Kerry Losing Ground Among White Catholics

Beliefnet.com ^ | Steven Waldman

[Recovering_Democrat]

Could the first Catholic presidential nominee since 1960 lose the election because of the Catholic vote?

Even as Kerry is drawing closer to Bush in general, he is falling farther behind among one surprising and crucial group: white Catholics.

According to a Pew study released Monday, President Bush now leads among white Catholics 49% to 33%. That represents further growth from Pew's September 28 poll which had it at 49% to 39%.

The candidates had been roughly even until August, when Bush began to pull ahead, according to Luis Lugo, director of the Pew Religion Forum. Significantly, Bush won the white Catholic vote by 7 percentage points (he lost the overall Catholic vote, which includes Hispanics, by 2%).

In other words, if the election were held today and reflected these polls, Bush's victory margin among white Catholics would be twice as large against Kerry--the first Catholic major party presidential nominee since 1960--than against the Baptist Al Gore.

This is extremely bad news for Kerry because white Catholics are disproportionately represented in several battleground states with large Catholic populations: Pennsylvania (30%), New Jersey (45.9%), Ohio (28%), Michigan (28%), Wisconsin (34.4), Minnesota (28.7%) and New Hampshire (38.2%).

Kerry has said he plans to give a major speech on his Catholic faith and how it shapes his values "somewhere in the course of the next month."

For Kerry to be doing this badly among Catholics, it most likely he means he's losing not only conservative Catholics but the far larger group of "convertible Catholics," which represent 8.1% of the electorate.

The new polls did not indicate what prompted the shift but in general conservative Catholics have been strong supporters of President Bush's policies on terrorism and abortion. It's less clear why Bush seems to be doing so well among centrist Catholics, who tend to be more liberal on social issues and even tend to be pro-choice on abortion.

Kerry has been far more reluctant to discuss his faith than Bush has, a tendency that aides attribute to a Northeast Catholic cultural aversion to public explications of religion. He and other speakers did speak openly about his faith during the Democratic convention but has shifted back more recently to his pre-convention tendency to avoid the topic.

[No Surrender No Retreat]

Damn!! I see visions of the Blues Brother's. I wonder where is the IRS? Those ghetto air-conditoners(hand fans) with kerry/edwards are in plain view. The churh needs it's tax exemption status terminated. Politics on parade with sadsack and jesse. By the look on kerry's mug, he must be feeling their pain. Bush/Cheney 2004

[kcvl]

americansunited@au.org

[libs_kma]

DID anyone see the vid shots of Kerry in that black church looking like a bobble head? He looked like the worlds biggest dork. And what was with the granite face shot of JJ? guess he doesn't like being that close to Rev Al

[Dominick]

He can't even get an invitation to speak at Knights of Columbus, they invited the Methodist, Bush. Bush has a theology closer to authentic Catholicism that Kerry a CINO does.

This poll trend is a surprise?

[Fresh Wind]

Where's the ACLU?

[crushelits]

CONTACT YOUR DIOCESE AND MAIL THE OPEN LETTER

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The John Kerry for President Web site proclaims that Senator Kerry “will only nominate individuals to the federal bench whose records demonstrate ... the right to choose”. Removing political correctness from that statement, Senator Kerry, you have announced that you will only support people to the Federal Judiciary who support killing unborn children. Yet, the United States Catholic Conference of Bishops mandates that:

“the killing of an unborn child is always
intrinsically evil and can never be justified”
. . . and that those “who formulate laws . . .
have an obligation in conscience to work toward
correcting morally defective laws, lest they be
guilty of cooperating in evil and in sinning
against the common good”.

Senator Kerry, two of the most capable lawyers that we know — who are also Catholics faithful to the Bishops’ pro-life mandate — are Harvard Law Professor Mary Ann Glendon and noted attorney Philip Moran. Your litmus test would bar these and many other highly qualified people from the judiciary. Why do you, Senator Kerry, have a “litmus test” for judicial candidates that discriminates against Faithful Catholics?

This letter is not on behalf of or in opposition to your candidacy, but I am asking you to announce today that you will not impose any abortion litmus test on candidates for the Federal Judiciary ... especially those who are Faithful Catholics.


