[nwctwx]

Do you think she enters the GOM as a 2 or 3?

The small circulation will be disrupted easier than a larger storm... if she stays over land for 12 hours, she could come out as a very weak hurricane, or TS. 8 hours would probably pull her down to about 90-100 mph. It will be interesting to see where she ends up making landfall, the further NE on the Yucatan... the less time she'll be over land. The energy over the water doesn't mean much when the center is on land.

[No Blue States]

Thanks nwctwx. I love to listen to you talk about weather.

bbl

[shield]

Will emmy hit northern mexico or southern texas?

[jslade]

With all respect nw, there are much warmer temps in the western GOM than off Cancun. Logic would indicate a strenthening off the s. Texas coast. We'll see.