It looks like a lot of the energy north of the eye could stay over open water. I guess it will still get wrapped around to the Yucatan before the eye enters the gulf.
Do you think she enters the GOM as a 2 or 3?
The small circulation will be disrupted easier than a larger storm... if she stays over land for 12 hours, she could come out as a very weak hurricane, or TS. 8 hours would probably pull her down to about 90-100 mph. It will be interesting to see where she ends up making landfall, the further NE on the Yucatan... the less time she'll be over land. The energy over the water doesn't mean much when the center is on land.