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Hurricane Emily (Live Thread, Part II)
NHC-NOAA ^ | 16 July 2005 | NHC

Posted on 07/16/2005 1:33:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricanes Emily and Dennis are the strongest July storms in recorded history for the Atlantic hurricane basin...

Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:

NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, 5P, etc. ET.

NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET

Storm Floater IR Loop Little boxes at top of image: lat/lon, and Trop Fcst Pts--click 'em.

Caribbean IR Loop

Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)

Storm Floater Sat Both loop and latest image

Western Caribbean Bouy Data

Jamaica Weather Has a few still radar images

Grand Cayman Weather

Cozumel Weather

Cancun Weather

Cancun Radar Very Slow Load

Another Cancun Radar another Very Slow Load

Hurricane Track Forecast

Hurricane Model Projections

Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the NHC 3 day and 5 day historic track positions



Some more resources:

Hurricane City

Global Satellite Imagery Amazing view of the world (Broadband)

Water Vapor SatelliteAnother colorful loop for broadband

Central Florida Hurricane Center offers a variety of info

Another colorful IR Satellite loop


The Saffir-Simpson Scale. Source: Hurricane Categories
Category Wind Speed Barometric
Pressure
Storm Surge Damage Potential
1
(weak)
75 - 95 mph
65 - 82 kts
33 - 42 m/s
> 28.94 in. Hg
> 980.0 mb
> 97.7 kPa
4.0 - 5.0 ft.
1.2 - 1.5 m
minimal damage to vegetation
2
(moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
43 - 49 m/s
28.50 - 28.93 in. Hg
965.1 - 979.7 mb
96.2 - 97.7 kPa
6.0 - 8.0 ft.
1.8 - 2.4 m
moderate damage to houses
3
(strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 113 kts
50 - 58 m/s
27.91 - 28.49 in. Hg
945.1 - 964.8 mb
96.2 - 97.7 kPa
9.0 - 12.0 ft.
2.7 - 3.7 m
extensive damage to small buildings
4
(very strong)
131 - 155 mph
114 - 135 kts
59 - 69 m/s
27.17 - 27.90 in. Hg
920.1 - 944.8 mb
91.7 - 94.2 kPa
13.0 - 18.0 ft.
3.9 - 5.5 m
extreme structural damage
5
(devastating)
> 155 mph
> 135 kts
> 70 m/s
< 27.17 in Hg
< 920.1 mb
< 91.7 kPa
> 18.0 ft
> 5.5 m
catastrophic building failures possible


Hurricane Emily Live Thread, Part I


TOPICS: Mexico; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: emily; hurricane; hurricaneemily; tropical; weather
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To: NautiNurse

She is... but, there are cooling cloud tops to the north now, something to watch this afternoon. The eye is still very close to the northernmost convection though, so she is definately lacking symmetry.


321 posted on 07/17/2005 11:57:14 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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Another recent Cancun radar image.

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/uploads/post-332-1121626694.jpg


322 posted on 07/17/2005 11:59:51 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: nwctwx

It looks like a lot of the energy north of the eye could stay over open water. I guess it will still get wrapped around to the Yucatan before the eye enters the gulf.

Do you think she enters the GOM as a 2 or 3?


323 posted on 07/17/2005 12:10:42 PM PDT by No Blue States
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To: NautiNurse
Maybe she is getting a new "eyeball" so she can see us better. :)

Does it look like a wobble to the north?

324 posted on 07/17/2005 12:10:44 PM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: SouthTexas
Maybe she is getting a new "eyeball" so she can see us better. :)

That thought crossed my mind too...

325 posted on 07/17/2005 12:13:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: MikeinIraq

You were right, the eye doesnt appear nearly as strong as yesterday at this time. Even with the daytime heating.

:)


326 posted on 07/17/2005 12:13:26 PM PDT by No Blue States
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To: No Blue States

you could have very easily been correct...

I was hoping for some weakening though....


327 posted on 07/17/2005 12:13:58 PM PDT by MikefromOhio
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To: NautiNurse

I think it's a replacement cycle. It should be apparent pretty soon.


328 posted on 07/17/2005 12:15:19 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks.


329 posted on 07/17/2005 12:21:02 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: RGVTx

Yeah. We aren't putting up shutters but have them ready. I stopped in Wharton last night and picked up some water, drinks and stuff. People were wanting to know if the storm had changed when they saw my basket so I guess all the coast watching. Water and bread was about half stock.


330 posted on 07/17/2005 12:28:42 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: SouthTexas

Another "eyeball"? Again? Girl needs glasses:')


331 posted on 07/17/2005 12:35:34 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: Dog Gone
Buoy 42056 is in the thick of things with wave heights 18.7 ft.
332 posted on 07/17/2005 12:37:18 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: CindyDawg

Do hurricanes make passes by girls who wear glasses? ;P


333 posted on 07/17/2005 12:37:39 PM PDT by Tall_Texan (Visit Club Gitmo - The World's Only Air-Conditioned Gulag.)
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To: Tall_Texan

I just know there is a good come back here but I can't think of it right now. Working on it:')


334 posted on 07/17/2005 12:40:35 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

The forecasters are looking for a Hurricane with one eye.

Why dont they use 2?

(gong)


335 posted on 07/17/2005 12:47:02 PM PDT by No Blue States
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To: nwctwx
Check this out--5 day buoy data for 42056...


336 posted on 07/17/2005 12:49:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: No Blue States

Well the "eyes" of Texas are upon them.


337 posted on 07/17/2005 12:50:22 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: No Blue States

Yeah.. you would've never made it on the gong show. LOL


338 posted on 07/17/2005 12:51:15 PM PDT by dc-zoo
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To: No Blue States

I thought it was "cute"


339 posted on 07/17/2005 12:52:24 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: nwctwx

based on the latest, it seems to be tracking slightly to the noth of the 2nd forecast point on the sat loop, but certainly not north enough to bring this to Texas.

With the strengthening ridge, this likely won't hit Texas unless a trough sticks around longer than expected or one drops down we don't foresee. I see landfall a bit further north...20-30 miles...than the NHC track, but still in Mexico. Of course, until it hits the western Gulf, we won't really know just how much the ridge will impact her movement.


340 posted on 07/17/2005 12:55:17 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
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