on 09/12/2008 8:58:33 AM PDT by pax_et_bonum (That midget hates it when I do that.)
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To: bayouranger

What’s things look like in your area?

I just went out to procure a little more cash (no problem, incidentally), and took Kirkwood south to Westheimer, then Westheimer west to Dairy Ashford, whence north to Briar Forest, then back home.

Houses are being boarded up all along Briar Forest, but they’re the ones with the big plate-glass windows.


400 posted on 09/12/2008 8:59:40 AM PDT by Xenalyte (West Houston . . . Beltway and I-10, more or less)
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