New poll: Despite Palin, Obama leads in Ohio

cleveland.com ^ | 9/11/01 | Stephen Koff

[bigcat32]

WASHINGTON -- When a new Rasmussen poll this week showed John McCain with a healthy lead in Ohio, the head of the Ohio Democratic Party observed that polls come, and polls go. He wasn't kidding.

A new Quinnipiac University poll of Ohio this morning puts Barack Obama ahead in this swing state, not McCain.

Quinnipiac University assistant polling director Peter Brown explains why:

"Sen. McCain and Sen. Obama are getting the same level of party loyalty and the Republican is even winning slightly among independents. But Obama is ahead because there are so many more people who identify as Democrats -- a legacy of the 2006 election and scandals involving former Gov. Robert Taft's administration."

[bigcat32]

Rasmussen's latest poll has McCain by 7 in Ohio.

[dirtboy]

A new Quinnipiac University poll of Ohio this morning puts Barack Obama ahead in this swing state, not McCain.

I'll stick with Rasmussen, thank you. Quinnipiac is a notable outlier to the left side of polling, probably by design.

[beckysueb]

Something screwy about these polls.

[tomymind]

I read this poll hours ago, and I think it’s completely wrong. Ohio is for McCain.

[TheRedSoxWinThePennant]

Obama up by five? sounds more like a manufactured poll to give dems a pick me up

[AmericaUnited]

Quinnipiac was ranked near the very bottom for accuracy the last election.

[Fresh Wind]

Whistling past the graveyard.

[savedbygrace]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update

[babble-on]

they may need to update their party ID estimates

[FreedomProtector]

This is manufactured. The corrupt news media wants nothing more then to run the story about how Obama is coming back.

[garyhope]

Please essss cuse me if I don’t believe this.

I hope Obambi Oblabi Hussein loses SO BIG on election day that I will even go to church, leave a donation, light candles, sing hymns and get down on my knees to Thank God and the powers that be, and I’m not a religious man.

[bigcat32]

“Obama up by five? sounds more like a manufactured poll to give dems a pick me up”

I agree. They probably oversampled Dems but their website didn’t give data about their sample. This sounds bogus.

[tomymind]

Survey USA| 10/23-10/25	831 LV	3.5	47	50	-	Kerry +3
ARG | 10/23-10/25	600 LV	4.0	47	49	-	Kerry +2
LA Times | 10/22-10/26	585 LV	4.0	44	50	-	Kerry +6
Strategic Vision (R) | 10/22-24	801 LV	3.0	47	45	-	Bush +2
Rasmussen | 10/20-10/26	537 LV	4.0	50	46	-	Bush +4
Scripps | 10/17-10/21	358 LV	5.3	46	50	-	Kerry +4
Gallup | 10/17-10/20	706 LV	3.5	47	48	1	Kerry +1
FOX News | 10/17-10/18	800 LV	3.5	49	44	-	Bush +5
SurveyUSA | 10/16-10/18	698 LV	3.8	47	49	-	Kerry +2
Mason-Dixon | 10/15-10/18	625 LV	4.0	46	45	-	Bush +1
ABC News | 10/14-10/17	789 LV	3.5	47	50	-	Kerry +3
Rasmussen | 10/12-10/18	537 LV	4.0	47	47	-	TIE
Ohio Poll | 10/11-10/17	757 LV	3.6	46	48	-	Kerry +2
Rasmussen | 10/7-10/13	564 LV	4.0	49	47	-	Bush +2
dirtboy And we all know who won!

[Friendofgeorge]

Like the man said...McCain is up by 7 according to ras/fox

[normy]

very interesting stuff. It looks like everything is shifting our way right now. Even Wisconsin and Oregon are trending toward us.

If 0bama's internals show the same thing we should really start seeing some desperation out there.

[freeplancer]

Bingo. This poll is to stop the bleeding at DU and Kos.

[ajwharton]

Freeper poll-watching: the easiest way to lose 20 pounds in sweat by 11/4.

[sunmars]

No data about sample and say McCain is not wining enough whites in PA and Ohio, what bull, thats rubbish.

The fact these pollsters work from a university in CT just about explains it for me.

[JohnnyZ]

Q poll is embarrassing sometimes. McCain is leading in Ohio.

[advance_copy]

they may need to update their party ID estimates

Indeed. I'll bet that they don't account for "Operation Chaos", in which many Rush Limbaugh listeners switched their registration from GOP to RAT just so they could vote for Hillary Clinton. Impact of OC on Ohio was significant.