Signed,

Raymond Flynn

Former Ambassador to Vatican; Clinton Administration, 1993 - 1997
Former Mayor of Boston, 1984 - 1993

For more information, visit our website at: www.LibertyLifeandFamily.com or ProjectFC.org

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Pensacola, FL 32522

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Most Reverend Daniel R. Jenky, C.S.C.
607 N.E. Madison Avenue
P.O. Box 1406
Peoria, IL 61655

Archdiocese of Philadelphia
His Eminence Justin F. Rigali
222 North 17th Street
Suite 1207
Philadelphia, PA 19103-1299

Most Reverend Michael F. Burbidge
222 North Seventeenth Street
Philadelphia, PA 19103

Most Reverend Joseph R. Cistone
222 N. 17th Street
Philadelphia, PA 19103-1299

Most Reverend Robert P. Maginnis
222 North Seventeenth Street, Rm. 830
Philadelphia, PA 19103-1299

Most Reverend Joseph P. McFadden
Saint Joseph Parish
338 Manor Avenue
Downingtown, PA 19335

Archeparchy of Philadelphia for Ukrainians
Most Reverend Stephen Soroka
827 North Franklin Street
Philadelphia, PA 19123-2097

Diocese of Phoenix
Most Reverend Thomas J. Olmsted
400 E. Monroe Street
Phoenix, AZ 85004-2336

Diocese of Pittsburgh
Most Reverend Donald W. Wuerl
111 Boulevard of the Allies
Pittsburgh, PA 15222

Most Reverend William J. Winter
310 Shady Avenue
Pittsburgh, PA 15206

Archeparchy of Pittsburgh for Byzantines
Most Reverend Basil Schott, OFM
66 Riverview Avenue
Pittsburgh, PA 15214

Diocese of Portland in Maine
Most Reverend Richard J. Malone
510 Ocean Ave
P.O. Box 11559
Portland, ME 04104-7559

Archdiocese of Portland in Oregon
Most Reverend John G. Vlazny
2838 E. Burnside Street
Portland, OR 97214-1895

Most Reverend Kenneth Steiner
P.O. Box 507
North Plains, OR 97133-0507

Diocese of Providence
Most Reverend Robert E. Mulvee
One Cathedral Square
Providence, RI 02903-3695

Diocese of Pueblo
Most Reverend Arthur N. Tafoya
1001 Grand Avenue
Pueblo, CO 81003-2948

Diocese of Raleigh
Most Reverend F. Joseph Gossman
715 Nazareth Street
Raleigh, NC 27606

Diocese of Rapid City
Most Reverend Blase J. Cupich
606 Cathedral Drive
P.O. Box 678
Rapid City, SD 57701

Diocese of Reno
Most Reverend Phillip F. Straling
290 South Arlington Ave.
Suite 200
Reno, NV 89501

Diocese of Richmond
Most Reverend Francis X. DiLorenzo
811 Cathedral Place
Richmond, VA 23220-4801

Diocese of Rochester
Most Reverend Matthew H. Clark
The Pastoral Center
1150 Buffalo Road
Rochester, NY 14624

Diocese of Rockford
Most Reverend Thomas G. Doran
555 Colman Drive
P.O. Box 7044
Rockford, IL 61125

Diocese of Rockville Centre
Most Reverend William F. Murphy
P.O. Box 9023
Rockville Centre, NY 11570

Most Reverend John C. Dunne, DD
P.O. Box 39
Farmingdale, NY 11735-0039

Most Reverend Paul H. Walsh
Western Vicariate
P.O. Box 933
Roosevelt, NY 11575-0933

Most Reverend Emil A. Wcela
P.O. Box 780
Riverhead, NY 11901-0601

Diocese of Sacramento
Most Reverend William K. Weigand
2110 Broadway
Sacramento, CA 95818-2541

Most Reverend Richard J. Garcia
Diocesan Pastoral Center
2110 Broadway
Sacramento, CA 95818

Diocese of Saginaw
Reverend Thomas E. Sutton
Diocesan Adminstrator
5800 Weiss Street
Saginaw, MI 48603-2799

Eparchy of Saint Peter the Apostle of San Diego for Chaldeans
Most Reverend Sarhad Jammo
St. Joseph Chaldean Catholic Church
1627 Jamacha Way
El Cajon, CA 92019

