Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[NautiNurse]

Heard earlier they were discussing contraflow beginning by 4:00PM today.

[Palladin]

I agree with Dr. Masters. Folks in NO--GO NOW...and take your relatives and friends with you!

[silentknight]

New Orleans Forum

http://www.wwltv.com/forums/viewforum.php?f=1&sid=c30318331208a35dde5fb198e0d07b88

[Dog Gone]

They're planning on turning the freeways out of town into contraflows in a couple of hours from now.

That means that even city buses carrying the homeless or whomever will only get one trip.

There aren't enough buses to make much of a dent in the population that can't get out by themselves.

[Diddle E. Squat]

Joe Bastardi says that about every Gulf hurricane. If this one hits NO he will have gotten lucky, not accurate.

[Tarheel]

I confess d/n spend a lot of time on that website but was unable to find a copy of that evac. plan/map. If it was there it was not immediately obvious. Would it not be a practical thing to make this map available for printout on line as well as in these stores? The store idea is excellent but who wants to go to a store when you are trying to get out of town?

After listening to Gov. Blanco, twice today, I can understand why the state might have some difficulty in preparation for a disaster such as Katrina could be. Comments such as "this will be a positive experience for all of us" from the first presser of the day caused me to wonder if she is unaware of what may happen. "Let's all be polite" was another comment--IMO in her previous life she must have been Miss Manners!

[SE Mom]

Well according to Madame Governor...it's "somewhat likely that we may possibly consider contraflow"...

[chemicalman]

The cell phone systems in NO area must be getting tied up. Tried calling several folks on their cells and getting no rings.

[jslade]

Just checked the traffic cams at I-10 & I-610. People are getting out of Dodge.

http://www.dotd.state.la.us/press/traffic_cameras/cameras_no.asp?camera=Cam4

[Diddle E. Squat]

Good.

[silentknight]

Bastardi is a joke. He will always claim that he was right after the storm is over. It never really matters how many times he changed his forecast. He has a way of twisting things to make you believe his forecast was the best forecast.

Accu weather is also after the NWS. They are major backers of this bill to stop us from receiving free weather information on the internet.

AccuWx should be boycotted.

[dawn53]

As I mentioned before, we're in Tampa Bay and in our county alone they ordered evac of 400,000 before Charley.

Our evac zone (which is the last) was not ordered out, so we were going to stay, but the first thing we did was put my parents on a plane to Atlanta to visit my sister.

They weren't in an evac area either, but we didn't want them to have to be here to deal with the aftermath of a hurricane (i.e. no power, etc.)

We didn't get hit, but like Dr. Masters said, if you evacuate and the storm misses you, you're no worse for wear My folks had a nice little vacation, and were happy to just get out of town for awhile.

[Palladin]

That forum is sad...esp. about all the sick and elderly and those with lots of pets who are refusing to leave their homes.

[gov_bean_ counter]

After listening to Gov. Blanco, twice today, I can understand why the state might have some difficulty in preparation for a disaster such as Katrina could be.

Could this be an object lesson as to how Liberials handle a real crisis? Remember the Dems who said they sat in their offices, for what 45 minutes, after the planes hit the Pentagon unable to move. God help New Orleans and God help the USA.

[NautiNurse]

The comments are amazing on that discussion site. I would hope there aren't many posts over the next several hours, and that folks are packing and evacuating.

[Palladin]

You were wise to take care of your parents like that. Sometimes the elderly are too confused to make such decisions, and they need a push and a helping hand.

[AnAmericanMother]

Too much "what is the situation" and "what should we do" going on on that discussion site.

They should have already assessed the situation and have a plan in place.

I mean, shoot, we have a tornado plan, because we have had two pass directly over our house . . . neither touched down thank goodness. But we have a shelter set up, and the kids know what to do and where to go whether they're at home or at school (there are basement shelters at both schools -- one used to be a fallout shelter LOL!)

[oldleft]

I tried to call my friend who went down to NO from Lafayette last night (stupid) and couldn't get through. He's a diver and told me they were going back out Sunday or Monday. It made mike come out of my nose.

[4everontheRight]

I just got off the phone with my sister who lives right on the border of LA/MS.....I told her to come on up to SC NOW! She is waiting until she hears more....what am I to do with this idiot????

[CajunConservative]

After listening to Gov. Blanco, twice today, I can understand why the state might have some difficulty in preparation for a disaster such as Katrina could be. Comments such as "this will be a positive experience for all of us" from the first presser of the day caused me to wonder if she is unaware of what may happen. "Let's all be polite" was another comment--IMO in her previous life she must have been Miss Manners!

She was a school teacher in her former life.