[advance_copy]

they may need to update their party ID estimates

Indeed. I'll bet that they don't account for "Operation Chaos", in which many Rush Limbaugh listeners switched their registration from GOP to RAT just so they could vote for Hillary Clinton. Impact of OC on Ohio was significant.

[Beeman]

Look at their internals. In Fl and PA they are showing men favoring McCain by 10 or so; in OH, they are showing men tied for McCain and BO. No way! This would be the only poll showing men equally in favor of BO as McCain. This would only be true in the liberal meccas like Mass.