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Hurricane Ophelia Live Thread, Part II (Update: Ophelia expected to remain Cat 1 storm)
NHC - NOAA ^ | 10 Spetember 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/10/2005 2:31:49 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Ophelia continues to churn off the off the coast of the Carolinas with a track that has confounded computer models and meteorologists for days. Hurricane watches are issued for much of the SC and NC coastline. Northern GA and southern VA coastal areas are currently within the three day cone of uncertainty. Check local NWS service for updates.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track Graphics, Satellite
Ophelia Track Forecast Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE U.S.
Myrtle Beach NWS Local Hurricane Statements
Wilmington NC NWS Local Hurricane Statements

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater WV Still Image
Morehead City Long Range Radar Loop
Wilmington NC Long Range Radar Loop
Charleston SC Long Range Radar Loop
Wakefield VA Radar
Morehead City Experimental Radar may experience delays or outages
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Ophelia Wind Field Graphic

Additional Resources:

Myrtle Beach Online
WECT-6 Wilmington News
WVEC-13 Hampton Roads/Norfolk
Hurricane City
Myrtle Beach Web Reports Surf & traffic cams

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Announcements; News/Current Events; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneophelia; ophelia; tropical; weather
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To: NautiNurse

Nothing since around 10pm.


141 posted on 09/10/2005 9:33:01 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Gabz

I thought you were not saying anymore.

As for people "busting" their "butts". What was done last year was appreciated. That still does not change the fact all I did was request what is helpful.

I dont know that I can do better, but I can post the silly graphic and will do it myself and wont ask for it to be done from here on out.


142 posted on 09/10/2005 9:35:12 PM PDT by Praxeus
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To: beyond the sea; CindyDawg
It will loop because of an over-riding high. As I understand it, if that upper level high gets real strong, however, it will eventually loop it so strongly that it will pull it out to sea. We'll "sea".

We had one that wandered around like that several years back off Southport. It finally did a loop and came back straight into us through Wilmington. Don't remember the name, though.

143 posted on 09/10/2005 9:43:46 PM PDT by tarheelswamprat (This tagline space for rent - cheap!)
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To: tarheelswamprat
Some 22ft waves at Buoy 41002
144 posted on 09/10/2005 9:51:20 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: Gabz

I do wish you the best regarding this storm. I just saw that you said this thing is coming your way.

Just a FYI:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1226820/posts

The second, Jeanne, finished the job. We lost everything we owned. Still going at it with State Farm. No settlement yet. They are saying our personal possesions cannot be claimed because we do not have receipts to prove we purchased them. I dont really care for the stuff I lost, it was just stuff. But my wife lost all her things, all the things that weer handed down from her mother and such. Her antiques, clothes.. everything.

They made us get all the destroyed stuff out of what was left of the house, and now a year later want to see proof of them. All we have is pictures.


145 posted on 09/10/2005 9:53:53 PM PDT by Praxeus
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To: Praxeus

Well that is reassuring:') State Farm has paid fast for us. We had 4 cars damaged during a hail storm and roof damage. Of course they raised our policy but....


146 posted on 09/10/2005 9:57:59 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: tarheelswamprat

They do seem to get back to the original path a lot, don't they?


147 posted on 09/10/2005 9:59:20 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg
I just discovered my insurance company increased my coverage last month by $70K! resulting in a (cough, sputter) substantial premium increase - without my knowledge. Still no resolution by Friday afternoon. Had already increased my coverage by $60K exactly one year ago. Nuts!
148 posted on 09/10/2005 10:04:54 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: CindyDawg

Well.. we just waited them out. Had to really. They were only going to give us $15,000 initially. I just kept asking for different adjustors. After 6 we finally got the payout on the policy. It is still not enough to repair the house. It has to be bulldozed according to the county. We were hoping to get about 50K for personal possesions and put that together with the payout to fix the house. But it looks like we will get stuck on that. With them saying we have to have receipts... who in the world has receipts for a lifetime of posessions?

We are middle class. Any middle class family has 50K worth of possesions. We were insured for 100k on the possesions.


149 posted on 09/10/2005 10:05:03 PM PDT by Praxeus
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To: NautiNurse
22 foot waves? Oh, joy! /grin

Here's a neat link I just found. It tracks via animation the paths of previous Atlantic storms. Diana in 1984 was the one that looped and came back in.

Atlantic Hurricane Archive

150 posted on 09/10/2005 10:06:19 PM PDT by tarheelswamprat (This tagline space for rent - cheap!)
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt
(I am in central NC - near Raleigh - right up I40 from Wilmington - with lots of tall thick pines surrounding my home).

Same here, only without the tall, thick pines.

Man, all I can think to say is, "Oh Geez, not this sh*t again!" (Where's that pic, BTW?)

I grew up on the coast--never experienced a hurricane. I move over 100 miles inland, and bam-bam-bam, Fran, Floyd & Isabel...I think I've made my hurricane quota. Fran was the worst of the 3 around here, but we lived in an apartment at the time, Floyd wasn't all that bad wind-wise, but just the 60-70mph gusts we got here with Isabel was enough to put me off hurricanes forever. Sitting helplessly in your own home listening to the wind and your house make noises you never knew it could make and calculating the relative height of the trees in your backyard vs. their distance from your house gives me the heebie-jeebies.

151 posted on 09/10/2005 10:07:34 PM PDT by wimpycat (Hyperbole is the opiate of the activist wacko.)
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To: Praxeus

I can not possibly understand what you are dealing with and will not make any comments to attempt to do so.

I can offer you my good wishes you are able to accomplish what needs to be accomplished.


152 posted on 09/10/2005 10:08:38 PM PDT by Gabz ((Chincoteague, VA) USSG Warning: portable sewing machines cause broken ankles)
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To: CindyDawg
They do seem to get back to the original path a lot, don't they?

Sure do. We had about five or six come through here from 1996 through 1999.

153 posted on 09/10/2005 10:09:02 PM PDT by tarheelswamprat (This tagline space for rent - cheap!)
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To: tarheelswamprat

Diana's track looks remarkably similar to this one.


154 posted on 09/10/2005 10:09:30 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: NautiNurse
Nuts!

Yuo are a fabulous person if that is the extent of your commentary on that. *^&*%^$**&))&$%#$@) Was what I immediately thought, when I read it, but knew I couldn't post what I really wanted to say.

155 posted on 09/10/2005 10:12:33 PM PDT by Gabz ((Chincoteague, VA) USSG Warning: portable sewing machines cause broken ankles)
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Comment #156 Removed by Moderator

To: NautiNurse
Diana's track looks remarkably similar to this one.

Eerily so. Let's hope history does not repeat this time. I'm off to bed, best wishes to all. If I don't get some sleep now I'll probably fall asleep in church!

157 posted on 09/10/2005 10:14:34 PM PDT by tarheelswamprat (This tagline space for rent - cheap!)
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To: Gabz

Thanks!


158 posted on 09/10/2005 10:15:42 PM PDT by wimpycat (Hyperbole is the opiate of the activist wacko.)
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To: wimpycat
Fran was the worst of the 3 around here

I'll second that. It's the last time I will ever be unprepared for a hurricane. Three days after Fran, I flew to New Orleans for a conference. Took a shower at RTP airport before boarding the flight.

Moved to FL before Floyd.

159 posted on 09/10/2005 10:17:41 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: tarheelswamprat

Nighters!


160 posted on 09/10/2005 10:18:47 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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