Diocese of Salina
Most Reverend George K. Fitzsimons
P.O. Box 980
Salina, KS 67402

Diocese of Salt Lake City
Most Reverend George H. Niederauer
27 C Street
Salt Lake City, UT 84103

Diocese of San Angelo
Most Reverend Michael D. Pfeifer, OMI
P.O. Box 1829
San Angelo, TX 76902

Archdiocese of San Antonio
Most Reverend Patrick F. Flores
P.O. Box 28410
San Antonio, TX 78228

Most Reverend Thomas J. Flanagan
P. O. Box 28410
San Antonio, TX 78228-0410

Most Reverend Patrick J. Zurek
P. O. Box 28410
San Antonio, TX 78228-0410

Diocese of San Bernardino
Most Reverend Gerald R. Barnes
1201 E. Highland Avenue
San Bernardino, CA 92404

Diocese of San Diego
Most Reverend Robert H. Brom
P.O. Box 85728
San Diego, CA 92186-5728

Most Reverend Gilbert E. Chávez
1535 Third Avenue
San Diego, CA 92101

Most Reverend Salvatore Cordileone
P.O. Box 85728
San Diego, CA 92186-5728

Archdiocese of San Francisco
Most Reverend William J. Levada
One Peter Yorke Way
San Francisco, CA 94109

Most Reverend Ignatius Wang
One Peter Yorke Way
San Francisco, CA 94109

Most Reverend John C. Wester
One Peter Yorke Way
San Francisco, CA 94109

Diocese of San Jose
Most Reverend Patrick J. McGrath
900 Lafayette Street
Suite 301
Santa Clara, CA 95050-4966

Archdiocese of Santa Fe
Most Reverend Michael J. Sheehan
4000 St. Joseph's Place, NW
Albuquerque, NM 87120

Diocese of Santa Rosa
Most Reverend Daniel F. Walsh
320 10th Street
P.O Box 1297
Santa Rosa, CA 95402-1297

Diocese of Savannah
Most Reverend J. Kevin Boland
601 E. Liberty Street
Savannah, GA 31401-5196

Diocese of Scranton
Most Reverend Joseph F. Martino
300 Wyoming Avenue
Scranton, PA 18503

Most Reverend John M. Dougherty
300 Wyoming Avenue
Scranton, PA 18503

Archdiocese of Seattle
Most Reverend Alexander J. Brunett
910 Marion Street
Seattle, WA 98104

Diocese of Shreveport
Most Reverend William B. Friend
3500 Fairfield Avenue
Shreveport, LA 71104-4108

Diocese of Sioux City
Msgr. Roger J. Augustine
Diocesan Adminstrator
1821 Jackson Street
P.O. Box 3379
Sioux City, IA 51102-3379

Diocese of Sioux Falls
Most Reverend Robert J. Carlson
523 N. Duluth Avenue
Sioux Falls, SD 57104-2714

Diocese of Spokane
Most Reverend William S. Skylstad
P.O. Box 1453
Spokane, WA 99210

Diocese of Springfield in Illinois
Most Reverend George J. Lucas
P.O. Box 3187
Springfield, IL 62708-3187

Diocese of Springfield in Massachusetts
Most Reverend Timothy A. McDonnell
68 Elliot Street P.O. Box 1730
Springfield, MA 01102-1730

Diocese of Springfield-Cape Girardeau
Most Reverend John J. Leibrecht
601 South Jefferson
Springfield, MO 65806

Diocese of St. Augustine
Most Reverend Victor B. Galeone
P.O. Box 24000
Jacksonville, FL 32241-4000

Diocese of St. Cloud
Most Reverend John F. Kinney
214 Third Avenue, South
P.O. Box 1248
St. Cloud, MN 56302

Eparchy of St. George's in Canton for Romanians
Most Reverend John Michael Botean
Eparchy of St. George's
P.O. Box 7189
Canton, OH 44705-0189

Archdiocese of St. Louis
Most Reverend Raymond L. Burke
4445 Lindell Blvd.
St. Louis, MO. 63108-2497

Most Reverend Robert J. Hermann
4445 Lindell Blvd.
St. Louis, MO. 63108-2497

Eparchy of St. Josaphat of Parma for Ukrainians
Most Reverend Robert M. Moskal
P.O. Box 347180
Parma, OH 44134-7180

