Posted on 07/16/2005 1:33:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricanes Emily and Dennis are the strongest July storms in recorded history for the Atlantic hurricane basin...
Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:
NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, 5P, etc. ET.
NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET
Storm Floater IR Loop Little boxes at top of image: lat/lon, and Trop Fcst Pts--click 'em.
Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)
Storm Floater Sat Both loop and latest image
Jamaica Weather Has a few still radar images
Cancun Radar Very Slow Load
Another Cancun Radar another Very Slow Load
Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the NHC 3 day and 5 day historic track positions
Global Satellite Imagery Amazing view of the world (Broadband)
Water Vapor SatelliteAnother colorful loop for broadband
Central Florida Hurricane Center offers a variety of info
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure |
Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (weak) |
75 - 95 mph 65 - 82 kts 33 - 42 m/s |
> 28.94 in. Hg > 980.0 mb > 97.7 kPa |
4.0 - 5.0 ft. 1.2 - 1.5 m |
minimal damage to vegetation |
| 2 (moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts 43 - 49 m/s |
28.50 - 28.93 in. Hg 965.1 - 979.7 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa |
6.0 - 8.0 ft. 1.8 - 2.4 m |
moderate damage to houses |
| 3 (strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 113 kts 50 - 58 m/s |
27.91 - 28.49 in. Hg 945.1 - 964.8 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa |
9.0 - 12.0 ft. 2.7 - 3.7 m |
extensive damage to small buildings |
| 4 (very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 114 - 135 kts 59 - 69 m/s |
27.17 - 27.90 in. Hg 920.1 - 944.8 mb 91.7 - 94.2 kPa |
13.0 - 18.0 ft. 3.9 - 5.5 m |
extreme structural damage |
| 5 (devastating) |
> 155 mph > 135 kts > 70 m/s |
< 27.17 in Hg < 920.1 mb < 91.7 kPa |
> 18.0 ft > 5.5 m |
catastrophic building failures possible |
She is... but, there are cooling cloud tops to the north now, something to watch this afternoon. The eye is still very close to the northernmost convection though, so she is definately lacking symmetry.
Another recent Cancun radar image.
http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/uploads/post-332-1121626694.jpg
It looks like a lot of the energy north of the eye could stay over open water. I guess it will still get wrapped around to the Yucatan before the eye enters the gulf.
Do you think she enters the GOM as a 2 or 3?
Does it look like a wobble to the north?
That thought crossed my mind too...
You were right, the eye doesnt appear nearly as strong as yesterday at this time. Even with the daytime heating.
:)
you could have very easily been correct...
I was hoping for some weakening though....
I think it's a replacement cycle. It should be apparent pretty soon.
Thanks.
Yeah. We aren't putting up shutters but have them ready. I stopped in Wharton last night and picked up some water, drinks and stuff. People were wanting to know if the storm had changed when they saw my basket so I guess all the coast watching. Water and bread was about half stock.
Another "eyeball"? Again? Girl needs glasses:')
Do hurricanes make passes by girls who wear glasses? ;P
I just know there is a good come back here but I can't think of it right now. Working on it:')
The forecasters are looking for a Hurricane with one eye.
Why dont they use 2?
(gong)
Well the "eyes" of Texas are upon them.
Yeah.. you would've never made it on the gong show. LOL
I thought it was "cute"
based on the latest, it seems to be tracking slightly to the noth of the 2nd forecast point on the sat loop, but certainly not north enough to bring this to Texas.
With the strengthening ridge, this likely won't hit Texas unless a trough sticks around longer than expected or one drops down we don't foresee. I see landfall a bit further north...20-30 miles...than the NHC track, but still in Mexico. Of course, until it hits the western Gulf, we won't really know just how much the ridge will impact her movement.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.