Eparchy of St. Maron of Brooklyn for Maronites
Most Reverend Gregory J. Mansour
109 Ramsen Street
Brooklyn, NY 11201

Eparchy of St. Nicholas of Chicago for Ukrainians
Most Reverend Michael Wiwchar, CSSR
2245 W. Rice Street
Chicago, IL 60622

Archdiocese of St. Paul-Minneapolis
Most Reverend Harry J. Flynn
226 Summit Avenue
St. Paul, MN 55102

Most Reverend Frederick F. Campbell
226 Summit Avenue
St. Paul, MN 55102

Most Reverend Richard E. Pates
226 Summit Avenue
St. Paul, MN 55102

Diocese of St. Petersburg
Most Reverend Robert N. Lynch
P.O. Box 40200
St. Petersburg, FL 33743

Diocese of St. Thomas, VI
Most Reverend George V. Murry, S.J.
P.O. Box 301825
Charlotte Amalie, VI 00803

Eparchy of St. Thomas the Apostle of Chicago for Syro-Malabars
Most Reverend Jacob Angadiath
3009 S. 49th Avenue
Cicero, IL 60804

Eparchy of St. Thomas the Apostle
Most Reverend Ibrahim N. Ibrahim
Eparchy of St. Thomas the Apostle of Detroit for Chaldeans
25603 Berg Road
Southfield, MI 48034

Eparchy of Stamford for Ukrainians
Most Reverend Basil H. Losten
14 Peveril Road
Stamford, CT 06902-3019

Diocese of Steubenville
Most Reverend R. Daniel Conlon
422 Washington Street
P.O. Box 969
Steubenville, OH 43952

Diocese of Stockton
Most Reverend Stephen E. Blaire
1105 N. Lincoln Street
Stockton, CA 95203

Diocese of Superior
Most Reverend Raphael M. Fliss
P.O. Box 969
Superior, WI 54880

Diocese of Syracuse
Most Reverend James M. Moynihan
P.O. Box 511
Syracuse, NY 13201-0511

Diocese of Toledo
Most Reverend Leonard P. Blair
P.O. Box 985
Toledo, OH 43697-0985

Most Reverend Robert W. Donnelly
P.O. Box 985
Toledo, OH 43696-0985

Diocese of Trenton
Most Reverend John M. Smith
701 Lawrenceville Road
P.O. Box 5147
Trenton, NJ 08638

Diocese of Tucson
Most Reverend Gerald F. Kicanas
192 S. Stone Avenue
Tucson, AZ 85702

Diocese of Tulsa
Most Reverend Edward J. Slattery
P.O. Box 690240
Tulsa, OK 74169

Diocese of Tyler
Most Reverend Alvaro Corrada del Rio, SJ
1015 E.S.E. Loop 323
Tyler, TX 75701-9663

Eparchy of Stamford for Ukrainians
Most Reverend Basil H. Losten
14 Peveril Road
Stamford, CT 06902-3019

Eparchy of Van Nuys for Byzantines
Most Reverend William P. Skurla
8105 N. 16th Street
Phoenix, AZ 85020-3999

Diocese of Venice
Most Reverend John J. Nevins
1000 Pinebrook Road
P.O. Box 2006
Venice, FL 34284

Diocese of Victoria
Most Reverend David E. Fellhauer
P.O. Box 4070
Victoria, TX 77903

Archdiocese of Washington
His Eminence Theodore E. McCarrick
P.O. Box 29260
Washington, D.C. 20017

Most Reverend Kevin J. Farrell
P.O. Box 29260
Washington, D.C. 20017

Most Reverend Francisco Gonzalez. S.F.
Our Lady of the Americas
2200 California Street. N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20018-3902

Most Reverend Martin D. Holley
5001 Eastern Avenue
P.O. Box 29260
Washington, DC 20017

Diocese of Wheeling-Charleston
Most Reverend Bernard W. Schmitt
1300 Byron Street
P.O. Box 230
Wheeling, WV 26003

Diocese of Wichita
Msgr. Robert E. Hemberger, JCL
Diocesan Administrator
424 North Broadway
Wichita, KS 67202

Diocese of Wilmington
Most Reverend Michael A. Saltarelli
P.O. Box 2030
Wilmington, DE 19899-2030

Diocese of Winona
Most Reverend Bernard J. Harrington
55 W. Sanborn Street
P.O. Box 588
Winona, MN 55987

Diocese of Worcester
Most Reverend Robert J. McManus, STD
49 Elm Street
Worcester, MA 01609

Most Reverend George E. Rueger
49 Elm Street
Worcester, MA 01609

Diocese of Yakima
Most Reverend Carlos A. Sevilla, SJ
5301-A Tieton Dr.
Yakima, WA 98908

Diocese of Youngstown
Most Reverend Thomas J. Tobin
144 W. Wood Street
Youngstown, OH 44503

October 11, 2004

[Salamander]

I wonder how he's doing with the Irish vote?....:)

[EDINVA]

yesterday he went to a Haitian Catholic Church in FL in addition to going to the AME Baptist church with Jackson and Sharpton ... but not otherwise that I've read in Catholic churches .. remember, several bishops around the country have refused to give him Communion .. his going to RC churches generally is not a good thing.

[onyx]

Kerry Catholicism is right down there with Kennedy's,
Dashole's, Leahy's, Biden's, ad nauseum.

[codercpc]

Something about all of these internals just isn't adding up for me.

If the polls are to be believed, we have an almost tied race. Yet time after time, we are seeing groups that went for Gore last time, either very weak for Kerry, or leaning towards Bush.

We have seen, Catholics, Women, Blacks (still very strong for Kerry, but not as enthusiastic as for Gore), Hispanics, Jews, Youth, etc.

The only polls I have seen that Kerry has improved on is the Muslims. It would be very interesting to get some of these figures in a chart and compare them to 2000. If Bush is truly improving in these demographics, without losing any of his base, this election should be a blowout.

Dales, I am pinging you because you have all of the figures at your fingertips, have you looked into this at all?

[gswilder]

When you look at all the demographics from the polls, it doesn't look good for Kerry. He is getting less of the normal dem breakdowns in almost all categories. So how is he doing so well in all the general and national polls? I still think it could be a blowout for Bush. But then again, all the polls are so mixed. Most show Bush up, but then today, polls like Zogby show Kerry up 3. Who is right?

[Dales]

The support for Nader is well down, and I have seen evidence that the left that occasionally or usually sits out or votes 3rd party is with the Democrats. Combine them with the Muslim vote, and it does not surprise me to see a net wash.

[SuziQ]

Could the first Catholic presidential nominee since 1960 lose the election because of the Catholic vote?

We can all pray very hard for this outcome!

[SuziQ]

He should keep his big foot out of his even bigger Botoxed mouth.

Oh I hope he DOES make a big speech, and get pounded about it in the Catholic press. Maybe not assailed by the elitist pundits, but by regular Catholics who are SICK of panderers like Kerry who want nothing to do with their faith until they're running for office.

[JimRed]

Kerry Losing Ground Among White Catholics

Thanks be to God!

[SuziQ]

Notice the campaign signs IN CHURCH!!!

LOL! The ones we had in church when I was growing up had pictures of Yosemite!

[ZOTnot]

I agree. When I heard about this appearance via the radio today, my first thought was 'the last time I checked, Catholics are required to attend Mass on Sunday. Why wasn't he seen in a Catholic Church?' (And my answer to myself was 'because he fears being denied the Eucharist by the bishop or the priest.')

[old and tired]

ATTENTION: Pennsylvania Catholics: The PA Catholic Conference of Bishops has a Bush/Kerry Voters guide. And it's definitely usable. It does have vouchers, healthcare and the death penalty, but it doesn't cut Kerry any slack in these areas either! Print it out, make copies, and get it stuffed into your bulletin.

It's got approval from your bishop.

http://www.pacatholic.org/election%20archive/presidential04flyer.pdf

[codercpc]

Thanks, it will be interesting to see if these lefties actually vote, or if there numbers are concentrated in States that Kerry would win any way. With the exception of Michigan with the Muslims, aren't most of these votes in major metropolitan areas? Wisconsin, which had a huge Nader vote (and a Buchanan vote that was higher than the margin of Gores win), seems to have Bush in the lead.